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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: PHL

***An active cold front to bring some heavy rain and strong winds to the region from later tomorrow night into Friday...temperatures to drop markedly behind the front***

Paul Dorian

A strong cold front will barrel through the Mid-Atlantic region on Friday morning and this system will be quite active with heavy rainfall and powerful winds from later tomorrow night into Friday. There is even the chance that a squall line of gusty thunderstorms forms right along the frontal boundary zone which could result in downpours and gusty winds right around the Friday AM commute in the I-95 corridor. After a mild start to the day on Friday, temperatures are likely to drop markedly during the mid-day and afternoon hours as the next colder-than-normal air mass pours into the Mid-Atlantic region. Snow showers will develop on Friday across some of the higher elevation interior locations and one or two of these can make their way into the I-95 corridor. The weather will settle down for the weekend with dry conditions expected on both days and a moderate chill in the air.

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6:00 AM | **Twenty day streak about to come to an end as it turns milder...soaking rain event later tomorrow night into Friday morning...strong winds to follow**

Paul Dorian

Temperatures have been below-normal for about twenty days in a row in many spots of the Mid-Atlantic region and the relentless cold pattern that started around Thanksgiving Day is about to come to an end. It turns milder for today and Thursday as high pressure shifts to the east of here and mild conditions will begin the day on Friday just ahead of the passage of a strong cold front. That front will result in a soaking rain event for the Mid-Atlantic region from later tomorrow night into Friday morning and there can be a rumble of thunder as well. The rain will be heavy at times and combined with snowmelt in many areas of the Mid-Atlantic region can produce ponding of water by early Friday so be on the lookout for that to take place. Once the front clears the coast by mid-day Friday, temperatures will drop from the mild levels of the morning, and winds will pick up noticeably from a northwesterly direction…gusting into the 40-50 mph range.

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***Soaking rain event from late Thursday night into Friday morning...maybe even a gusty thunderstorm...strong winds to follow on Friday with dropping temperatures and scattered snow showers***

Paul Dorian

The next big weather event in the Mid-Atlantic region will feature rain associated with a strong cold front and there can even be a thunderstorm in the mix before the frontal system clears the area. The rain can come down hard at times from late Thursday night into Friday morning and - given the current snow cover in much of the area – we’ll have to watch for the possibility of some localized flooding. The strong cold front will pass through the Mid-Atlantic region during Friday morning, and strong winds will develop on its backside from a northwesterly direction gusting to 40 mph or so...even higher wind gusts are likely across New England. In addition, temperatures are likely to drop markedly as the cold air mass pours into the region and snow showers are likely to develop; especially, in some of the higher elevation interior locations. The weather will settle down for the weekend with dry conditions expected on both days and a moderate chill in the air.

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6:00 AM | **Turns milder at mid-week and next frontal system brings us rain from Thursday night into early Friday...strong winds to follow on Friday**

Paul Dorian

Another cold day is in store for the Mid-Atlantic region today as high pressure slowly shifts to our south before weakening and pushing offshore on Wednesday. A warm front will push northward through the area by Thursday and temperatures could come close to the 50 degree mark for afternoon highs. An active cold front will slide across the region late Thursday night and rain is likely into the early morning hours on Friday. On the heels of the cold frontal passage, winds will pick up noticeably on Friday and (moderately) colder air will make a return into the northeastern part of the country.

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6:00 AM | **Very cold through tomorrow...milder at mid-week...soaking rain later Thursday night into Friday along with strong winds**

Paul Dorian

Arctic air pushed into the region on Sunday on the heels of the snow associated with a “clipper” system and it’ll stay quite cold through tomorrow with well below-normal temperatures for the middle of December. There is an upper-level disturbance that will push near the area later today and a couple of snow showers cannot be ruled out for later today; primarily, across the far northern and western suburban locations. High pressure will be in control at mid-week and it’ll turn slightly milder and then a strong cold front enters the scene on Thursday night. That frontal system can bring soaking rain to the area - perhaps even a thunderstorm - and the winds will get very strong by Friday as colder air pushes into the northeastern states (moderately cold air mass this time).

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****First widespread snow event for the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor with SE PA, northern DE, central NJ in prime location…bone-chilling cold, biting winds to follow with next Arctic blast****

Paul Dorian

The first widespread snow event for the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor will take place from later tonight into Sunday morning and this snow event will be followed by bone-chilling cold and biting winds for the rest of Sunday, Sunday night, and Monday. Low pressure will quickly move today across the Plains, Midwest and Ohio Valley and will get a boost later tonight as it reaches the Mid-Atlantic region thanks to strong support in the upper atmosphere. A powerful jet streak will intensify overhead of the I-95 corridor later tonight enhancing upward motion in the area and the result will be an accumulating snowfall focused on the overnight hours and the early morning hours on Sunday. The precipitation could break out as a mixed bag this evening in some areas, but will change to all snow later tonight.

