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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

**A brief taste of winter this weekend across the Great Lakes, Mid-Atlantic, Northeast US**

Paul Dorian

The next couple of days will feature quite warm conditions across the Great Lakes, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast US with temperatures well above normal for the middle of October. However, a big change is coming for the weekend, and it will result in the first taste of winter to the same part of the country. A strong cold front should pass through the northeastern states on Friday night, and the weekend may feature temperatures way down in the 30’s in many spots and “lake-effect” snow showers are possible just downstream of the still relatively warm Great Lakes. The chill down will be brief, and warmer weather returns next week, but for a couple of days this weekend, it may be difficult to have thoughts about the upcoming winter season.

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6:00 AM | *Clearing skies this afternoon...warm weather next couple of days...chilly weekend on the way*

Paul Dorian

The remnants of Hurricane Isaias contributed to a rainy Sunday in the Mid-Atlantic region and it pushes farther away today allowing for clearing skies in the afternoon after a mainly cloudy morning and residual light rain or drizzle. The next couple of days should feature plenty of sunshine and warm conditions with high pressure in control. A strong cold front arrives on Friday night…potentially with some shower activity…and the coolest air mass so far this season pushes in for the upcoming weekend and there may even be snow showers up in the mountains to our north and west.

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6:00 AM | *Clearing skies this afternoon...warm weather next couple of days...chilly weekend on the way*

Paul Dorian

The remnants of Hurricane Isaias contributed to a rainy Sunday in the Mid-Atlantic region and it pushes farther away today allowing for clearing skies in the afternoon after a mainly cloudy morning and residual light rain or drizzle. The next couple of days should feature plenty of sunshine and warm conditions with high pressure in control. A strong cold front arrives on Friday night…potentially with some shower activity…and the coolest air mass so far this season pushes in for the upcoming weekend and there may even be snow showers up in the mountains to our north and west.

Read More

6:00 AM | *Clearing skies this afternoon...warm weather next couple of days...chilly weekend on the way*

Paul Dorian

The remnants of Hurricane Isaias contributed to a rainy Sunday in the Mid-Atlantic region and it pushes farther away today allowing for clearing skies in the afternoon after a mainly cloudy morning and residual light rain or drizzle. The next couple of days should feature plenty of sunshine and warm conditions with high pressure in control. A strong cold front arrives on Friday night…potentially with some shower activity…and the coolest air mass so far this season pushes in for the upcoming weekend and there may even be snow showers up in the mountains to our north and west.

Read More

6:00 AM | ****Hurricane Isaias intensifies overnight...to slam into the northern Gulf coast later tonight...impacts the Mid-Atlantic region with rain, wind and possible thunderstorms on Sunday****

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Isaias indeed intensified overnight and it now on the doorstep of being classified as a “major” category 3 storm. Landfall is likely later tonight somewhere near the very western part of Florida’s Panhandle with heavy rain, damaging wind gusts and high storm surge expected along the Gulf coast. Severe weather will become a risk later tonight and on Saturday in the southeastern states with isolated tornadoes on the table. After landfall, the impact from Isaias will continue well to the north of the Gulf coast as it first moves north to the Tennessee Valley and then northeast on Sunday towards the Mid-Atlantic region. Rain and wind should push into the Mid-Atlantic region on Sunday and there can be a few thunderstorms in the mix as well…some of the rain can be heavy at times.

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****Hurricane Isaias on the doorstep of “major” category 3 classification…landfall tonight likely near the far western part of Florida’s Panhandle…impacts to the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, NE US****

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Isaias indeed intensified during the past 24 hours and is now right on the verge of classification as a “major” category 3 storm. Landfall is likely around midnight on Friday night near the far western part of Florida’s Panhandle. There can be some weakening of Isaias in the few hours just before landfall due to increasing wind shear; nonetheless, it will remain a dangerous hurricane with heavy rain, damaging winds, and significant storm surge along the Gulf coast. Impacts will extend northward to the Tennessee Valley on Saturday with heavy rain, damaging winds and potentially severe weather to include the risk of isolated tornadoes. Rain and wind will push into the Mid-Atlantic region on Sunday and there can be strong-to-severe thunderstorms mixed into the picture as well.

