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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: HSV

7:00 AM | Tropics still rather quiet...shower/storm threat continues through the weekend

Paul Dorian

A ridge of high pressure centered over the western Atlantic will continue to dominate the weather scene around here by pumping very warm and humid air into the region. As a result, the daily shot at showers and thunderstorms will continue through the weekend and into next week and high temperatures will reach the 90 degree mark on a daily basis. The tropics remain rather quiet as the combination of Saharan Desert air, wind shear and colder-than-normal waters off of Africa continue to suppress overall activity.

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7:00 AM | Moist air continues to flow northward from the Gulf of Mexico/tropical Atlantic

Paul Dorian

An unusually strong upper-level trough over the south-central US is combining with strong high pressure ridging over the western Atlantic Ocean to persistently pump tropical air from south-to-north along the eastern seaboard. As a result, the threat for showers and thunderstorms will continue on a daily basis right into the weekend throughout much of the eastern third of the nation including right here in the Tennessee Valley. Temperatures will generally be in a slow upward trend over the next several days with low-to-mid 90’s possible for highs by the first half of next week.

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7:00 AM | Mid 80's for highs with a good chance of afternoon showers/storms

Paul Dorian

An unusually strong upper-level trough has formed over the Midwest and it is combining with strong high pressure ridging over the western Atlantic to pump tropical air from south-to-north along the eastern seaboard. Similar to last week’s pattern, this too is going to result in more soaking rainfall for much of the eastern third of the nation including right here in the Tennessee Valley.

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7:00 AM | *Tropical moisture throughout the eastern third of the nation next several days*

Paul Dorian

An unusually strong upper-level trough has formed over the Midwest and it’ll combine with strong high pressure ridging over the western Atlantic to persistently pump tropical air from south-to-north along the eastern seaboard. Similar to last week’s pattern, this too will likely result in more soaking rainfall for much of the eastern third of the nation including right here in the Tennessee Valley.

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7:00 AM | Another week with tropical moisture throughout the eastern US

Paul Dorian

An unusually strong upper-level trough will form this week over the Midwest and it’ll combine with strong ridging over the western Atlantic to persistently pump moist air from south-to-north along the eastern seaboard. Similar to last week’s pattern, this too will likely result in more soaking rainfall for much of the eastern third of the nation including here in the Tennessee Valley.

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7:00 AM | Next week brings another deep upper-level trough into the picture

Paul Dorian

High pressure remains entrenched in the region today and the result should be generally rain-free conditions and high temperatures near the 90 degree mark. The weekend should be pretty decent with mainly dry, very warm conditions on tap for the region, but a shower or thunderstorm cannot be ruled out. A new upper-level trough of low pressure will form over the Midwest during the first half of next week and this will likely bring us a higher threat for showers and thunderstorms on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday as moisture will stream northward from the Deep South.

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7:00 AM | Generally rain-free today in the Tennessee Valley as upper-level trough kicks out to the northeast of here

Paul Dorian

High pressure will edge into the region for today and the result should be rain-free conditions and high temperatures near the 90 degree mark. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will return to the Tennessee Valley on Friday, but the weekend should get off to a decent start with mainly dry, very warm conditions in tap for the region. A new upper-level trough of low pressure will form over the Midwest during the first half of next week and this will likely bring us a higher threat for rain as moisture will stream northward from the Deep South.

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7:00 AM | *Upper-level low kicks out to the northeast today reducing our chances for showers and storms*

Paul Dorian

The deep upper-level low that has resided over the interior Southeast US during the past few days will kick out to the northeast later today. As a result, the chances around here for showers and thunderstorms will diminish and it’ll turn warmer with some sunshine returning to the Tennessee Valley. High temperatures over the next few days are likely to climb to 90+ degrees in much of the region.

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7:00 AM | *Deep tropical moisture entrenched in the eastern US*

Paul Dorian

Deep tropical moisture continues to flow northward up along the eastern seaboard from the tropical Atlantic to the Northeast US. The threat for showers and thunderstorms here will continue for the next couple of days aided by the tropical air mass and an unusually strong upper-level trough of low pressure over the Southeast US. Any shower or storm that forms over the next couple of days can produce heavy rainfall amounts in a short period of time given the high humidity of the entrenched tropical air mass

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7:00 AM | *Very wet pattern continues for the eastern US*

Paul Dorian

A very wet weather pattern in the eastern US will continue through the first half of the week as deep tropical moisture continues to flow northward from the tropical Atlantic to the Mid-Atlantic. The threat for showers and thunderstorms will continue each day through mid-week aided by an unusually strong upper-level trough of low pressure that will be relatively stationary for the next few days over the Southeast US. As the wet week progresses, the possibility of localized flooding will increase and be closely monitored as rainfall amounts could reach excessive levels in some spots.

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