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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

****Dramatic turnaround in the Mid-Atlantic region with accumulating snow today in some areas...Great Lakes blizzard on the way...widespread cold air outbreak by next Tuesday****

Paul Dorian

An intense cold front barreled through the Mid-Atlantic region earlier today and temperatures have dropped sharply from early day highs in the 60’s and should reach the middle 30’s by early-to-mid afternoon. Rain is abundant on the back side of the front and - as colder air becomes better established - a changeover to accumulating snow is going to take place in many of the same areas of the Mid-Atlantic region that experienced 80-degree high temperatures during the past couple of days. Any snow that falls this afternoon will be of the heavy, wet variety and can certainly cling easily to grassy surfaces and potentially on untreated road surfaces.

Over the weekend, another strong cold front will enter the weather picture as it moves to the nation’s midsection with a widespread colder-than-normal air mass on its backside and charging to the south and east. A strong storm system is likely to form along the frontal boundary zone as upper-level support arrives, and the Great Lakes may end up with an all-out blizzard come Sunday night and Monday with plenty of snow and powerful winds. In fact, there can be accumulating snow and strong winds in this same Great Lakes region on Friday from a clipper-system and this would precede the potential late weekend blizzard. The widespread colder-than-normal air mass reaches the eastern states by Monday night and the 20’s and 30’s will be commonplace in the Mid-Atlantic region by the time we get to next Tuesday for afternoon highs...a far cry from the past couple of days.

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6:00 AM | ***Much colder air pours in today following passage of intense cold front...rain likely to change to wet snow with small accumulations possible***

Paul Dorian

An intense cold front will barrel through the region early today and it will result in some dramatic temperature changes and likely lead us to some wet snow. After the record warmth of the past couple of days, a much colder air mass will push into the area this morning and temperatures should plunge to the 30’s by the afternoon hours. Rain will begin the day, but should mix with and then change to wet snow as temperatures drop sharply and a coating of snow is possible. It stays chilly on Friday and cool to begin the upcoming weekend with generally dry conditions expected on both Friday and Saturday. Another strong cold front will cross the region on Monday accompanied by periods of rain and strong winds and a widespread cold air outbreak arrives on Monday night and Tuesday.

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6:00 AM | ***Much colder air pours in today following passage of intense cold front...rain likely to change to wet snow with some accumulations possible***

Paul Dorian

An intense cold front will barrel through the region early today and it will result in some dramatic temperature changes and likely lead us to some wet snow. After the record warmth of the past couple of days, a much colder air mass will push into the area this morning and temperatures should plunge to the 30’s by the afternoon hours. Rain will begin the day, but should mix with and then change to snow as temperatures drop sharply and accumulations of a coating to an inch or so are on the table. It stays chilly on Friday and cool to begin the upcoming weekend with generally dry conditions expected on both Friday and Saturday. Another strong cold front will cross the region on Monday accompanied by periods of rain and strong winds and a widespread cold air outbreak arrives on Monday night and Tuesday.

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*The “Storm of the Century” March 12-14, 1993*

Paul Dorian

The winter of 1992-1993 was not bad at all in the Mid-Atlantic region in terms of cold and snow, but one storm at the end of the season will put that particular winter in the history books forever.  One of the most intense storms ever observed in the eastern US took place from March 12-14, 1993 and it will be forever known as the “Storm of the Century”.  This intense storm generated tremendous snowfall totals from Alabama through Maine, high winds all along the east coast, extreme coastal flooding along the Florida west coast and incredibly low barometric pressures across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic regions.  The aftermath of the “Storm of the Century” was unseasonably cold and broke records in many spots for the middle of March.  To this day, the storm also known as the “Superstorm of 1993” ranks among the deadliest and most costly weather events in US history.

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6:00 AM | ****Much colder air pours in today following passage of intense cold front...rain to change to heavy, wet snow with accumulations likely****

Paul Dorian

An intense cold front will barrel through the region early today and it will result in some dramatic temperature changes and likely lead us to some heavy, wet snow. After the record warmth of the past couple of days, a much colder air mass will push into the area this morning and temperatures should plunge to the 30’s by the afternoon hours. Rain will begin the day, but should mix with and then change to heavy, wet snow as temperatures drop sharply and accumulations of a coating to as much as a few inches are on the table. It stays chilly on Friday and cool to begin the upcoming weekend with generally dry conditions expected on both Friday and Saturday. Another strong cold front will cross the region on Monday accompanied by periods of rain and strong winds and a widespread cold air outbreak arrives on Monday night and Tuesday.

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6:00 AM | **Much cooler around here today following the passage of a strong cold front...up and down temperature pattern continues this weekend/early next week**

Paul Dorian

A topsy-turvy temperature pattern will continue around the Tennessee Valley over the next several days with much cooler conditions today following the passage of a strong cold front. Temperatures will grind higher during the next few days so that highs on Sunday are likely to be well up in the 70’s once again, but then the passage of another strong cold front early next week will begin a chilly period across the area.

