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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:00 AM | *A warm stretch of weather coming to the Tennessee Valley for the next few days*

Paul Dorian

The weather will turn warmer for the next few days with afternoon highs today and Thursday in the lower 80’s and then the middle 80’s by the end of the week. An approaching cold front with support of an upper-level trough will bring an increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms by later in the upcoming weekend and temperatures will trend down some for the early part of next week.  

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6:00 AM | *Cold front arrives later today and high pressure takes control for the remainder of the week...next chance of showers comes late Sunday*

Paul Dorian

A cold front approaches the area later today and it should pass through on the dry side later tonight. This frontal passage will usher in a chilly air mass as high pressure edges into the region on Thursday and temperatures will struggle to climb much past the 60-degree mark for afternoon highs. Winds will be quite noticeable on both sides of the cold front from later today through much of tomorrow night. High pressure pushes away from the region on Friday and a warm front could result in more cloud cover as we begin the weekend. The threat of showers is likely to return late in the weekend with the approach of another cold frontal system.

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6:00 AM | *Cold front arrives later today and high pressure takes control for the remainder of the week...next chance of showers comes late Sunday*

Paul Dorian

A cold front approaches the area later today and it should pass through on the dry side later tonight. This frontal passage will usher in a chilly air mass as high pressure edges into the region on Thursday and temperatures will struggle to climb past the 60-degree mark for afternoon highs. Winds will be quite noticeable on both sides of the cold front from later today through much of tomorrow night. High pressure pushes away from the region on Friday and a warm front could result in more cloud cover as we begin the weekend. The threat of showers is likely to return late in the weekend with the approach of another cold frontal system.

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6:00 AM | *Cold front arrives later today and high pressure takes control for the remainder of the week...next chance of showers comes late Sunday*

Paul Dorian

A cold front approaches the area later today and it should pass through on the dry side later tonight. This frontal passage will usher in a chilly air mass as high pressure edges into the region on Thursday and temperatures will struggle to climb past the 60-degree mark for afternoon highs. Winds will be quite noticeable on both sides of the cold front from later today through much of tomorrow night. High pressure pushes away from the region on Friday and a warm front could result in more cloud cover as we begin the weekend. The threat of showers is likely to return late in the weekend with the approach of another cold frontal system.

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"2025-2026 Winter Outlook" by Arcfield Weather

Paul Dorian

Numerous factors have been considered in the preparation of the “2025-2026 Winter Outlook” including the likelihood of another winter season with La Nina conditions across the equatorial Pacific Ocean. In fact, La Nina has been the dominant player in the tropical Pacific during four of the five winters this decade with colder-than-normal sea surface temperatures persisting during these seasons. While La Nina is likely as we head into the winter, it should be relatively weak and may transition into “neutral” territory during the second half of the season. As such, teleconnection indices related to other parts of the world have been closely analyzed including Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO), Arctic Oscillation (AO), and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). The trend in these teleconnection indices can provide us with some clues as to the temperature and pressure patterns that can be expected during the upcoming winter season across North America and the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans. The combination of all these factors and a look at “analog” years with similar sea surface temperature and QBO patterns to today leads me to believe that this will be a colder-than-normal winter season across much of the eastern two/thirds of the nation including the Mid-Atlantic region with nearly normal to slightly above normal snowfall amounts on the table.

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6:00 AM | *Coastal storm finally pulls away later today...sunshine returns to the Mid-Atlantic region on Wednesday*

Paul Dorian

A coastal storm that has been impacting much of the Atlantic seaboard during the past few days will finally weaken and exit off to the east later today. Weather conditions will be slow to improve in the Mid-Atlantic region, but the mid-week should feature some sunshine in the area ahead of the next cold frontal system. That cold front will pass through the region on Wednesday night and it’ll usher in a chilly air mass with temperatures on Thursday likely to struggle to climb above the 60-degree mark for afternoon highs despite plenty of sunshine…there will be a noticeable northwest wind as well.

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6:00 AM | *Coastal storm finally pulls away later today...sunshine returns to the Mid-Atlantic region on Wednesday*

Paul Dorian

A coastal storm that has been impacting much of the Atlantic seaboard during the past few days will finally weaken and exit off to the east later today. Weather conditions will be slow to improve in the Mid-Atlantic region, but the mid-week should feature some sunshine in the area ahead of the next cold frontal system. That cold front will pass through the region on Wednesday night and it’ll usher in a chilly air mass with temperatures on Thursday likely to struggle to climb above the 60-degree mark for afternoon highs despite plenty of sunshine…there will be a noticeable northwest wind as well.

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