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6:00 AM | ****Hurricane Isaias intensifies overnight...to slam into the northern Gulf coast later tonight...impacts the Mid-Atlantic region with rain, wind and possible thunderstorms on Sunday****

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Isaias indeed intensified overnight and it now on the doorstep of being classified as a “major” category 3 storm. Landfall is likely later tonight somewhere near the very western part of Florida’s Panhandle with heavy rain, damaging wind gusts and high storm surge expected along the Gulf coast. Severe weather will become a risk later tonight and on Saturday in the southeastern states with isolated tornadoes on the table. After landfall, the impact from Isaias will continue well to the north of the Gulf coast as it first moves north to the Tennessee Valley and then northeast on Sunday towards the Mid-Atlantic region. Rain and wind should push into the Mid-Atlantic region on Sunday and there can be a few thunderstorms in the mix as well…some of the rain can be heavy at times.

Read More

6:00 AM | ****Hurricane Isaias intensifies overnight...to slam into the northern Gulf coast later tonight...impacts the Mid-Atlantic region with rain, wind and possible thunderstorms on Sunday****

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Isaias indeed intensified overnight and it now on the doorstep of being classified as a “major” category 3 storm. Landfall is likely later tonight somewhere near the very western part of Florida’s Panhandle with heavy rain, damaging wind gusts and high storm surge expected along the Gulf coast. Severe weather will become a risk later tonight and on Saturday in the southeastern states with isolated tornadoes on the table. After landfall, the impact from Isaias will continue well to the north of the Gulf coast as it first moves north to the Tennessee Valley and then northeast on Sunday towards the Mid-Atlantic region. Rain and wind should push into the Mid-Atlantic region on Sunday and there can be a few thunderstorms in the mix as well…some of the rain can be heavy at times.

Read More

6:00 AM | ****Hurricane Isaias intensifies overnight and now on the doorstep of cat 3...to slam into the northern Gulf coast later tonight****

Paul Dorian

Hurricane Isaias indeed intensified overnight and is now on the doorstep of classification as a “major” category 3 storm. Landfall is expected later tonight in the far western part of Florida’s Panhandle and there can be some weakening in the last few hours just before it reaches the Gulf coast due to an increase in wind shear. Isaias should move northward early tomorrow through the northern part of Alabama into the Tennessee Valley with heavy rain and damaging wind gusts on the table for the Huntsville region…watch for flash flooding and power outages are on the table. The remnants of Isaias will then take a turn to the northeast on Sunday and move from the Tennessee Valley to the northeastern part of the country.

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****Hurricane Isaias is to intensify during next 24 hours...can make landfall on Friday night in the far western part of Florida's Panhandle...impacts to the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, NE US****

Paul Dorian

The eastern Pacific Ocean is alive and well with tropical activity and now the Atlantic Basin has its first hurricane of the season which is the latest for the first hurricane in more than one hundred years. Hurricane Isaias is now pulling out of the southwestern Gulf with maximum sustained winds of around 80 mph (category 1). It is quite likely to intensify during the next 24 hours into a category 2 storm with an outside chance of climbing to “major” category 3 status on early Friday. Landfall is expected later Friday night somewhere near the western part of Florida’s Panhandle and there can be some weakening in the last few hours before Isaias reaches the Gulf coast. Regardless, Isaias will be a dangerous hurricane with significant storm surge along the Gulf coast, damaging winds, and flooding rains.

After landfall, impacts of Isaias will continue to the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys on Saturday and all the way to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US on Sunday where rain is likely and it can be heavy at times. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Rachel will make a dramatic right turn and bring rain and wind to southern California and northern Baja, and its vast moisture field will push all the into the northern Rocky Mountain States where it may be cold enough to produce accumulating snow. Tropical Storm Simon is likely to become a hurricane and turn into Mexico with its moisture field likely headed to the southwestern and south-central states.

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