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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: HSV

6:00 AM | **An increasingly unstable environment brings the risk of severe weather to the central states and Deep South in coming days**

Paul Dorian

The weather pattern will become quite unsettled in coming days with multiple chances of showers and thunderstorms and some of the storms can be on the severe side. A deepening upper-level jet stream that will trend southward in coming days will bring more unstable conditions to the Deep South as we progress through late April and into early May.

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*The development of El Nino...already impacting the atmosphere across the nation with an enhancement of severe weather risks and better opportunities for rain from the Rockies to Mid-Atlantic*

Paul Dorian

As noted in the 2026 Tropical Outlook, El Nino is likely to be a major player with respect to the upcoming tropical season in the Atlantic Basin and all signs continue to point to the increase of water temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Not only have surface water temperatures climbed dramatically in the tropical Pacific Ocean in recent days, but some very warm water lurks just beneath the surface, and it is “bubbling” up to the top.

The development of El Nino in the tropical Pacific is actually having some current effects on the upper air flow across the continental US with a more favorable environment for severe weather outbreaks and better opportunities for rain from the Rocky Mountain States to the Mid-Atlantic region. Looking ahead, the combination of an El Nino episode in the Pacific Ocean and an area of cooler-than-normal water in the Atlantic’s Main Development Region may result in below-normal tropical activity in the Atlantic Basin during the summer and fall seasons. Should El Nino continue into the 2026-2027 winter season - and odds are good - it would also have big implications for the weather across the continental US...something we’ll monitor in the months to come.

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6:00 AM | **An increasing chance of showers and storms on Saturday afternoon/evening with the approach of a strong cold frontal system**

Paul Dorian

The weather pattern remains quite summer-like for the next couple of days with  90-degree high temperatures on the table for today and the mid-to-upper 80’s on Saturday. There will be an increasing chance of showers and storms later tomorrow as a cold front approaches the eastern states. It turns cooler on Sunday following the passage of the cold front, but temperatures rebound to quite warm levels once again by the middle of next week.

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6:00 AM | *A couple of very warm days with highs in the middle 80's...cooler for Easter Sunday following the passage of a cold front*

Paul Dorian

The next couple of days will remain on the breezy and very warm side across northern Alabama with afternoon highs likely in the middle 80’s. The chance of showers and thunderstorms will increase by tomorrow afternoon and evening as a cold front slides in this direction from our west-to-northwest. That front should slide through the area by Easter morning paving the way for cooler conditions and afternoon temperatures in the mid-to-upper 60’s.

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