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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

**Southern storm to produce widespread rain this weekend and a severe weather threat...Mid-Atlantic region on the northern fringes...warmer weather next week**

Paul Dorian

A low pressure system that produced some beneficial rain and snow across California on Wednesday will ride along the newly activated sub-tropical jet stream and re-emerge over the south-central states early this weekend. Warm and humid air will flow northward into this system from the Gulf, and this will help to intensify and expand the storm’s precipitation shield...all good news for the Deep South where it has been quite dry in recent weeks. The influx of warm and humid air will also help to destabilize the atmosphere, leading to a severe weather threat by later Saturday and Saturday night in portions of the south-central US. This system will then push eastward and head towards the eastern seaboard on Sunday potentially bringing some precipitation to the southern Mid-Atlantic region which will be on the northern fringes of its moisture field. Much milder weather will follow across the northeastern states for the bulk of next week.

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6:00 AM | *Moderately cold today following the passage of a cold front and still quite breezy...noticeably milder weather next week*

Paul Dorian

A cold front passed through the area on Wednesday and its passage will result in moderately cold conditions for the remainder of the week. The winds that intensified following the frontal passage will remain quite noticeable today with gusts from the northwest of up to 30 mph. Looking ahead, a storm system will trek across the southern states this weekend and it can impact the DC metro region with some rain from later Sunday into Sunday night. Following the passage of that system, a noticeably milder weather pattern will kick into gear across the northeastern part of the country for the bulk of next week.

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6:00 AM | *Moderately cold today following the passage of a cold front and still quite breezy...noticeably milder weather next week*

Paul Dorian

A cold front passed through the area on Wednesday and its passage will result in moderately cold conditions for the remainder of the week. The winds that intensified following the frontal passage will remain quite noticeable today with gusts from the northwest of up to 30 mph or so. Looking ahead, a storm system will trek across the southern states this weekend and it can impact the NYC metro region from later Sunday into Sunday night with some snow or a mix of rain and snow. Following the passage of that system, a noticeably milder weather pattern will kick into gear across the northeastern part of the country for the bulk of next week.

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6:00 AM | *Moderately cold today following the passage of a cold front and still quite breezy...noticeably milder weather next week*

Paul Dorian

A cold front passed through the area on Wednesday and its passage will result in moderately cold conditions for the remainder of the week. The winds that intensified following the frontal passage will remain quite noticeable today with gusts from the northwest of up to 30 mph. Looking ahead, a storm system will trek across the southern states this weekend and it can impact the Philly metro region with a mix of rain and snow rain from later Sunday into Sunday night. Following the passage of that system, a noticeably milder weather pattern will kick into gear across the northeastern part of the country for the bulk of next week.

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**Changing weather pattern results in storm that impacts the western states during the next couple of days...southern states this weekend...and some impact possible in the Mid-Atlantic**

Paul Dorian

The polar jet has dominated the scene in recent weeks across North America resulting in numerous Arctic air masses being transported from western Canada into the northeastern states, but changes are underway as the sub-tropical jet is now showing plenty of life. This changing weather pattern will result in milder conditions across the northeastern states and some much-needed precipitation across the western and southern states after an extended dry stretch. The rejuvenated sub-tropical jet stream is pouring moisture today into southern California while an intensifying surface low pressure spins just off the San Francisco coastline. This system will produce some rain in low lying areas of the Golden State during the next 24 hours or so and significant accumulating snow in the mountains of eastern California.

By the early part of the weekend, this same low-pressure system will re-emerge over the south-central states and Gulf moisture will feed into its southeastern flank. As such, the moisture field will expand - good news for the Deep South where it has been dry - and the risk of severe weather will likely be put back in play in some areas. This system will then move in a general eastward direction and it can have an impact on the Mid-Atlantic region by the latter part of the weekend with mixed precipitation on the table. Much milder weather will follow in Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US later next week after the passage of this storm system off the eastern seaboard.  

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6:00 AM | **Winds pick up noticeably today...moderately cold for the remainder of the week...still monitoring late weekend storm threat**

Paul Dorian

A cold front will pass through the area later today and its passage will ensure moderately cold conditions for the remainder of the week and weekend. In addition, the winds will pick up today with gusts to 30 mph or so and it’ll stay quite breezy on Thursday as well to go along with the moderately cold conditions. Looking ahead, a storm system will trek across the southern states this weekend and it can impact the Mid-Atlantic region from later Sunday into Monday…potentially with a mixed bag of precipitation and accumulating snow is still on the table. Following the passage of that storm system, a milder weather pattern will kick into gear next week across the northeastern part of the country.

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6:00 AM | **Winds pick up noticeably today...moderately cold for the remainder of the week...still monitoring late weekend storm threat**

Paul Dorian

A cold front will pass through the area later today and its passage will ensure moderately cold conditions for the remainder of the week and weekend. In addition, the winds will pick up today with gusts to 30 mph or so and it’ll stay quite breezy on Thursday as well to go along with the moderately cold conditions. Looking ahead, a storm system will trek across the southern states this weekend and it can impact the Mid-Atlantic region from later Sunday into Monday…potentially with a mixed bag of precipitation and accumulating snow is still on the table. Following the passage of that storm system, a milder weather pattern will kick into gear next week across the northeastern part of the country. One final note, yesterday marked the 16th day in a row with 5” or more at PHL…longest stretch like that since 2010.

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6:00 AM | **Winds pick up noticeably today...moderately cold for the remainder of the week...still monitoring late weekend storm threat**

Paul Dorian

A cold front will pass through the area later today and its passage will ensure moderately cold conditions for the remainder of the week and weekend. In addition, the winds will pick up today with gusts to 30 mph or so and it’ll stay quite breezy on Thursday as well to go along with the moderately cold conditions. Looking ahead, a storm system will trek across the southern states this weekend and it can impact the Mid-Atlantic region from later Sunday into Monday…potentially with a mixed bag of precipitation and accumulating snow cannot be ruled out. Following the passage of that storm system, a milder weather pattern will kick into gear next week across the northeastern part of the country. One final note, yesterday marked the 17th day in a row with at least 2” of snow on the ground at DCA…the longest such stretch in 36 years.

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