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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: DC

6:00 AM | *Mild, dry today...cooler, dry for the weekend...a decent rain event is possible later next week*

Paul Dorian

The work week will end on a mild note with afternoon high temperatures climbing to the lower 70’s in most spots to go along with copious amounts of sunshine. A cold front will pass through the area tonight and knock off several degrees from the temperature department for the weekend with highs generally confined to the lower or middle 60’s on each day. It stays dry and mild early next week as weak low pressure falls apart upon its arrival in the Mid-Atlantic region. There will likely be a stronger system to deal with later next week which may bring a decent rainfall to the eastern states and tropical moisture over the western Atlantic may play a supporting role.

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**Significant rain event on the table later next week in the eastern US and tropical moisture may play a role...same system can produce rain/severe weather Deep South/Miss. Valley early-to-mid week**

Paul Dorian

On many occasions, it seems as if the overall weather pattern changes with the flip of the calendar from one month to another and, in this case, big changes may be coming to the southern and eastern US during the first week of November. It has been very dry during the past couple of weeks across many southern and eastern states with virtually no rain in many locations. A strong system will cross the nation next week and it may team with some tropical moisture over the western Atlantic to produce a significant rain event in the eastern US late next week and there can be severe weather to precede across much of the Deep South and Mississippi Valley.

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6:00 AM | *Dry weather pattern continues into the middle of next week...decent rain event actually on the table for later next week*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will continue to control the weather around here for the next couple of days even as it pushes off the eastern seaboard. A weak cold front will come through on Friday night and it’ll knock several degrees off the temperatures with Friday’s highs likely in the low-to-mid 70’s and Saturday’s in the low-to-mid 60’s. A weak low pressure weak system is likely to fall apart by the time it reaches the Mid-Atlantic region early next week, but a stronger system looks possible later next week and a decent rain event is actually on the table.

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6:00 AM | *Should stay dry through Saturday...the chance of showers will increase by early next week*

Paul Dorian

High pressure continues to dominate the scene in the Mid-Atlantic region and the next few days should feature chilly nights, comfortable afternoons, and rain-free conditions. There will be patchy fog around early today and the same thing can happen late tonight/early Thursday. It looks like we’ll end up with no rainfall at all in the I-95 corridor right through the last day of the month on Saturday. The chance for rain, however, will be on the increase early next week and there can be a second opportunity later next week.

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6:00 AM | *Chilly nights, comfortable days, and rain-free conditions into the weekend*

Paul Dorian

High pressure continues to dominate the scene in the Mid-Atlantic region and the next several days should feature chilly nights, comfortable afternoons, and rain-free conditions. In fact, it looks like we’ll end up with no rainfall at all in the I-95 corridor during the last two weeks of the month with high pressure ridging in control for a sustained period of time.

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**Signals for an early-to-mid November polar vortex disruption...quite a rare event for this early in the season**

Paul Dorian

In our “2026-2027 Winter Outlook” that was issued a couple of weeks ago, we focused on the strong El Nino episode in the tropical Pacific Ocean that looks to continue well into the upcoming winter season. In addition, we discussed in detail the generally favorable prospects for a polar vortex disruption during the upcoming winter; especially, during the second half of the season. Little did we know that there could be polar vortex disruption as soon as the early-to-middle part of November which would be quite a rare event indeed for this early in the season. Computer forecast models indicate there will be a weakening of stratospheric winds sometime during the first half of November indicating a slowing or disruption of the Arctic polar vortex which could have “winter-like” ramifications on the weather across the continental US later in the month or during December.

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6:00 AM | *Frost/freeze possible late tonight and again late tomorrow night in some far NW suburbs...rain-free conditions continue well into next week*

Paul Dorian

High pressure over the southeastern part of Canada will stay in control of the weather across our region for the next several days with a continuation of rain-free conditions. The nights will be quite chilly and the days cool through the weekend and frost/freeze is possible late tonight in some of the far NW suburbs and again late Saturday night. Coastal impacts from the recent strong ocean storm (now a sub-tropical system over the North Atlantic) will dwindle during the next couple of days.

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6:00 AM | *Pattern continues with chilly nights, cool days, and rain-free conditions...patchy frost possible this weekend*

Paul Dorian

High pressure over the southeastern part of Canada will stay in control of the weather across our region for the next several days while at the same time, strong low pressure meanders over the western Atlantic Ocean. Around here, the weather will feature chilly nights, cool days, and rain-free conditions with a strong breeze at times. The ocean storm will produce onshore flow for another couple of days along coastal sections increasing the chance for flooding at times of high tide. One final note, frost will be possible in some locations late Friday night and again late Saturday night.

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6:00 AM | *Chilly nights, comfortably cool days, and rain-free conditions next several days...coastal impacts from ocean storm*

Paul Dorian

High pressure over the southeastern part of Canada will stay in control of the weather across our region for the next several days while at the same time, strong low pressure meanders over the western Atlantic Ocean. Around here, the weather will feature chilly nights, comfortably cool days, and rain-free conditions. The ocean storm will produce persistent onshore flow during the next few days along coastal sections increasing the chance for flooding at times of high tide.

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