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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: KSC

7:00 AM | Monitoring a tropical system in the Caribbean Sea

Paul Dorian

Upper-level high pressure ridging continues to be situated over the eastern US resulting in persistent onshore flow in this area. This ridge of high pressure will intensify over the next few days over the southeastern part of Canada and this opens the door for tropical activity in the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea or southwestern Atlantic to potentially reach the southeastern US. In fact, there is currently a tropical disturbance located in the southwestern part of the Caribbean Sea and it is still a little too early to tell if it will spill out over the Gulf of Mexico and possibly have an impact in the Southeast US.

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7:00 AM | A couple of disturbances to watch over the Caribbean Sea

Paul Dorian

Upper-level high pressure ridging will build strongly later this weekend across southeastern Canada and this always raises a red flag this time of year for the potential of tropical systems to “slide underneath” the ridge and head towards the SE US. As a result, we’ll keep a close eye on the Caribbean Sea, southwestern Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of weeks for the potential of east-to-west moving tropical activity.

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7:00 AM | Keeping an eye on the tropics

Paul Dorian

High pressure ridging along the east coast will continue to produce onshore flow in the area with isolated-to-scattered showers across central Florida. High pressure ridging at upper levels of the atmosphere will build strongly over the weekend and well into next week across the NE US and SE Canada and this always raises a red flag this time of year for potential tropical systems to “slide underneath”. As a result, a close eye will need to be kept on the Caribbean Sea, southwestern Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of weeks for the potential of east-to-west moving tropical activity.

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7:00 AM | Limited chance for showers next couple days

Paul Dorian

High pressure ridging will remain in control over the next couple days and it will limit chances for showers and thunderstorms across central Florida. By Sunday and for the early part of next week, enough moisture will return to increase the chance of showers and thunderstorms, but no widespread heavy rain is expected in this time period.

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7:00 AM | Western Atlantic high pressure ridge in control

Paul Dorian

High pressure ridging will remain in the general vicinity over the next couple days and it will help reduce chances for showers and thunderstorms across central Florida. This same high pressure system should remain in general control of our weather into the weekend limiting rainfall chances to slight form much of the Florida peninsula.

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7:00 AM | *Stream of moisture along the east coast pulls away to the northeast today*

Paul Dorian

Low pressure near the Carolina coastline today should pull away to the northeast and reduce our chances today for showers and thunderstorms. In fact, once this system pushes off the east coast, high pressure will rebuild here from the western Atlantic for the next few days keeping us in relatively rain-free conditions albeit still on the uncomfortably warm and humid side.

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7:00 AM | *System north of the Bahamas could turn into a tropical depression*

Paul Dorian

Weak low pressure north of the Bahamas will drift our way today and increase the chances for showers and thunderstorms in the area. Any rain that does fall can come down hard for brief periods of time. This system will continue to push moisture into the region on Wednesday and there is the chance that it becomes a tropical depression off the Mid-Atlantic coastline at mid-week.

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7:00 AM | Isolated to scattered showers and storms next few days

Paul Dorian

High pressure extends down the east coast today and low-level onshore flow will tend to strengthen over the next couple of days. This added moisture will allow for some scattered shower activity over the next couple of afternoons. As low pressure shifts west of Florida this weekend, the overall pattern of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms should continue; especially, across interior sections.

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