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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

*New England has been in a "hurricane drought since 1991...looking back, there was a "great" one on this date in 1938*

Paul Dorian

New England is currently experiencing a “hurricane drought” without having a direct hit in 35 years since Hurricane Bob made landfall in 1991. One of the most destructive and powerful hurricanes in recorded history struck Long Island and New England on this date, September 21, in the year 1938. It was the first major hurricane to strike New England since the year 1869.  The storm developed near the Cape Verde Islands on September 9, tracking across the Atlantic and up the Eastern Seaboard. The storm hit Long Island and Southern Connecticut on September 21, moving at a forward speed of 47 mph!

Today marks the 88th anniversary of storm known as "The Great New England Hurricane of 1938" as well as "The Long Island Express" and the "Yankee Clipper". With no warning, the powerful category 3 hurricane (previously a category 5) slammed into Long Island and southern New England causing approximately 682 deaths and massive devastation to coastal cities and became the most destructive storm to strike the region in the 20th century. Little media attention was given to the powerful hurricane while it was out at sea as Europe was on the brink of war and the overriding story of the time. There was no advanced meteorological technology such as radar or satellite imagery to warn of the storm’s approach.

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6:00 AM | **Big time cool down this week with strong high pressure to our north...unsettled as well with showers from time-to-time**

Paul Dorian

An unusually strong “cold air damming” scenario is looking likely for the next few days anchored by a deep high-pressure system centered over southeastern Canada. As a result, a stiff flow of air from the east-to-northeast will form producing far below normal temperatures in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor for the bulk of the week. In addition to the chill down, the weather will be quite unsettled as well with periods of rain during the next few days as multiple low pressure areas ride along a nearby frontal boundary zone and one of these will intensify over the western Atlantic. With the expected lengthy period of onshore flow, tidal flooding will likely become a big concern along coastal sections by later in the week.

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6:00 AM | **Big time cool down this week with strong high pressure to our north...unsettled as well with showers from time-to-time**

Paul Dorian

An unusually strong “cold air damming” scenario is looking likely for the next few days anchored by a deep high-pressure system centered over southeastern Canada. As a result, a stiff flow of air from the east-to-northeast will form producing far below normal temperatures in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor for the bulk of the week. In addition to the chill down, the weather will be quite unsettled as well with periods of rain during the next few days as multiple low pressure areas ride along a nearby frontal boundary zone and one of these will intensify over the western Atlantic. With the expected lengthy period of onshore flow, tidal flooding will likely become a big concern along coastal sections by later in the week.

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6:00 AM | *Hot again today with highs in the upper 90's...manageable warmth later in the week*

Paul Dorian

The weather remains quite hot for the next couple of days with high pressure to our north in control. Temperatures today can peak in the upper 90’s and then the low-to-mid 90’s are on the table for tomorrow afternoon. It becomes more manageable later in the week with afternoon highs mainly confined to the low-to-mid 80’s from Wednesday to Saturday. As far as rain goes, there is the chance for showers and thunderstorms during the PM hours on Monday and Tuesday as well and some of the storms can be strong.

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6:00 AM | **Big time cool down this week with strong high pressure to our north...unsettled as well with rain from time-to-time**

Paul Dorian

An unusually strong “cold air damming” scenario is looking likely for the next few days anchored by a deep high-pressure system centered over southeastern Canada. As a result, a stiff flow of air from the east-to-northeast will form producing far below normal temperatures in the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor for the bulk of the week. In addition to the chill down, the weather will be quite unsettled as well with periods of rain during the next few days as multiple low pressure areas ride along a nearby frontal boundary zone and one of these will intensify over the western Atlantic. With the expected lengthy period of onshore flow, tidal flooding will likely become a big concern along coastal sections by later in the week.

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***Unusually strong “cold air damming” setup to result in big-time cool down next week for DC, Philly, NYC…unsettled pattern as well with occasional rain that can be heavy at times...nor'easter?***

Paul Dorian

Temperatures have been consistently peaking well up in the 80’s in recent days along the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor, but there can be quite a change by the middle of next week. An unusually strong “cold air damming” setup is looking likely with deep high pressure centered over southeastern Canada and this could limit temperatures to the 60’s along the I-95 corridor. In addition to the high-pressure system to the north, this scenario will feature a slow-moving frontal boundary zone that will allow multiple low pressure systems to ride along bringing plenty of moisture into the Mid-Atlantic region. And there is the chance that one of these low pressure systems intensifies just off the Mid-Atlantic coastline in “nor’easter” fashion. The bottom line…occasional rain is likely from Sunday into the middle of next week and some of the rain can be heavy at times to go along with much cooler-than-normal temperatures.

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6:00 AM | **An unsettled stretch of weather begins on Sunday with rain from time-to-time to mid-week...some of the rain can get heavy and it'll become quite cool**

Paul Dorian

High pressure will return to the area today on the heels of the latest frontal passage and the work week will end on a more comfortable note with lowering humidity values. A stretch of unsettled weather begins on Sunday with occasional rain likely to end the weekend and the rain can get heavy at times. The unsettled weather can last all the way into the middle next week with additional showers from time-to-time and it’ll turn very cool for this time of year. The culprit to the unsettled and cool weather pattern will be strong high pressure to our north combined with a stalled out frontal boundary zone that will allow multiple systems to ride along and bring moisture into the Mid-Atlantic region.

Read More

6:00 AM | **An unsettled stretch of weather begins on Sunday with rain from time-to-time to mid-week...some of the rain can get heavy and it'll become quite cool**

Paul Dorian

High pressure will return to the area today on the heels of the latest frontal passage and the work week will end on a more comfortable note with lowering humidity values. A stretch of unsettled weather begins on Sunday with occasional rain likely to end the weekend and the rain can get heavy at times. The unsettled weather can last all the way into the middle next week with additional showers from time-to-time and it’ll turn very cool for this time of year. The culprit to the unsettled and cool weather pattern will be strong high pressure to our north combined with a stalled out frontal boundary zone that will allow multiple systems to ride along and bring moisture into the Mid-Atlantic region.

Read More

6:00 AM | **An unsettled stretch of weather begins on Sunday with rain from time-to-time to mid-week...some of the rain can get heavy and it'll become quite cool**

Paul Dorian

High pressure will return to the area today on the heels of the latest frontal passage and the work week will end on a more comfortable note with lowering humidity values. A stretch of unsettled weather begins on Sunday with occasional rain likely to end the weekend and the rain can get heavy at times. The unsettled weather can last all the way into the middle next week with additional showers from time-to-time and it’ll turn very cool for this time of year. The culprit to the unsettled and cool weather pattern will be strong high pressure to our north combined with a stalled out frontal boundary zone that will allow multiple systems to ride along and bring moisture into the Mid-Atlantic region.

Read More