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Home of Arcfield Weather with forecasts, blogs, and climate insights from Arcfield meteorologist Paul Dorian.

The inside scoop on the weather 

Arcfield Weather

Arcfield Weather provides 6-day weather forecasts for the Philadelphia, Washington, D.C. and New York City metro regions in the Mid-Atlantic region as well as Huntsville, Alabama in the Southeast US and Denver, Colorado in the Rocky Mountain States.  These forecasts are available each weekday morning with frequent detailed video discussions to help plan your day and week. Updated afternoon and weekend posts are frequently provided; especially, in times of rapidly changing or severe weather conditions.

Seasonal outlooks 

In addition to the 6-day weather forecasts, seasonal outlooks are provided for upcoming winter and tropical seasons with extensive video discussions and blog posts.  

Relevant discussions, topics that matter

Climate is always changing and expert interpretations are frequently provided here on important topics including oceanic cycles, global sea ice, and long-term trends of hurricanes, tornadoes, and global temperatures. In addition to the information provided on Earth's dynamic atmosphere and oceans, posts are frequently provided on solar activity and cycles which play critical roles in our weather and climate.

LATEST BLOG

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*2026-2027 Winter Outlook by Arcfield Weather*
*2026-2027 Winter Outlook by Arcfield Weather*

A very strong El Nino event will be one of the key players this upcoming winter season with warmer-than-normal water temperatures in the equatorial part of the Pacific Ocean likely to last all the way into next spring. Other factors include a positive (westerly) Quasi-Biennial Oscillation, negative Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and somewhat favorable prospects for a “polar vortex disruption” and “stratospheric warming”; especially, during the second half of the winter. By pumping massive amounts of heat and moisture in the atmosphere, a very strong El Nino typically amps up the sub-tropical (southern) branch of the jet stream and an overall stormy weather pattern is likely to be the result from coast-to-coast. There is the potential for numerous storm systems to travel from California to across the southern states and then potentially, ride up near or along the US east coast.

Temperatures are often warmer-than-normal across the northern US during a very strong El Nino winter season and colder-than-normal conditions are typical in many of the southern states. In the Mid-Atlantic region, despite the possibility of an overall slightly warmer-than-normal winter season, there can be above-normal snowfall amounts given the idea that we may be dealing with numerous storm systems in the eastern states...one or two of which can become blockbuster snowstorms. All it takes is for one or two of these storm systems to team up with an Arctic air outbreak and above-normal seasonal snowfall amounts can take place in a hurry...and this prospect exists in the Mid-Atlantic region including along the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor. 

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Make better plans and decisions with better forecasts

LATEST VIDEO

Arcfield Weather meteorologists provide highly accurate and tailored forecasts to help you decide when to mow the lawn, prep the snow blower or carry an umbrella. No hype–just the facts and expert analysis on what you can expect during the upcoming week.

Learn about the weather through in-depth video discussions

Detailed video discussions provide insight into what's happening with the weather and why it's happening. 

Meteorology 101

More than thirty instructional videos have been made on a variety of meteorological topics including computer forecast models, space weather, and weather's impact on the home run.  The videos are designed for a variety of audiences from the seasoned weather forecaster to the general weather enthusiast.  

Watch the latest video and subscribe to the YouTube channel to stay up-to-date with the latest insights.

Media Recognition and Honors

 

Arcfield Weather has been selected by Feedspot.com as one of the "90 Best Weather Blogs and Websites" (ranked 49th out of 90) from around the world.

 

 

Arcfield Weather has also been selected by Feedspot.com as one of the "Top 60 Weather YouTube Channels" (ranked 37th out of 60) from around the world.

Weather Blogs
 

Meteorologist Paul Dorian was interviewed on WTKI Radio in Huntsville, AL. Listen to the December 2016 appearance here and and the March 2017 interview here.