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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:00 AM | *Chance of showers on Saturday...maybe a PM thunderstorm...another shot at showers later Sunday into Monday*

Paul Dorian

After a dry day to end the work week, an unsettled pattern will return on Saturday bringing the Mid-Atlantic region a chance of showers, maybe even an isolated thunderstorm. Another system has an even better shot at producing showers around here from Sunday night into Monday...sandwiched in between these two systems we’ll try to squeeze out a decent Mother’s Day with sun followed by late day clouds, but late day showers are possible. Yet another shower threat could reach the Mid-Atlantic by mid-week.

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6:00 AM | *Chance of showers on Saturday...maybe a PM thunderstorm...another shot at showers from later Sunday into Monday and next mid-week*

Paul Dorian

After a dry day to end the work week, an unsettled pattern will return on Saturday bringing the Mid-Atlantic region a chance of showers, maybe even an isolated thunderstorm. Another system has an even better shot at producing showers around here from Sunday night into Monday...sandwiched in between these two systems we’ll try to squeeze out a decent Mother’s Day with sun followed by late day clouds, but late day showers are possible. Yet another shower threat could reach the Mid-Atlantic by mid-week.

Read More

6:00 AM | *Chance of showers on Saturday...maybe a PM thunderstorm...another shot at showers later Sunday into Monday and next mid-week*

Paul Dorian

After a dry day to end the work week, an unsettled pattern will return on Saturday bringing the Mid-Atlantic region a chance of showers, maybe even an isolated thunderstorm. Another system has an even better shot at producing showers around here from Sunday night into Monday...sandwiched in between these two systems we’ll try to squeeze out a decent Mother’s Day with sun followed by late day clouds, but late day showers are possible. Yet another shower threat could reach the Mid-Atlantic by mid-week.

Read More

6:00 AM | *Next opportunity for showers comes on Saturday and a second one on Sunday night/Monday and next mid-week*

Paul Dorian

There was some beneficial rainfall on Wednesday in the Mid-Atlantic as a cold front approached the region and there will be other opportunities for showers in coming days. After a dry day to end the work week on Friday, the next disturbance will arrive on Saturday and occasional showers are likely in the area. By Sunday night and Monday, another system will increase the chance of showers as the unsettled weather pattern continues into the early part of next week.

Read More

6:00 AM | *Next opportunity for showers comes on Saturday and a second one on Sunday night/Monday*

Paul Dorian

There was some beneficial rainfall on Wednesday in the Mid-Atlantic as a cold front approached the region and there will be other opportunities for showers in coming days. After a dry day to end the work week on Friday, the next disturbance will arrive on Saturday and showers are possible in the area. By Sunday night and Monday, another system will increase the chance of showers as the unsettled weather pattern continues into the early part of next week.

Read More

6:00 AM | *Next opportunity for showers comes on Saturday and a second one on Sunday night/Monday*

Paul Dorian

There was some beneficial rainfall on Wednesday in the Mid-Atlantic as a cold front approached the region and there will be other opportunities for showers in coming days. After a dry day to end the work week on Friday, the next disturbance will arrive on Saturday and occasional showers are likely in the area. By Sunday night and Monday, another system will increase the chance of showers as the unsettled weather pattern continues into the early part of next week.

Read More

**El Nino on the way...could be one of the strongest in the last 50 years...big (inhibiting) impact likely on the Atlantic Basin tropical season...potential effects next winter...historical context**

Paul Dorian

As noted in the 2026 Tropical Outlook, El Nino is going to be a major player with respect to the upcoming tropical season in the Atlantic Basin and signs are increasingly pointing to one of the strongest episodes in the last 50 years. The most powerful El Nino events in recent history took place in 1982-1983, 1997-1998, and during 2015-2016, and this upcoming occurrence could rival all of them in terms of its magnitude. Not only have surface water temperatures climbed dramatically in recent days across the tropical Pacific Ocean, but some very warm water relative-to-normal lurks just beneath the surface…and it is “bubbling” up to the top. El Nino will have worldwide impacts during the summer and fall seasons and likely be a big inhibiting factor to the Atlantic Basin tropical season due to increased subsidence and wind shear (hostile conditions for tropical systems). Should El Nino continue into the first part of 2027 - and odds are quite good from this vantage point - it could have big implications on the winter season across the continental US...something we’ll monitor in the months to come.

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*The role of the weather in the Hindenburg disaster of May 6th, 1937*

Paul Dorian

Weather played an important role in the 1912 disaster of the sinking of the RMS Titanic, and it likely played a direct role in another disaster that took place 25 years later – at least that is the prevailing belief. On May 6th, 1937, while the German passenger airship LZ 129 Hindenburg was attempting to land at the Lakehurst Naval Air Station in New Jersey, a flame appeared on the outer cover of the rear of the ship. Within 34 seconds, the entire airship was consumed by fire and the golden age of airship travel was over.

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6:00 AM | ****A major snow event continues...heavy, wet snow and difficult travel conditions****

Paul Dorian

A major snow event continues

Much colder air moved into the area on Tuesday, and a significant snowstorm will bring as much as 6-10 inches of heavy, wet snow to the Denver metro region with even higher amounts near the foothills. Travel will be tricky; especially during the morning hours with temperatures hovering near the freezing mark in many areas. As is typical this time of year, the unusual cold will give way to milder conditions by week’s end.

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