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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:00 AM | ****Hurricane Isaias intensifies overnight...to slam into the northern Gulf coast later tonight...impacts the Mid-Atlantic region with rain, wind and possible thunderstorms on Sunday****

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Isaias indeed intensified overnight and it now on the doorstep of being classified as a “major” category 3 storm. Landfall is likely later tonight somewhere near the very western part of Florida’s Panhandle with heavy rain, damaging wind gusts and high storm surge expected along the Gulf coast. Severe weather will become a risk later tonight and on Saturday in the southeastern states with isolated tornadoes on the table. After landfall, the impact from Isaias will continue well to the north of the Gulf coast as it first moves north to the Tennessee Valley and then northeast on Sunday towards the Mid-Atlantic region. Rain and wind should push into the Mid-Atlantic region on Sunday and there can be a few thunderstorms in the mix as well…some of the rain can be heavy at times.

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****Hurricane Isaias on the doorstep of “major” category 3 classification…landfall tonight likely near the far western part of Florida’s Panhandle…impacts to the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, NE US****

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Isaias indeed intensified during the past 24 hours and is now right on the verge of classification as a “major” category 3 storm. Landfall is likely around midnight on Friday night near the far western part of Florida’s Panhandle. There can be some weakening of Isaias in the few hours before landfall due to increasing wind shear, but regardless, it will remain a dangerous hurricane with heavy rain, damaging winds, and significant storm surge along the Gulf coast. Impacts will extend northward to the Tennessee Valley on Saturday with heavy rain, damaging winds and potentially severe weather to include the risk of isolated tornadoes. Rain and wind will push into the Mid-Atlantic region on Sunday and there can be thunderstorms as well mixed into the picture.

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6:00 AM | ****Hurricane Isaias intensifies overnight...to slam into the northern Gulf coast later tonight...impacts the Mid-Atlantic region with rain, wind and possible thunderstorms on Sunday****

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Isaias indeed intensified overnight and it now on the doorstep of being classified as a “major” category 3 storm. Landfall is likely later tonight somewhere near the very western part of Florida’s Panhandle with heavy rain, damaging wind gusts and high storm surge expected along the Gulf coast. Severe weather will become a risk later tonight and on Saturday in the southeastern states with isolated tornadoes on the table. After landfall, the impact from Isaias will continue well to the north of the Gulf coast as it first moves north to the Tennessee Valley and then northeast on Sunday towards the Mid-Atlantic region. Rain and wind should push into the Mid-Atlantic region on Sunday and there can be a few thunderstorms in the mix as well…some of the rain can be heavy at times.

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6:00 AM | ****Hurricane Isaias intensifies overnight...to slam into the northern Gulf coast later tonight...impacts the Mid-Atlantic region with rain, wind and possible thunderstorms on Sunday****

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Isaias indeed intensified overnight and it now on the doorstep of being classified as a “major” category 3 storm. Landfall is likely later tonight somewhere near the very western part of Florida’s Panhandle with heavy rain, damaging wind gusts and high storm surge expected along the Gulf coast. Severe weather will become a risk later tonight and on Saturday in the southeastern states with isolated tornadoes on the table. After landfall, the impact from Isaias will continue well to the north of the Gulf coast as it first moves north to the Tennessee Valley and then northeast on Sunday towards the Mid-Atlantic region. Rain and wind should push into the Mid-Atlantic region on Sunday and there can be a few thunderstorms in the mix as well…some of the rain can be heavy at times.

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6:00 AM | ****Hurricane Isaias intensifies overnight and now on the doorstep of cat 3...to slam into the northern Gulf coast later tonight****

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Isaias indeed intensified overnight and is now on the doorstep of classification as a “major” category 3 storm. Landfall is expected later tonight in the far western part of Florida’s Panhandle and there can be some weakening in the last few hours just before it reaches the Gulf coast due to an increase in wind shear. Isaias should move northward early tomorrow through the northern part of Alabama into the Tennessee Valley with heavy rain and damaging wind gusts on the table for the Huntsville region…watch for flash flooding and power outages are on the table. The remnants of Isaias will then take a turn to the northeast on Sunday and move from the Tennessee Valley to the northeastern part of the country.

