High pressure over the western Atlantic has built back to the west into the Southeast US following the departure of Nate and the general trend for much of the week will be for warm and humid conditions and moderate chances for showers and thunderstorms.
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The remains of Hurricane Nate are pushing through the Northeast US today and the western Atlantic ridge of high pressure will back to the west and into the Southeast US. The general trend this week will be for very warm and humid conditions, but only moderate chances for rain.
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Tropical Storm Nate is headed northwest today towards the eastern Yucatan Peninsula and then will move into the central Gulf of Mexico on Saturday. Nate could very well intensify into hurricane status by late Saturday over the warm waters of the central Gulf of Mexico and then continue northward right towards the Louisiana/Mississippi border region by early Sunday. After that, Nate is likely to take a turn to the northeast and move through the Tennessee Valley on Monday and into the interior part of the Mid-Atlantic.
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One tropical wave will shift westward today over the Florida Straits and the combination of this system and strong high pressure to the north will keep a tight pressure gradient in the area leading to a continuation of the strong easterly winds. As a result of these persistent winds, beach conditions will remain hazardous with rough surf and beach erosion. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Nate - now over the Caribbean Sea - is likely to move north over the next few days and could turn into a hurricane by the time it reaches the central part of the Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Odds currently favor the track of TS Nate to bring it towards the central Gulf states of Louisiana, Mississippi and/or Alabama by late in the weekend - somewhat west of earlier thoughts of the Florida Panhandle.
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Strong high pressure ridging continues to reside this morning over the Northeast US and southeastern part of Canada and it is having a big impact on eastern Florida. A persistent easterly wind is resulting in rip currents, high surf and tidal flooding and this pattern will continue for another few days. Meanwhile, the Atlantic Basin tropical season has quieted down in recent days, but there is likely to be more activity that develops this weekend over the Gulf of Mexico. Indeed, signs point to the formation of a system this weekend over the Gulf of Mexico and it could then ride northward from the Gulf region and much of the eastern US.
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A strong ridge of high pressure to our north will produce several days of windy conditions around here along with occasional showers and thunderstorms. The Atlantic Basin tropical season is quiet right now, but there is likely to be more activity next week that forms over the Gulf of Mexico or Caribbean Sea.
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A strong ridge of high pressure to our north will produce several days of breezy conditions around here along with occasional showers and thunderstorms. Some of the rain can be heavy at times and a trough of low pressure will enhance the rainfall over the next 24 hours. The Atlantic Basin tropical season is still alive and we’ll have to monitor “home-grown” systems that may form over the Gulf of Mexico or Caribbean Sea as opposed to “African-wave” type tropical waves that trek across the Atlantic and are more common during summer months.
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After a rain-free stretch, our weather will become more unsettled beginning today resulting in a daily shot at showers and thunderstorms for the next several days. An upper-level low over the Gulf of Mexico will help to spin off low pressure along the east coast of Florida and this will enhance moisture around here and chances for showers and thunderstorms. This low pressure area may actually trend westward across northern Florida later this weekend as strong high pressure builds across the northeast part of the country.
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We’re likely to have one more rain-free day across central Florida and temperatures will reach 90 degrees in spots, but then the chance for showers and thunderstorms will return as we head into the weekend. Once this threat of showers and thunderstorms returns later tomorrow, it looks like it will stick around for awhile. Elsewhere, Maria is finally taking a sharp right turn and is heading out-to-sea.
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The next couple of days will feature very warm conditions around here with highs temperatures climbing to the 90 degree mark and it’ll likely stay rain-free. A weakening cold front will push through the Southeast US late in the week and increase our chances for clouds and scattered showers and thunderstorms for the weekend and early part of next week. The combination of the clouds and scattered rainfall will hold temperatures down in the middle 80’s for highs on each weekend afternoon.
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