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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:15 AM | ***From drought to potential flooding...a prolonged and significant rain event for the Mid-Atlantic region...strong-to-severe thunderstorms in the mix***

Paul Dorian

A prolonged and significant rain event is coming to the Mid-Atlantic region that can actually take us from drought conditions to flooding problems. Several inches of rain will be possible in some spots by the time we get to the middle of next week and strong-to-severe thunderstorms will be included in the mix as well.

Today will turn out to be quite warm and noticeably more humid than yesterday following the passage of a warm front. Temperatures this afternoon should reach into the 80’s and there are likely to be scattered showers and thunderstorms going into the evening hours. On Saturday, a cold front will head towards the east coast and showers and thunderstorms will become increasingly likely as we go through the afternoon hours and then they’ll continue during the evening. Some of the storms that form later tomorrow and tomorrow night and be strong-to-severe and some of the rain will be heavy at times. Looking ahead, the upper part of the atmosphere will evolve into a classic “omega-block” pattern and one that can produce occasional rain in the Mid-Atlantic region from Sunday into the middle of next week. Some of this rainfall is likely to be heavy at times with additional strong-to-severe thunderstorms on the table during the first half of next week.

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6:15 AM | **A very unsettled pattern unfolds during the first half of next...heavy showers and strong storms on the table**

Paul Dorian

It stays relatively dry around here through Saturday, but the late weekend and first half of next week become very unsettled with showers and thunderstorms on the table. A strong upper-level low will combine with an incoming colder-than-normal air mass to destabilize the atmosphere during the first half of next week which can result in rain, heavy at times, and the potential for some strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity.

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6:15 AM | ***From drought to potential flooding...a prolonged and significant rain event for the Mid-Atlantic region...strong-to-severe thunderstorms in the mix***

Paul Dorian

A prolonged and significant rain event is coming to the Mid-Atlantic region that can actually take us from drought conditions to flooding problems. Several inches of rain will be possible in some spots by the time we get to the middle of next week and strong-to-severe thunderstorms will be included in the mix as well.

Today will turn out to be very warm and humid following the passage of a warm front. Temperatures this afternoon should reach well up into the 80’s and there are likely to be scattered showers and thunderstorms going into the evening hours. On Saturday, a cold front will head towards the east coast and showers and thunderstorms will become increasingly likely as we go through the afternoon hours and then they’ll continue during the evening. Some of the storms that form later tomorrow and tomorrow night and be strong-to-severe and some of the rain will be heavy at times. Looking ahead, the upper part of the atmosphere will evolve into a classic “omega-block” pattern and one that can produce occasional rain in the Mid-Atlantic region from Sunday into the middle of next week. Some of this rainfall is likely to be heavy at times with additional strong-to-severe thunderstorms on the table during the first half of next week.

Read More

6:15 AM | ***From drought to potential flooding...a prolonged and significant rain event for the Mid-Atlantic region...strong-to-severe thunderstorms in the mix***

Paul Dorian

A prolonged and significant rain event is coming to the Mid-Atlantic region that can actually take us from drought conditions to flooding problems. Several inches of rain will be possible in some spots by the time we get to the middle of next week and strong-to-severe thunderstorms will be included in the mix as well.

Today will turn out to be very warm and noticeably more humid than yesterday following the passage of a warm front. Temperatures this afternoon should reach well up into the 80’s and there are likely to be scattered showers and thunderstorms going into the evening hours. On Saturday, a cold front will head towards the east coast and showers and thunderstorms will become increasingly likely as we go through the afternoon hours and then they’ll continue during the evening. Some of the storms that form later tomorrow and tomorrow night and be strong-to-severe and some of the rain will be heavy at times. Looking ahead, the upper part of the atmosphere will evolve into a classic “omega-block” pattern and one that can produce occasional rain in the Mid-Atlantic region from Sunday into the middle of next week. Some of this rainfall is likely to be heavy at times with additional strong-to-severe thunderstorms on the table during the first half of next week.

Read More

6:15 AM | **The threat of showers and storms continues into tomorrow night**

Paul Dorian

The threat of showers and thunderstorms will continue through Saturday in the Tennessee Valley as an upper-level low forms over the Ohio Valley. There may be some improvement on Sunday, but it’ll be on the cool side and showers cannot be ruled out. The first half of next week looks pretty decent with plenty of sunshine likely on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday and temperatures will be comfortable.

