Some spots in the Mid-Atlantic region were hit by drenching showers and thunderstorms this past weekend while other (often right nearby) locations received much less rain than anticipated. There will be opportunities for more rain in all areas through tomorrow night and some of the rain can be heavy at times. A slow-moving upper-level low pressure system currently centered over the Ohio Valley will continue to produce unstable conditions in the Mid-Atlantic region through Tuesday night leading to bands of showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will be somewhat limited today with an onshore flow of low-level air persistent across the area, but it should turn warmer on Tuesday and there can be some sunny intervals. While there should be improvement in the overall weather at mid-week, more showers are possible later in the week with the arrival of a cold frontal system from Canada.
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A prolonged and significant rain event is coming to the Mid-Atlantic region that can actually take us from drought conditions to flooding problems. Several inches of rain will be possible in some spots by the time we get to the middle of next week and strong-to-severe thunderstorms will be included in the mix as well.
Today will turn out to be very warm and noticeably more humid than yesterday following the passage of a warm front. Temperatures this afternoon should reach well up into the 80’s and there are likely to be scattered showers and thunderstorms going into the evening hours. On Saturday, a cold front will head towards the east coast and showers and thunderstorms will become increasingly likely as we go through the afternoon hours and then they’ll continue during the evening. Some of the storms that form later tomorrow and tomorrow night and be strong-to-severe and some of the rain will be heavy at times. Looking ahead, the upper part of the atmosphere will evolve into a classic “omega-block” pattern and one that can produce occasional rain in the Mid-Atlantic region from Sunday into the middle of next week. Some of this rainfall is likely to be heavy at times with additional strong-to-severe thunderstorms on the table during the first half of next week.
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The change of calendar to the month of May is bringing a changing weather pattern that is likely to result in a prolonged and significant rain event for the Mid-Atlantic region...something not seen in these parts in quite awhile. While there can be scattered showers and thunderstorms between tonight and late Saturday, the main event is likely to begin on Saturday night with widespread showers and thunderstorms and occasional rain will be a threat on Sunday, Monday, Tuesday and perhaps Wednesday as well in the Mid-Atlantic region to go along with cooler conditions. The upper part of the atmosphere is evolving into a classic “omega-block” pattern which will allow for cooler and rainy weather to stick around for several days in the Mid-Atlantic region, and this should alleviate drought and fire-hazard conditions endured during the past several weeks.
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There is a growing chance that a prolonged and significant rain event is coming to the Mid-Atlantic region…something not seen in these parts in quite awhile.
While there can be some shower and thunderstorm activity from later today into later Saturday, the main event likely begins on Saturday night with heavier and steadier rainfall and then rain is likely to be a threat on Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, and perhaps even Wednesday as well. A warm front lifts through the region tonight with some shower activity and then Friday will turn into a very warm and humid day with scattered showers and thunderstorms…much of the day should be rain-free. On Saturday, a cold front will head towards the eastern US and showers and thunderstorms will become increasingly likely by the time we get to Saturday evening. Some of the rain late Saturday/Saturday night can be heavy at times with the arrival of the cold front and there can be strong-to-severe thunderstorm activity included.
Looking ahead, the upper-level pattern will evolve into an “omega-block” situation and one that can produce occasional rain and cooler conditions in the Mid-Atlantic region from Sunday into the middle of next week. Some of this rainfall during the first half of next week can be heavy at times and this unfolding scenario could put a real dent in any drought conditions that remain in the area.
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Powerful thunderstorms that pounded western and central New York last night fell apart by the time they reached the southeastern part of the state due to some very dry air in place around here and also the overall weakening of support in the upper atmosphere. High pressure returns to the area today as a weak cold front settles just to our south. This same frontal system will turnaround late tomorrow and lift through the area as a warm front with some shower activity and perhaps a thunderstorm. It’ll turn out quite warm and downright humid on Friday with an occasional shower and an afternoon or evening thunderstorm is possible; however, much of the day should be rain-free. More widespread shower activity is expected for Saturday as a cold front arrives and then an upper-level low form in the eastern US and produce additional unsettled weather around here during the early part of next week.
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A warm front lifts through the area today and it will become quite warm with afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 80’s and there should be plenty of sunshine with increasing southerly winds. A cold front arrives tonight and it can bring with it some shower activity...perhaps even an isolated thunderstorm or two. High pressure returns at mid-week, but the weather then becomes quite unsettled for the late week and early part of the weekend with a couple of low pressure systems impacting the Mid-Atlantic region.
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There have been numerous colder-than-normal air masses in recent weeks pushing into the central and eastern US from Canada and also into the western US from the eastern Pacific Ocean. The continuing influx of these colder-than-normal air masses along with an active jet stream has led to numerous severe weather outbreaks in recent weeks. Indeed, severe weather is likely later today and tonight with a focus on the Upper Midwestern states of Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa and Illinois though some severe thunderstorm activity can extend all the way south and west to the south-central states of Texas and Oklahoma. The overall pattern that has produced these occasional cold air and severe weather outbreaks in the US looks quite likely to last at least into the first part of May with a risk next Monday and Tuesday in the nation’s mid-section.
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The week starts off with high pressure in control and there will be plenty of sunshine today with temperatures likely peaking in the middle 70’s during the afternoon hours after a chilly start. After a dry and warm day on Tuesday, showers will be a threat on Tuesday night with the arrival of a frontal system. High pressure returns for the mid-week and partial sunshine on Wednesday should boost temperatures to the mid-to-upper 70’s. Low pressure and associated frontal systems will result in unsettled weather conditions later this week into the weekend with the threat of showers from time-to-time and perhaps a thunderstorm or two.
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High pressure will push offshore today and that’ll open the door for a couple of frontal systems to impact the region with some shower activity from later tonight into Saturday. First, a warm front will lift through the area later today and then a cold front will follow later tomorrow. The combination of the two frontal systems will result in occasional showers here from later tonight into Saturday and there can be a thunderstorm or two mixed into the picture. High pressure to our northwest takes control of the weather for Sunday, Monday and Tuesday and it’ll become increasingly warm with 80+ degrees for highs by the middle of next week. The next threat of showers will come at mid-week when another frontal system slides towards the eastern seaboard.
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High pressure remains in control for another day providing us with plenty of sunshine and pleasantly warm temperatures reaching well up in the 70’s during the afternoon hours. A low pressure system and its trailing cold front will bring us occasional showers from late tomorrow night into Saturday and there can be a thunderstorm or two mixed into the picture. High pressure to our northwest will take control of the weather for Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday with plenty of sunshine each day and increasingly warm conditions. The next shower threat likely holds off until the middle of next week with the arrival of another cold frontal system.
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