A series of frontal systems will pass through the region over the next several days and increase the onshore flow around here this weekend and early next week. The result will be a gradual cool down as we move into the early part of next week with high temperatures in the mid-to-upper 80's for the next two days and then closer to the 80 degree mark for Sunday, Monday and Tuesday. The chance for showers and thunderstorms will also be on the increase with an increasingly moist flow of air.
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A series of frontal systems will pass through the region over the next several days and increase the onshore flow around here this weekend and early next week. The result will be a gradual cool down as we move into the early part of next week with high temperatures closer to the 80 degree mark than the near 90 degrees of the past few days. The chance for showers will also be on the increase with this increasing moist flow of air and thunderstorms will increase in coverage as well.
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High pressure ridging along the east coast will continue to result in very warm conditions around here today, but there are changes coming for later in the week. A cool frontal system will drop through the Florida Peninsula by Thursday afternoon and this will bring temperatures down some and raise the chances for showers. In addition, winds will tend to pick up in intensity out of the east and the onshore flow will help to keep highs generally confined to the mid 80’s as we head into the weekend and perhaps closer to the 80 degree mark by early next week.
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High pressure ridging along the east coast will continue to result in very warm conditions around here today, but there are changes coming for later in the week. A cool frontal system will drop through the Florida Peninsula by Thursday and this will bring temperatures down some and raise the chances for showers and thunderstorms. In addition, winds will tend to pick up in intensity out of the east and the onshore flow will help to keep highs generally confined to the mid 80’s.
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High pressure ridging along the east coast will gradually shift southward into the northern part of Florida by mid-week. This system should keep low level onshore flow in place across the region. Showers will be rather limited over the next few days with only isolated activity expected. In the Atlantic Basin, there is currently very little activity and the overall pattern is looking quiet going forward.
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Tropical Storm Michael is now pushing out into the open Atlantic and away from the eastern seaboard. There are still a couple other tropical systems in the (eastern) Atlantic Basin, but neither of them look threatening to land and the tropical season may very well be on its last legs.
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Hurricane Michael made landfall yesterday in the Florida Panhandle as a “major” category 4 system and today it will accelerate to the northeast as a tropical storm. Its tropical moisture field will interact with a strong cold frontal system advancing towards the east coast and the result will be some heavy rainfall today in the Mid-Atlantic and much of the Southeast US. After an unsettled day here today, drier air will push in on Friday behind the departing post-tropical Michael and we’ll experience a couple of rather pleasant days.
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Hurricane Michael should make landfall later today in the Florida Panhandle as a “major” hurricane as it continues to slowly intensify in an overall favorable environment and moves over very warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico. Once landfall is reached, Hurricane Michael will become increasingly influenced by an approaching upper-level trough over the middle of the country and will turn from a northerly direction to a northeasterly track and ride up along the Southeast US coastline. Heavy rain and strong winds with hurricane-force gusts will extend from the Gulf coast to the Carolinas which is already a rain-soaked region thanks to the stalled out Hurricane Florence of last month.
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Hurricane Michael continues to intensify as it moves over the very warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico (now a cat 2). There is a high probability that Michael will reach major hurricane status (i.e., cat 3 or higher) before a landfall on Wednesday in the Florida Panhandle - perhaps between Destin and Apalachicola. Once landfall is reached, Hurricane Michael will turn from a northerly direction to a northeasterly track and ride up along the Southeast US coastline and heavy rain is likely in the rain-soaked region of the Carolinas where Florence stalled out last month.
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All eyes are now on the tropics now as soon-to-be Hurricane Michael is heading to the open Gulf of Mexico and it could very well reach "major" hurricane status before making landfall at mid-week. The overall upper-level pattern (i.e., very strong ridging centered over SE Canada/NE US) is one that opened the door for tropical activity in the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico and indeed, this system had its origins last week in the southwestern Caribbean Sea and will now move northward over the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico. Once Michael makes landfall, it is likely to turn from the north to the northeast and should ride up along the Southeast US coastline as it interacts with a frontal system. There is the high potential for heavy rainfall from Michael in places like North and South Carolina – where they certainly don’t need any – and even a chance it’ll impact the Mid-Atlantic region later in the week. It’ll turn colder for awhile behind the passage of this tropical system as some Canadian chill that has been bottled up to our north finally makes its way into the NE US.
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