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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: HSV

6:00 AM | *Rather typical summer-like weather into the weekend with very warm and humid conditions across northern Alabama*

Paul Dorian

The remainder of the week will feature very warm and humid conditions and then unsettled weather returns this weekend with an increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms. The main player on the field will be strong high pressure centered over the western Atlantic and - from this position - it’ll pump in a warm and humid air from the Gulf region.

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***Unsettled weather pattern next few days includes enhanced severe weather risks and an impressive and impactful upper-level trough next week***

Paul Dorian

Sometimes during the month of June, the jet stream retreats safely to the north into Canada, and the weather settles down across the continental US...that certainly does not appear to the case this year. Upper-level troughs of low pressure and colder-than-normal air masses continue to drop into the US from Canada, and this is resulting in severe weather outbreaks and there will be an enhanced threat during the next few days. Next week promises to feature another impressive upper-level trough by June standards that will no doubt be impactful with more severe weather threats and widespread cooler-than-normal conditions.

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7:00 AM | ***Localized flooding concerns for today with additions showers and thunderstorms on top of saturated soils***

Paul Dorian

The threat of localized flooding will continue today with additional showers and thunderstorms in the Tennessee Valley following some excessive rainfall amounts on Sunday which left very saturated soil conditions. The remainder of the week will feature very warm and humid conditions with high pressure positioned over the western Atlantic.

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8:00 AM | ***Strong-to-severe thunderstorms on the table for the mid-day and afternoon hours***

Paul Dorian

The new work week starts off on the active side with the chance of showers and thunderstorms across northern Alabama during the mid-day and afternoon hours. Any thunderstorm today can reach strong-to-severe levels with damaging wind gusts a possibility of 60+ mph. The pattern turns quieter on Tuesday and for the remainder of the week with dry and comfortably warm temperatures.

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6:00 AM | *Drought relief continues across the southeastern states*

Paul Dorian

Drought relief continues to come to the southeastern states and the overall pattern stays quite unsettled around here right through the upcoming weekend. After the soaking rainfall of yesterday, each coming day through Sunday will feature a chance of showers and thunderstorms to go along with the warm conditions and afternoon highs generally in the lower 80’s.

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*El Nino continues to unfold across the equatorial Pacific...signs point to a strong event with implications on the upcoming tropical season and potentially next winter as well*

Paul Dorian

El Nino is on the way, and it looks like it will be a strong event...

The equatorial Pacific Ocean is transitioning into El Nino conditions (i.e., warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures) and signs point to a strong event by the summer and fall seasons with big implications on tropical activity in the Atlantic Basin. Looking ahead, it appears this El Nino event may even last into the upcoming winter season of 2026-2027 which no doubt would have some implications across the continental US.

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