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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

*The role of the weather in the assassination of President Kennedy on November 22nd, 1963*

Paul Dorian

The weather in Dallas, Texas had been rainy, and the weather forecast was for more rain on November 22nd, 1963. If the forecast had turned out to be correct with more rain on that fateful day, then that would have likely meant that a plexiglass bubble top would have been used on President John F. Kennedy’s 1961 Lincoln Convertible on a planned motorcade through the Dallas metro region. But the weather cleared unexpectedly, the protective top was removed from the car, and shots rang out in the early afternoon hours at Dealey Plaza killing the 35th President and seriously wounding Texas Governor John Connally.

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6:00 AM | *More beneficial rainfall coming tonight to the Mid-Atlantic region and another shot comes on Tuesday*

Paul Dorian

High pressure pushes off the coast today and low pressure will track nearby from tonight into early Saturday. As a result, the chance for more beneficial rain in the Mid-Atlantic region will increase tonight and continue into early Saturday. High pressure will then edge its way into the area tomorrow night and this should result in dry conditions and some sunshine here on both Sunday and Monday.

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6:00 AM | *More beneficial rainfall coming tonight to the Mid-Atlantic region and another shot comes on Tuesday*

Paul Dorian

High pressure pushes off the coast today and low pressure will track nearby from tonight into early Saturday. As a result, the chance for more beneficial rain in the Mid-Atlantic region will increase tonight and continue into early Saturday. High pressure will then edge its way into the area tomorrow night and this should result in dry conditions and some sunshine here on both Sunday and Monday.

Read More

6:00 AM | *More beneficial rainfall coming tonight to the Mid-Atlantic region and another shot comes on Tuesday*

Paul Dorian

High pressure pushes off the coast today and low pressure will track nearby from tonight into early Saturday. As a result, the chance for more beneficial rain will become quite high here late today and especially during the nighttime hours. High pressure will then edge its way into the area tomorrow night and this should result in dry conditions and some sunshine here on both Sunday and Monday.

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***A rare early season “Stratospheric Warming” event and a disruption of the polar vortex...a look at widespread cold that followed in two such other November events***

Paul Dorian

There are signals that continue to point to an upcoming cold weather pattern for the central and eastern states as the early part of the winter season gets underway. These signs come from such diverse places as the stratosphere over the North Pole (re: Stratospheric Warming), the stratosphere over the tropics (re: QBO), and the equatorial part of the Pacific Ocean (re: MJO).

To begin, it appears as though there will be a “Stratospheric Warming” event over the polar region of the Northern Hemisphere in coming days which is quite a rare occurrence for this early stage of the winter season. In fact, it appears there have been only two Stratospheric Warming events in recent history that took place during the month of November...2000 and 1968...and in both of those years the month of December was quite cold across the nation. One atmospheric phenomenon that supports the idea of one (or more) “Stratospheric Warming” event(s) this winter season is known as the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) which is a changing wind anomaly in the tropical lower stratosphere. When an “easterly” or “negative” phase of the QBO is combined with La Nina conditions in the tropical Pacific Ocean – both of which represent the current situation - there is a strong tendency for an increase in “Stratospheric Warming” events and the disruption of the polar vortex. This particular teleconnection was one of the factors highlighted in the ”2025-2026 Winter Outlook” issued back in October.

Additionally, there is an oceanic-atmospheric phenomenon known as the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) that affects the weather patterns across the globe. The MJO is an eastward moving disturbance of clouds and rain that traverses the planet in the tropics and - depending on its location and the time of the year - it can contribute to colder-than-normal weather patterns across the central and eastern US. 

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6:00 AM | *Another chilly day in the Mid-Atlantic region with plenty of clouds around...more rain by Friday night*

Paul Dorian

After another chilly and cloudy day, a warm front will push through the area later tonight and the end of the work week should feature slightly milder conditions to go along with the threat of PM showers. Low pressure will track near us from late tomorrow into Saturday bringing us a continued chance of showers on Friday night and Saturday. High pressure will edge its way into the area on Sunday and the weekend should end with some sunshine on Sunday and also for the first part of next week.

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6:00 AM | *Another chilly day in the Mid-Atlantic region with plenty of clouds around...more rain by Friday night*

Paul Dorian

After another chilly and cloudy day, a warm front will push through the area later tonight and the end of the work week should feature slightly milder conditions to go along with the threat of PM rain. Low pressure will track near us from late tomorrow into Saturday bringing us a continued chance of rain on Friday night and Saturday. High pressure will edge its way into the area on Sunday and the weekend should end with some sunshine on Sunday and also for the first part of next week.

Read More

6:00 AM | *Another chilly day in the Mid-Atlantic region with plenty of clouds around...more rain by Friday night*

Paul Dorian

After another chilly and cloudy day, a warm front will push through the area later tonight and the end of the work week should feature slightly milder conditions to go along with the threat of PM rain. Low pressure will track near us from late tomorrow into Saturday bringing us a continued chance of rain on Friday night and Saturday. High pressure should edge its way into the area on Sunday and the weekend should end with some sunshine on Sunday and also for the first part of next week.

Read More