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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:00 AM | *Off and on showers today...a better chance for more beneficial rainfall later tonight and Friday*

Paul Dorian

A slow-moving cold front will inch its way towards the coast during the next 24 hours or so bringing an end to the dry spell in the Mid-Atlantic region. There will be occasional showers today and then more beneficial rain is possible tonight and Friday as low pressure forms along the stalling-out frontal boundary zone. In fact, there can be a narrow corridor of heavy rainfall late tonight and early Friday in areas just to the south and east of the I-95 corridor including, for example, the Delmarva Peninsula. The weather for the weekend should turn out to be pretty decent although somewhat unsettled at times with breezy conditions and a shower or two cannot be completely ruled out.

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6:00 AM | *Off and on showers today...a better chance for more beneficial rainfall later tonight and Friday*

Paul Dorian

A slow-moving cold front will inch its way towards the coast during the next 24 hours or so bringing an end to the dry spell in the Mid-Atlantic region. There will be occasional showers today and then more beneficial rain is likely tonight and Friday as low pressure forms along the stalling-out frontal boundary zone. In fact, there can be a narrow corridor of heavy rainfall late tonight and Friday in areas near the coast such as across New Jersey and in the NYC metro area. The weather for the weekend should turn out to be pretty decent although somewhat unsettled at times with breezy conditions and a shower or two cannot be completely ruled out.

Read More

6:00 AM | *Off and on showers today...a better chance for more beneficial rainfall later tonight and Friday*

Paul Dorian

A slow-moving cold front will inch its way towards the coast during the next 24 hours or so bringing an end to the dry spell in the Mid-Atlantic region. There will be occasional showers today and then more beneficial rain is possible tonight and Friday as low pressure forms along the stalling-out frontal boundary zone. In fact, there can be a narrow corridor of heavy rainfall late tonight and early Friday in areas just to the south and east of the I-95 corridor including, for example, northern Delaware and southern New Jersey. The weather for the weekend should turn out to be pretty decent although somewhat unsettled at times with breezy conditions and a shower or two cannot be completely ruled out.

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*Polar vortex disruption is now underway...a very rare event for so early in the season...potential winter-like consequences later November and December*

Paul Dorian

An unusually early polar vortex disruption is now underway in the Northern Hemisphere, and it could have winter-like implications on the weather across portions of the continental US later this month and during the month of December. In a typical strong El Nino winter season, mild Pacific Ocean air can overwhelm the nation, but this rare early season polar vortex disruption throws a monkey wrench into the whole concept of a “normal” El Nino winter season. An analysis of upper-level data records going as far back as the 1950’s show just how rare this polar vortex disruption is with the closest analog coming in late November of 1968...some three weeks later than the current rare early season event. One final note, most computer forecast models are not currently showing much in the way of cold air outbreaks into the central and eastern during the second half of this month; however, I would expect them to trend colder soon as they start “picking up” on this rare early season polar vortex disruption.  

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6:00 AM | *Warm, sunny today...showers on the way for Thursday and Friday...weekend looks decent*

Paul Dorian

After another warm, dry and sunny day in the Mid-Atlantic region, showers will likely push into the area on Thursday and can continue on an off and on basis into the day on Friday. A slow-moving cold front will close in on the eastern seaboard during the next couple of days bringing showers to the region and then low pressure will form along this stalling-out frontal boundary zone. This low pressure system will push to the northeast on Friday and could produce a narrow band of heavier rainfall likely focused just to the south and east of Route I-95 in places like the Delmarva Peninsula and New Jersey. The weekend may turn out to be pretty decent following the departure of the front with cool temperatures for the early part of next week.

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6:00 AM | *Warm, sunny today...showers on the way for Thursday and Friday...weekend looks decent*

Paul Dorian

After another warm, dry and sunny day in the Mid-Atlantic region, showers will likely push into the area on Thursday and can continue on an off and on basis into the day on Friday. A slow-moving cold front will close in on the eastern seaboard during the next couple of days bringing showers to the region and then low pressure will form along this stalling-out frontal boundary zone. This low pressure system will push to the northeast on Friday and could produce a narrow band of heavier rainfall likely focused just to the south and east of Route I-95 in places like the Delmarva Peninsula and New Jersey. The weekend may turn out to be pretty decent following the departure of the front with cool temperatures for the early part of next week.

Read More

6:00 AM | *Warm, sunny today...showers on the way for Thursday and Friday...weekend looks decent*

Paul Dorian

After another warm, dry and sunny day in the Mid-Atlantic region, showers will likely push into the area on Thursday and can continue on an off and on basis into the day on Friday. A slow-moving cold front will close in on the eastern seaboard during the next couple of days bringing showers to the region and then low pressure will form along this stalling-out frontal boundary zone. This low pressure system will push to the northeast on Friday and could produce a narrow band of heavier rainfall likely focused along and to the south and east of I-95 - potentially including New Jersey and the NYC metro area. The weekend may turn out to be pretty decent following the departure of the front with cool temperatures for the early part of next week.

Read More