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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: DC

6:00 AM | **Residual showers today...additional showers and thunderstorms this weekend**

Paul Dorian

A frontal boundary zone is hanging nearby this morning and there will be occasional showers and possibly an isolated thunderstorm. A disturbance form the Tennessee Valley will push northeastward into the Mid-Atlantic region this weekend and the result will be additional showers and possible thunderstorms…some of the rain can be heavy. Some improvement is likely later Sunday and the new work week should start with plenty of sunshine on Monday and Tuesday and moderately warm conditions.

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6:00 AM | *Frontal system raises the chance for showers here today and a possible late day or evening thunderstorm...more showers likely this weekend*

Paul Dorian

A weak cold front will approach the region later today and it can produce showers around here with a possible late day or evening thunderstorm. The front should clear the coast on Friday morning paving the way for a comfortably warm end to the shortened work week and some clearing skies in the afternoon with temperatures reaching the lower 80’s. Another disturbance will arrive this weekend and it can cause showers and thunderstorms in the Mid-Atlantic region from Saturday into Sunday.

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6:00 AM | *Next frontal system approaches on Thursday with an increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will continue to generate tranquil and warm conditions around here today, but a cold front will head in this direction on Thursday. This next front will raise the chance of showers and thunderstorms later tomorrow and early tomorrow night, but it doesn’t look as widespread of an event as we have experienced in recent days. High pressure should follow the frontal passage for the end of the week with rain-free and warm conditions likely on Friday, but another disturbance can bring us showers and thunderstorms during the upcoming weekend.

Morning video discussion with a focus on El Nino.

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6:00 AM | *High pressure remains in control through mid-week generating warm and dry conditions around here*

Paul Dorian

High pressure will continue to generate tranquil and warm conditions around here through the middle of the week. The next weather system of note will be a cold front that approaches the Mid-Atlantic region on Thursday likely bringing with it an increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms. High pressure should return for Friday and the upcoming weekend with dry, warm conditions once again returning to the area.

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6:00 AM | *Somewhat unsettled for another day in the Mid-Atlantic region...quieter this Labor Day weekend and becoming more comfortable*

Paul Dorian

Unsettled weather will continue for a bit longer in the DC metro region with another shot at showers and thunderstorms later today and early tonight. The weekend looks to be much quieter as high pressure builds in from our northwest and more comfortable air pushes into the area. Temperatures this weekend will be at or slightly below normal and overall humidity will drop to noticeably more comfortable levels.

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6:00 AM | **Additional showers and thunderstorms as unsettled pattern continues...weekend looking good**

Paul Dorian

After a bit of a break in the high heat on Wednesday, southwesterly flow will push much warmer air back into the region and temperatures should climb to the low-to-mid 90’s. As has been the case in recent days, showers and thunderstorms are forming to our northwest and they’ll drop to the south and east for possible impact during the afternoon and evening hours. Any storm that forms later today can be on the strong-to-severe side with heavy downpours and possible damaging wind gusts. A frontal boundary zone will remain close enough on Friday to keep it unsettled around here with a continuing  chance of showers and thunderstorms. A more comfortable air mass should drop southward into the region for part of the Labor Day weekend featuring at or slightly below normal cooler temperatures and lowering humidity values.

One final note…anyone planning to travel to Penn State for their first game on Saturday (@3:30pm) can expect to see mainly sunny skies and high temperatures in the upper 70’s.

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6:00 AM | ***Remaining unsettled into Friday with the threat of showers and strong-to-severe thunderstorms***

Paul Dorian

A frontal boundary zone will move into the area today and this should help to knock off a few degrees for today’s highs compared to Tuesday. There will be the chance of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon, tonight and on Thursday when temperatures will climb back into the middle 90’s. Any storm that forms later today, tonight and on Thursday can be strong-to-severe with heavy downpours, damaging wind gusts on the table. The same frontal system should clear through the region by the end of the week paving the way for a more comfortable Labor Day weekend.

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6:00 AM | *Continued unsettled for the next few days with a daily shot of showers/storms...weekend looking more comfortable*

Paul Dorian

The next few days will remain on the unsettled side across the Mid-Atlantic region with an occasional shower or thunderstorm. Any storm that forms can be quite strong and produce heavy downpours. The month of September will start quite hot as well as unsettled with 90+ degree highs on the table for this afternoon. Signs continue to point to a cold frontal passage by the end of the week which should result in a more comfortable Labor Day weekend.

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**An active period from Tuesday through Thursday...”ring of fire” region of upper-level ridge to bring multiple strong thunderstorms to the Mid-Atlantic**

Paul Dorian

The peripheral region of an intense upper-level ridge can often be quite an active area for thunderstorms this time of year and this summer has been no exception. Specifically, the northeastern quadrant of an intense upper-level ridge where northwesterly flow dominates in the overall clockwise circulation around high pressure can often contain numerous bands of thunderstorms, complexes of thunderstorms and even long-lasting lines known as derechos. This “ring of fire” region in the outer peripheral of high pressure with northwesterly flow aloft has been repeatedly showing up this summer extending from the Great Lakes to the Mid-Atlantic and numerous severe weather outbreaks have been the result. A repeat performance is on the table during the next few days with Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday likely to feature numerous bands of strong-to-severe thunderstorms that will potentially impact the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor.

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6:00 | *An unsettled weather pattern through the mid-week...very hot Tuesday through Thursday...hope for the weekend*

Paul Dorian

The early and middle parts of the week look unsettled in the DC metro region with the chance of showers and thunderstorms from time-to-time. Temperatures will climb to 90 degrees today and then well up in the 90’s for Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday along with that continuing chance of daily showers and thunderstorms. Looking ahead, the Labor Day weekend could be more comfortable following the passage of a cold front and high pressure to our north taking control.

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