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**A prolonged and significant rain event coming to the Mid-Atlantic region...a classic “omega-block” weather pattern**

Paul Dorian

The change of calendar to the month of May is bringing a changing weather pattern that is likely to result in a prolonged and significant rain event for the Mid-Atlantic region...something not seen in these parts in quite awhile. While there can be scattered showers and thunderstorms between tonight and late Saturday, the main event is likely to begin on Saturday night with widespread showers and thunderstorms and occasional rain will be a threat on Sunday, Monday, Tuesday and perhaps Wednesday as well in the Mid-Atlantic region to go along with cooler conditions. The upper part of the atmosphere is evolving into a classic “omega-block” pattern which will allow for cooler and rainy weather to stick around for several days in the Mid-Atlantic region, and this should alleviate drought and fire-hazard conditions endured during the past several weeks.

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6:15 AM | *Showers and thunderstorms threaten the area through tonight...watching for possible impact early next week of a deep cutoff low pressure system*

Paul Dorian

There can be occasional showers and thunderstorms across the region through tonight, but the work week should close out on a dry note with plenty of sunshine expected on Friday. The weekend turns warmer and stays relatively dry and then a deep cutoff low pressure system could produce showers and thunderstorms during the first half of next week...even the threat of severe weather over the plains.

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6:15 AM | ***A prolonged and significant rain event likely coming to the Mid-Atlantic region***

Paul Dorian

There is a growing chance that a prolonged and significant rain event is coming to the Mid-Atlantic region…something not seen in these parts in quite awhile.

While there can be some shower and thunderstorm activity from later today into later Saturday, the main event likely begins on Saturday night with heavier and steadier rainfall and then rain is likely to be a threat on Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, and perhaps even Wednesday as well. A warm front lifts through the region tonight with some shower activity and then Friday will turn into a very warm and humid day with scattered showers and thunderstorms…much of the day should be rain-free. On Saturday, a cold front will head towards the eastern US and showers and thunderstorms will become increasingly likely by the time we get to Saturday evening. Some of the rain late Saturday/Saturday night can be heavy at times with the arrival of the cold front and there can be strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity included.

Looking ahead, the upper-level pattern will evolve into an “omega-block” situation and one that can produce occasional rain and cooler conditions in the Mid-Atlantic region from Sunday into the middle of next week. Some of this rainfall during the first half of next week can be heavy at times and this unfolding scenario could put a real dent in any drought conditions that remain in the area.

Read More

6:15 AM | ***A prolonged and significant rain event likely coming to the Mid-Atlantic region***

Paul Dorian

There is a growing chance that a prolonged and significant rain event is coming to the Mid-Atlantic region…something not seen in these parts in quite awhile.

While there can be some shower and thunderstorm activity from later today into later Saturday, the main event likely begins on Saturday night with heavier and steadier rainfall and then rain is likely to be a threat on Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, and perhaps even Wednesday as well. A warm front lifts through the region tonight with some shower activity and then Friday will turn into a very warm and humid day with scattered showers and thunderstorms…much of the day should be rain-free. On Saturday, a cold front will head towards the eastern US and showers and thunderstorms will become increasingly likely by the time we get to Saturday evening. Some of the rain late Saturday/Saturday night can be heavy at times with the arrival of the cold front and there can be strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity included.

Looking ahead, the upper-level pattern will evolve into an “omega-block” situation and one that can produce occasional rain and cooler conditions in the Mid-Atlantic region from Sunday into the middle of next week. Some of this rainfall during the first half of next week can be heavy at times and this unfolding scenario could put a real dent in any drought conditions that remain in the area.

Read More

6:15 AM | ***A prolonged and significant rain event likely coming to the Mid-Atlantic region***

Paul Dorian

There is a growing chance that a prolonged and significant rain event is coming to the Mid-Atlantic region…something not seen in these parts in quite awhile.

While there can be some shower and thunderstorm activity from later today into later Saturday, the main event likely begins on Saturday night with heavier and steadier rainfall and then rain is likely to be a threat on Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, and perhaps even Wednesday as well. A warm front lifts through the region tonight with some shower activity and then Friday will turn into a very warm and humid day with scattered showers and thunderstorms…much of the day should be rain-free. On Saturday, a cold front will head towards the eastern US and showers and thunderstorms will become increasingly likely by the time we get to Saturday evening. Some of the rain late Saturday/Saturday night can be heavy at times with the arrival of the cold front and there can be strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity included.

Looking ahead, the upper-level pattern will evolve into an “omega-block” situation and one that can produce occasional rain and cooler conditions in the Mid-Atlantic region from Sunday into the middle of next week. Some of this rainfall during the first half of next week can be heavy at times and this unfolding scenario could put a real dent in any drought conditions that remain in the area.

Read More