High pressure remains in control today and we’ll experience another day with plenty of sunshine and very comfortable temperatures for late September. It’ll turn breezy and warmer on Thursday ahead of the next frontal system with highs tomorrow afternoon back in the low-to-mid 80’s, but then more comfortable air returns for the last day of the work week. The weekend will feature warmer conditions on Saturday and then another pleasant air mass will push in for Sunday and Monday following the passage of a weak frontal system.
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High pressure pushes in today following the passage of an overnight frontal system and more comfortable air moves in as well. In fact, it should stay pretty comfortable and generally rain-free for the rest of the work week. On the tropical scene, there are now three tropical storms in the Atlantic Basin, Jerry, Karen and Lorenzo, and for now, it appears they will stay out over the water.
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Strong high pressure ridging to our north will provide us with another comfortable day here in the NYC metro region. It’ll turn noticeably warmer this weekend, however, as the high pressure system shifts offshore and a low-level flow develops out of the southwest. High temperatures on both weekend days will reach the 80’s and there should be plenty of sunshine around on each day. A cool front will arrive on Monday and it could cause some scattered shower activity late in the day or at night with another comfortable air mass to follow on Tuesday after the frontal passage.
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Strong high pressure ridging to our north will continue to result in rain-free weather around here right through at least the early part of next week. Temperatures and humidity will remain very comfortable for the next couple of days, but it’ll turn noticeably warmer this weekend as the high shifts offshore with highs returning to the 80’s. The tropical scene remains quite active with multiple systems to monitor in coming days across the Atlantic Basin.
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Strong high pressure ridging to our north will continue to result in very comfortable conditions around here with plenty of sunshine each day through Friday and no rain. Temperatures will max out today not far from the 70 degree mark and overnight lows may reach the upper 40’s in some outlying suburban locations. The high pressure system responsible for this nice weather will shift off the coast this weekend and that will open the door for warmer air and highs well up into the 80’s again on Saturday, Sunday and Monday. Elsewhere, tropical depression “Imelda” will bring torrential rain to the southeastern part of Texas over the next couple of days and a new tropical storm (“Jerry”) has formed in the central Atlantic. Hurricane Humberto has strengthened into “major” hurricane status (category 3) and will hit the island of Bermuda later tonight with hurricane force winds and heavy rainfall. The Atlantic Basin tropical season will likely remain active through September and into the month of October.
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Strong high pressure ridging will build into southeastern Canada over the next few days and it will result in very comfortable conditions for the Mid-Atlantic region during the remainder of the week. In addition to the comfortable temperatures and humidity, it’ll stay rain-free in the area right through the remainder of the week. As the high shifts eastward this weekend, it’ll turn warmer again on the backside with temperatures climbing back well into the 80’s after spending the next few days no higher than the 70’s by day and in the 50’s in the overnight hours.
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Much of the week will be rain-free in the Mid-Atlantic region as high pressure to the north dominates the weather scene. We’ll start off quite warm for today with highs near 80 degrees, but it’ll become more comfortable for the next few days as the high builds to our north. On the tropical scene, the system near the Bahamas last week has strengthened into a hurricane (Humberto) and it is likely to move on a track away from the US east coast. Another system in the Atlantic is likely to slowly intensify over the next few days as it continues on a track to the NW and probably to the northeast of the Caribbean Sea.
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A cool front passed through the area last night and strong high pressure to our north will take control of the weather today and help to keep temperatures confined to much cooler levels in the lower 70's for afternoon highs. It’ll turn warmer on Saturday as the front turns around and moves north as a warm front and there can be some shower and thunderstorm activity as a result. High pressure will then build back into the region and Sunday and much of next week looks rain-free with high pressure in control. Meanwhile, the tropical scene remains quite active today with multiple systems to monitor. One system over the Bahamas this morning is likely to strengthen as it heads slowly towards Florida over the next couple of days and a batch of showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf of Mexico may organize as it moves westward. In addition, two tropical waves now exist in the eastern Atlantic Ocean and the front running system will likely push into the eastern Caribbean Sea in several days and will have to be closely watched.
One final note, this happens to be Friday the 13th and only about 1% of full moons fall on a Friday the 13th. This one is even rarer as it is occurring near apogee, the farthest point in the moon's orbit. This hasn't happened since 1832 and won't happen again for more than 500 years.
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A cool front will drift towards the region later today raising the chance for afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms and then it’ll turn cooler late tonight following its passage. We’ll be much cooler on Friday with highs confined to the lower 70’s, but the cool down will only be temporary. We’ll climb back to the 80’s later this weekend and it looks like it’ll stay pretty warm for much of next week as well. On the active tropical scene, one system is likely to enter the Gulf of Mexico this weekend and it’ll produce some locally heavy rain and gusty winds in the Bahamas and Florida on its way to that location. There is a second tropical disturbance in the eastern Atlantic and it may become a threat to the Caribbean/Bahamas/SE US in a week to ten days or so.
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High pressure has moved offshore and this will allow for a warmup that will bring high temperatures into the mid-to-upper 80's this afternoon and to the lower 80's on Thursday. A cool front will drift towards the region over the next day or so raising the chance for showers and thunderstorms; especially, during the PM hours It’ll turn cooler on Friday following the frontal passage and then the weekend turns warmer again with somewhat unsettled conditions. On the tropical scene, there are three different waves lined up in the Atlantic right now as we arrive at the climatological peak of the tropical season. The first system should head to the Gulf of Mexico by late this weekend and will have to be monitored, the second wave has little chance of survival, and the third wave may very well become an important issue for the SE US/Gulf of Mexico region in about ten days or so...stay tuned.
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