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***Accumulating snow from Saturday night into Sunday morning…bitter cold, strong winds to follow for the rest of Sunday, Sunday night, and Monday***

Paul Dorian

The next in a series of Arctic air masses will begin to plunge into the north-central states later today and this one will be brutal...potentially the worst of the bunch since the cold pattern developed around Thanksgiving Day. Temperatures this weekend can drop to 20 degrees below zero in parts of the region from Montana to Wisconsin and wind chills can reach dangerously low levels. Meanwhile, yet another “clipper” system will begin to organize later today out across the north-central states and then push east-southeast on Saturday crossing over central Plains, Midwest and Ohio Valley. This system will reach the Mid-Atlantic region on Saturday night and will be supported aloft by a vigorous jet streak that will enhance upward motion in the area. The result will be accumulating snow from Saturday night into Sunday morning in the Mid-Atlantic region and this includes the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor. Bitter cold and strong winds will follow for the rest of Sunday, Sunday night, and Monday. 

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6:00 AM | ***Accumulating snow from Saturday night into Sunday morning...bitter cold, strong winds to follow***

Paul Dorian

The next in a series of “clipper” systems will weaken today as it pushes into the Mid-Atlantic region and this will limit its impact around here with little to no snow expected in the area. By tonight, another Arctic air mass will invade the north-central US from Canada, and this one will be brutal...perhaps the worst of all since this cold pattern got cranking around Thanksgiving Day.

Meanwhile, yet another “clipper” system will head in an east-to-southeast direction on Saturday crossing over the central Plains, Midwest and Ohio Valley, and this is the one with the greatest potential of producing accumulating snow in the Mid-Atlantic region...including the I-95 corridor. When this system arrives on Saturday night, it looks like it will have quite a bit of upper-level support; specifically, in terms of a powerful jet streak. This jet streak is likely to generate strong upward motion across the Mid-Atlantic on Saturday night and Sunday morning assuring there is no weakening as compared with today’s “clipper” system. The result is likely to be accumulating snow from Saturday night into early Sunday in the Mid-Atlantic region and this should include the I-95 corridor from DC-to-Philly-to-NYC. Preliminary snowfall estimates are 2-4 inches for this area with isolated higher amounts possible.

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***Arctic blast today with strong winds, snow showers/squalls...next Arctic blast headed to north-central US...weekend system likely to produce accumulating snow in Mid-Atlantic region***

Paul Dorian

In the wake of yesterday’s “clipper” system, another Arctic air mass is pouring into the northeastern states on stiff NW winds and temperatures today will struggle to climb from early day levels. In addition, snow showers are likely in parts of the area and heavier snow squalls can develop causing travel headaches across some interior, higher elevation locations. Another “clipper” system will reach the Mid-Atlantic region on Friday, and it’ll gradually weaken during the day as it loses some of its upper-level support and this will limit its impact on the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor.

By later tomorrow, the next Arctic air mass will plunge into the north-central US from Canada and this one will be brutal...potentially the worst of the bunch since the cold pattern developed around Thanksgiving Day. Temperatures this weekend can drop to 20 degrees below zero in parts of the region from Montana to Wisconsin and wind chills can reach dangerously low levels. Meanwhile, yet another “clipper” system will push east-southeast crossing over central Plains, Midwest and Ohio Valley on Saturday and then into the Mid-Atlantic region by Saturday night. This system will feature some strong support in the upper atmosphere with a vigorous jet streak and has the potential of producing accumulating snow in the Mid-Atlantic region from late Saturday into early Sunday. Arctic air that invades the north-central states on Friday and Saturday will then spread to the northeastern states on Sunday following the passage of this next “clipper” system.

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6:00 AM | ***Another very cold air mass in the wake of yesterday's "clipper"...another "clipper" weakens as it arrives on Friday...accumulating snow possible this weekend with third "clipper"***

Paul Dorian

One “clipper” system passed well by to our north and west on Wednesday and the passage of its trailing cold front has ushered in another very cold air mass for this time of year. Temperatures will struggle to climb through the 30’s today and there will be a stiff NW wind to make it feel even colder than the actual air temperatures. On Friday, another “clipper” system will weaken as it reaches the Mid-Atlantic region and likely only be able to produce a touch of snow in some areas.

Over the weekend, yet another “clipper” system will push east-southeast towards the Mid-Atlantic region from the Ohio Valley, and this one will feature some strong support in the upper atmosphere with a vigorous jet streak. As a result, this system will have greater potential to generate accumulating snow in the Mid-Atlantic region from late Saturday into early Sunday. Another seriously cold Arctic air mass will follow for the Sunday, Monday, Tuesday time period with far below normal temperatures expected throughout the northeastern states.

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