Water temperatures have climbed to well above normal levels in the tropical Pacific Ocean putting this on-going El Nino event into “very strong” category assuming these anomalies are maintained for a sustained period of time...virtually a certainty. In fact, this El Nino event will likely be ranked amongst the great events during the past fifty years or so including 1982-1983, 1997-1998, and 2015-2016 and indeed, there is a chance that when all is said and done, it may match with some of the greats going back to the 1800’s (e.g., 1877-1878). (By the way, and this is in the speculation phase on my part, I believe we may bounce back later next year to a strong La Nina considering we’ve been in a La Nina base state for the past several years with 5 of the last 6 winters featuring La Nina conditions).
Odds are quite high that El Nino conditions in the tropical Pacific will last into the winter season of 2026-2027 before it likely weakens next spring. As such, the upcoming winter can be greatly impacted by El Nino with the possible outcomes of numerous strong storms (due to the activation of the southern jet), markedly colder-than-normal temperatures across the southern US, and warmer-than-normal conditions in many of the northern states. There are many variables yet to be factored in; however, before we can have high confidence in any winter outlook and interactions between the Indian and Atlantic Oceans to the El Nino event in the Pacific are still unknown.
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The weather should improve today across the northern part of Alabama with the passage of a cold frontal system in the overnight hours. As a result, a few degrees will be knocked off of temperatures and dew points providing us with slightly more comfortable conditions.
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A weak cold front will inch its way across the region today and there can be an isolated PM shower or thunderstorm before high pressure takes control for the mid-week time frame. Another frontal system approaches the area on Thursday and it will produce a good chance of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms…stays somewhat unsettled for the late week and upcoming weekend.
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A weak cold front will inch its way across the region today and there can be an isolated PM shower or thunderstorm before high pressure takes control for the mid-week time frame. Another frontal system approaches the area on Thursday and it will produce a good chance of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms…stays somewhat unsettled for the late week and upcoming weekend.
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The remainder of the week will include unsettled weather conditions with the chance of showers and thunderstorms from time to time. In fact, any thunderstorm that forms late tonight and tomorrow can be on the severe side with damaging wind gusts a threat. Temperatures will rise into the 90’s late in the week and monsoonal moisture will return bringing us a renewed chance of showers and storms during the upcoming weekend.
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A weak cold front will inch its way across the region today and there can be an isolated PM shower or thunderstorm before high pressure takes control for the mid-week time frame. Another frontal system approaches the area on Thursday and it will produce a good chance of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms…stays somewhat unsettled for the late week and upcoming weekend.
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Low pressure over the Great Lakes will push to the northeast today and drag a cold front through the area leading to somewhat unsettled weather conditions. High pressure will take control of our weather by tomorrow and it looks relatively quiet on Tuesday and Wednesday with plenty of sunshine each day and moderately warm conditions. Another frontal system will return unsettled weather conditions to the region later in the week and there will be a renewed chance of showers and thunderstorms.
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Low pressure over the Great Lakes will push to the northeast today and drag a cold front through the area leading to somewhat unsettled weather conditions. High pressure will take control of our weather by tomorrow and it looks relatively quiet on Tuesday and Wednesday with plenty of sunshine each day and moderately warm conditions. Another frontal system will return unsettled weather conditions to the region later in the week and there will be a renewed chance of showers and thunderstorms.
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Low pressure over the Great Lakes will push to the northeast today and drag a cold front through the area leading to somewhat unsettled weather conditions. High pressure will take control of our weather by tomorrow and it looks relatively quiet on Tuesday and Wednesday with plenty of sunshine each day and moderately warm conditions. Another frontal system will return unsettled weather conditions to the region later in the week and there will be a renewed chance of showers and thunderstorms.
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The weather through the weekend and likely into the middle of next week will remain very hot across the region with a limited chance of shower and thunderstorm activity. High temperatures will likely be in the 95-100 degree range each day through early next week with mainly sunny skies on a daily basis.
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