El Nino continues to intensify across most regions of the equatorial Pacific Ocean with well above-normal water temperatures that continue to rise rather sharply in recent weeks. In fact, all indications suggest that the overall magnitude of this unfolding El Nino will rival some of the great ones in recent history including those in 1982-1983, 1997-1998, and 2015-2016. The warmer-than-normal water across the Pacific Ocean is likely to lead to a very active next couple of months in terms of overall tropical activity and even the Hawaiian Islands may be impacted by a direct hit.
At the same time, colder-than-normal water currently exists across what is known as the “Main Development Region” of the Atlantic Ocean in terms of tropical activity, and this inhibiting factor combined with El Nino in the Pacific Ocean will likely lead to a quieter-than-normal season in the Atlantic Basin. Looking ahead, it appears El Nino will not only have an important impact on the near-term tropical seasons but potentially have a significant impact on the winter season of 2026.2027. Numerous computer forecast models suggest El Nino conditions will peak during the fall season and will last right into the early spring of 2027.
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The next few days will feature very warm conditions and the chance of PM showers and thunderstorms. The bigger story is the excessive heat that is likely to come to the area this weekend and continue into next week. Intense upper-level ridging will take shape over the western states by the upcoming weekend and early part of next week and this will likely result in a surge towards 100 degrees in the Denver metro region.
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The reminder of the week should feature rather typical summer weather around here with very warm and humid conditions and a daily shot at showers and thunderstorms. Any thunderstorm that does materialize in coming days can produce some heavy rainfall amounts in a short period of time for localized areas.
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Low pressure will slowly pull off to the north and east today, but the atmosphere will remain unstable enough for scattered showers and thunderstorms...greatest chance of which will come during the afternoon and early evening hours. High pressure builds into the area on Wednesday likely leading to a rain-free day, but the chance of showers and thunderstorms returns later Thursday and Friday as a new frontal system moves in from the west.
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Low pressure will slowly pull off to the north and east today, but the atmosphere will remain unstable enough for scattered showers and thunderstorms...greatest chance of which will come during the afternoon and early evening hours. High pressure builds into the area on Wednesday likely leading to a rain-free day, but the chance of showers and thunderstorms returns later Thursday and Friday as a new frontal system moves in from the west.
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Low pressure will slowly pull off to the north and east today, but the atmosphere will remain unstable enough for scattered showers and thunderstorms...greatest chance of which will come during the afternoon and early evening hours. High pressure builds into the area on Wednesday likely leading to a rain-free day, but the chance of showers and thunderstorms returns later Thursday and Friday as a new frontal system moves in from the west.
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There will be additional showers and thunderstorms today in the Mid-Atlantic region and some of the rain can be heavy at times…watch out for localized flooding conditions. While humidity levels will be high during the next couple of days, temperatures will be more manageable with afternoon highs generally in the upper 70’s across the metro region. High pressure builds into the area at mid-week and then the chance of showers and storms will return again for Thursday and Friday.
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There will be additional showers and thunderstorms today in the Mid-Atlantic region and some of the rain can be heavy at times…watch out for localized flooding conditions. While humidity levels will be high during the next couple of days, temperatures will be more manageable with afternoon highs generally in the 80’s across the metro region. High pressure builds into the area at mid-week and then the chance of showers and storms will return again for Thursday and Friday.
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There will be additional showers and thunderstorms today in the Mid-Atlantic region and some of the rain can be heavy at times…watch out for localized flooding conditions. While humidity levels will be high during the next couple of days, temperatures will be more manageable with afternoon highs generally in the upper 70’s across the metro region. High pressure builds into the area at mid-week and then the chance of showers and storms will return again for Thursday and Friday.
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An upper-level trough will extend from the Rockies to the west coast during the next few days and this positioning will promote a southwesterly flow of air around here. As such, the main weather theme in this area will be one featuring very warm and dry conditions...expect to see afternoon highs up in the 90’s through the week and upcoming holiday weekend.
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