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****Hurricane Isaias is to intensify during next 24 hours...can make landfall on Friday night in the far western part of Florida's Panhandle...impacts to the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, NE US****

Paul Dorian

The eastern Pacific Ocean is alive and well with tropical activity and now the Atlantic Basin has its first hurricane of the season which is the latest for the first hurricane in more than one hundred years. Hurricane Isaias is now pulling out of the southwestern Gulf with maximum sustained winds of around 80 mph (category 1). It is quite likely to intensify during the next 24 hours into a category 2 storm with an outside chance of climbing to “major” category 3 status on early Friday. Landfall is expected later Friday night somewhere near the western part of Florida’s Panhandle and there can be some weakening in the last few hours before Isaias reaches the Gulf coast. Regardless, Isaias will be a dangerous hurricane with significant storm surge along the Gulf coast, damaging winds, and flooding rains.

After landfall, impacts of Isaias will continue to the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys on Saturday and all the way to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US on Sunday where rain is likely and it can be heavy at times. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Rachel will make a dramatic right turn and bring rain and wind to southern California and northern Baja, and its vast moisture field will push all the into the northern Rocky Mountain States where it may be cold enough to produce accumulating snow. Tropical Storm Simon is likely to become a hurricane and turn into Mexico with its moisture field likely headed to the southwestern and south-central states.

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6:00 AM | ***All eyes on Hurricane Isaias...the first of the Atlantic Basin tropical season...impacts all the way to the Mid-Atlantic region by later this weekend***

Paul Dorian

All eyes are now on Hurricane Isaias – the first hurricane this season in the Atlantic Basin and the latest first hurricane in more than one hundred years. With favorable environmental conditions headed by very warm sea surface temperatures of around 30 degrees Celsius, Isaias is likely to climb to a strong category 2 status in the near term, and a “major” category 3 classification cannot be completely ruled out. Landfall is likely to occur late Friday somewhere in the region of Mobile Bay and there can be some weakening just before landfall.

Heavy rain, damaging wind gusts and high storm surge will take place along the central Gulf coast and severe weather will become a risk on Friday night and Saturday in the Deep South: especially, to the right of the northward-moving storm track. After landfall, the impact from Isaias is likely to continue well to the north of the northern Gulf with its rain shield likely moving as far north as the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US with some heavy rain on the table around here by later in the weekend.

Read More

6:00 AM | ***All eyes on Hurricane Isaias...the first of the Atlantic Basin tropical season...impacts all the way to the Mid-Atlantic region by later this weekend***

Paul Dorian

All eyes are now on Hurricane Isaias – the first hurricane this season in the Atlantic Basin and the latest first hurricane in more than one hundred years. With favorable environmental conditions headed by very warm sea surface temperatures of around 30 degrees Celsius, Isaias is likely to climb to a strong category 2 status in the near term, and a “major” category 3 classification cannot be completely ruled out. Landfall is likely to occur late Friday somewhere in the region of Mobile Bay and there can be some weakening just before landfall.

Heavy rain, damaging wind gusts and high storm surge will take place along the central Gulf coast and severe weather will become a risk on Friday night and Saturday in the Deep South: especially, to the right of the northward-moving storm track. After landfall, the impact from Isaias is likely to continue well to the north of the northern Gulf with its rain shield likely moving as far north as the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US with some heavy rain on the table around here by later in the weekend.

Read More

6:00 AM | ***All eyes on Hurricane Isaias...the first of the Atlantic Basin tropical season...impacts all the way to the Mid-Atlantic region by later this weekend***

Paul Dorian

All eyes are now on Hurricane Isaias – the first hurricane this season in the Atlantic Basin and the latest first hurricane in more than one hundred years. With favorable environmental conditions headed by very warm sea surface temperatures of around 30 degrees Celsius, Isaias is likely to climb to a strong category 2 status in the near term, and a “major” category 3 classification cannot be completely ruled out. Landfall is likely to occur late Friday somewhere in the region of Mobile Bay and there can be some weakening just before landfall.

Heavy rain, damaging wind gusts and high storm surge will take place along the central Gulf coast and severe weather will become a risk on Friday night and Saturday in the Deep South: especially, to the right of the northward-moving storm track. After landfall, the impact from Isaias is likely to continue well to the north of the northern Gulf with its rain shield likely moving as far north as the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US with some heavy rain on the table around here by later in the weekend.

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6:00 AM | *Stays much warmer than normal for the next couple of days...overall pattern changes by early next week*

Paul Dorian

Well above normal temperatures continue around here for the next couple of days with upper-level ridging centered over the Rocky Mountain States. Moisture will be limited through much of the weekend, but changes will take place in the overall pattern by early next week. Temperatures should cool down by early next week and the risk for some shower activity will be on the increase.

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