As noted in the 2026 Tropical Outlook, El Nino is likely to be a major player with respect to the upcoming tropical season in the Atlantic Basin and all signs continue to point to the increase of water temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Not only have surface water temperatures climbed dramatically in the tropical Pacific Ocean in recent days, but some very warm water lurks just beneath the surface, and it is “bubbling” up to the top.
The development of El Nino in the tropical Pacific is actually having some current effects on the upper air flow across the continental US with a more favorable environment for severe weather outbreaks and better opportunities for rain from the Rocky Mountain States to the Mid-Atlantic region. Looking ahead, the combination of an El Nino episode in the Pacific Ocean and an area of cooler-than-normal water in the Atlantic’s Main Development Region may result in below-normal tropical activity in the Atlantic Basin during the summer and fall seasons. Should El Nino continue into the 2026-2027 winter season - and odds are good - it would also have big implications for the weather across the continental US...something we’ll monitor in the months to come.
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Temperatures will rebound some for the next few days, but it’ll then turn cooler and unsettled for the upcoming weekend. A weak system can bring occasional showers to the area today and then high pressure builds in on Thursday producing comfortable, dry conditions. Low pressure will likely bring a widespread rainfall to the Mid-Atlantic region on Saturday and temperatures will be cooler doing no better than the low-to-mid 50’s for afternoon highs.
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Temperatures will rebound some for the next few days, but it’ll then turn cooler and unsettled for the upcoming weekend. A weak system can bring occasional showers to the area today and maybe a PM thunderstorm, and then high pressure builds in on Thursday producing comfortable, dry conditions. Low pressure will likely bring a widespread rainfall to the Mid-Atlantic region on Saturday and temperatures will be cooler doing no better than the low-to-mid 60’s for afternoon highs.
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Temperatures will rebound some for the next few days, but it’ll then turn cooler and unsettled for the upcoming weekend. A weak system can bring occasional showers to the area today and then high pressure builds in on Thursday producing comfortable, dry conditions. Low pressure will likely bring a widespread rainfall to the Mid-Atlantic region on Saturday and temperatures will be on the cool side doing no better than the lower 50’s for afternoon highs.
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After a frosty start to the day, temperatures will climb into the middle 50’s later today boosted by copious amounts of sunshine with high pressure sitting overhead. As is often the case this time of year, chilly air masses won’t stick around for too long and we’ll warm near 60 degrees on Wednesday and then to near 70 degrees for afternoon highs on Thursday. Looking ahead, the weekend appears to be cooler and quite unsettled with an area of low pressure likely impacting the Mid-Atlantic region...there is even the chance for a period of steady rainfall.
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Dry and unseasonably warm weather continues through mid-week with afternoon temperatures in the 80’s and quite breezy conditions. The combination of increasing winds, warm, dry conditions will elevate the fire threat during the next couple of days. The overall pattern changes later in the week, bringing cooler air to the region and unsettled weather with the chance of rain and/or snow showers from time-to-time.
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The weather pattern remains quite warm and dry during the next few days with plenty of sunshine and afternoon temperatures generally in the lower 80’s. The weather becomes quite unsettled this weekend with the chance of rain and thunderstorms on both days.
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After a frosty start to the day, temperatures will climb into the low-to-mid 50’s later today boosted by copious amounts of sunshine with high pressure sitting overhead. As is often the case this time of year, chilly air masses won’t stick around for too long and we’ll warm to the lower 60’s on Wednesday and to near 70 degrees for afternoon highs on Thursday. Looking ahead, the weekend appears to be cooler and quite unsettled with an area of low pressure likely impacting the Mid-Atlantic region...there is even the chance for a period of steady rainfall.
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After a frosty start to the day, temperatures will climb to near 60 degrees later today boosted by copious amounts of sunshine with high pressure sitting overhead. As is often the case this time of year, chilly air masses won’t stick around for too long and we’ll warm to near 70 degrees on Wednesday, and to the mid-to-upper 70’s on Thursday. Looking ahead, the weekend appears to be cooler and quite unsettled with an area of low pressure likely impacting the Mid-Atlantic region...there is even the chance for a period of steady rainfall.
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Not quite done yet with the chilly air outbreaks in the Mid-Atlantic region and temperatures late tonight should drop to near freezing with widespread frost/freeze potential…protect sensitive plants. Radiational cooling conditions will be quite good tonight allowing temperatures to drop sharply with clear skies and light winds under a dome of high pressure. As is often the case this time of year, chilly air masses won’t stick around for too long…much warmer conditions coming for the mid and late week.
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