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6:00 AM | **Wildfire conditions into the weekend with a continuation of dry, windy and unseasonably warm weather across the region**

Paul Dorian

The overall pattern continues to feature dry, windy and unseasonably warm weather across the region with a prolonged risk of wildfire conditions. One brief change to the pattern will come later in the weekend as a cold frontal system will produce much cooler conditions and perhaps even some snow in the lower elevations...turns much warmer again next week.

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****March Madness...record-warmth...severe weather threat...accumulating snow likely on Thursday in the Mid-Atlantic ...late weekend Great Lakes blizzard...widespread cold air outbreak next week****

Paul Dorian

March is known for some wild swings in the weather, and this one looks like it will not disappoint. Temperatures peaked at record-breaking levels on Tuesday in the Mid-Atlantic region and included the earliest observation of 80 degrees in New York City’s Central Park. Severe weather broke out on Tuesday afternoon and evening across the Upper Midwest with tornadoes reported across parts of Illinois and Indiana and severe thunderstorms will be possible today from the Mid-Atlantic region and Ohio Valley to the Lower Mississippi Valley and again tornadoes will be on the table. A strong cold front pushes through the Mid-Atlantic region early Thursday and there is the chance that rain can mix with or change to snow in parts of the area by the late morning or midday hours following right on the heels of the record-breaking warmth…small accumulations of a coating to an inch or two cannot be ruled out.

Over the weekend, another strong cold front will enter the picture across the nation’s midsection with a widespread colder-than-normal air mass on its backside and charging to the south and east. A strong storm system is likely to form along the frontal boundary zone as upper-level support arrives, and the Great Lakes may end up with an all-out blizzard come late Sunday into Monday with plenty of snow and powerful winds. In fact, there can be accumulating snow and strong winds in this same Great Lakes region on Friday from a clipper-system and this would just be an appetizer for the potential late weekend blizzard. The widespread colder-than-normal air mass reaches the eastern states by late Monday and the 20’s and 30’s will be commonplace in the Mid-Atlantic region by the time we get to next Tuesday for afternoon highs...a far cry from the past couple of days. Looking ahead, as is often the case during the month of March, the early-to-mid week cold snap in the eastern states may change dramatically to much milder conditions by the end of next week and yes, this wild weather pattern can flip again with yet another widespread cold air outbreak later in the month.

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6:00 AM | ***One more day of spring-like warmth and a possible record-breaker...possible strong-to-severe thunderstorms later today/early tonight...much colder for Thursday and Friday***

Paul Dorian

One more day of spring-like temperatures here at mid-week in the Mid-Atlantic region and some record highs may be set in spots as clouds increase ahead of a strong cold front. That strong cold front and a pre-frontal trough can produce showers for the mid-day and early afternoon and then strong-to-severe thunderstorms will be possible later today and early tonight. Much colder air will arrive on Thursday leading to quite a dramatic drop off in temperatures as compared with today’s potential record-breaking warmth. The chilly air will stick around on Friday and the weekend will start off on the cool side with dry conditions likely on both Friday and Saturday. Another strong cold front heads our way for the late Sunday night/Monday time frame with additional showers and thunderstorms possible. A widespread colder-than-normal air mass will then spread into the eastern states by Tuesday of next week on the heels of that next strong cold frontal system.

One final note, it looks like record high temperatures were set yesterday in D.C., Philly and New York City with DCA at 84 degrees, IAD at 85 degrees, BWI at 85 degrees, PHL at 83 degrees, and in Central Park (NYC), it was a record-breaker at 80 degrees and the earliest 80-degrees ever recorded.

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6:00 AM | ***One more day of spring-like warmth and a possible record-breaker...possible strong-to-severe thunderstorms later today/early tonight...much colder for Thursday and Friday***

Paul Dorian

One more day of spring-like temperatures here at mid-week in the Mid-Atlantic region and some record highs may be set in spots as clouds increase ahead of a strong cold front. That strong cold front and a pre-frontal trough can produce showers for the mid-day and early afternoon and then strong-to-severe thunderstorms will be possible later today and early tonight. Much colder air will arrive on Thursday leading to quite a dramatic drop off in temperatures as compared with today’s potential record-breaking warmth. The chilly air will stick around on Friday and the weekend will start off on the cool side with dry conditions likely on both Friday and Saturday. Another strong cold front heads our way for the late Sunday night/Monday time frame with additional showers and thunderstorms possible. A widespread colder-than-normal air mass will then spread into the eastern states by Tuesday of next week on the heels of that next strong cold frontal system.

One final note, it looks like record high temperatures were set yesterday in D.C., Philly and New York City with DCA at 84 degrees, IAD at 85 degrees, BWI at 85 degrees, PHL at 83 degrees, and in Central Park (NYC), it was a record-breaker at 80 degrees and the earliest 80-degrees ever recorded.

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