7:00 AM | White Christmas possibilities and a big mid-week storm; active pattern continues into January
Paul Dorian
6-Day Forecast
Today
Becoming mostly cloudy, cold, highs near 40 degrees
Tonight
Snow likely in NYC and to points N and W with a little rain or sleet mixed in at times, a mix of rain and snow to the S and E, a coating to a couple of inches likely in NYC and in the N and W suburbs, lows in the low-to-mid 30’s
Tuesday
Partly sunny, cold, low 40’s
Tuesday Night
Becoming cloudy, cold, near 30
Wednesday
Cloudy, cold, rain or a wintry mix, near 40
Thursday
Rain or a wintry mix early; otherwise, mostly cloudy, cold, upper 30’s
Friday
Mainly sunny, windy, cold, upper 30’s
Saturday
Becoming cloudy, cold, mid 30’s
Discussion
Our active weather pattern continues and it looks like two storms will affect the Mid-Atlantic region by the middle of the week, and then a third storm is likely next weekend. That third storm could usher in the coldest air yet this season affecting much of the central and eastern US. In fact, there are signs that the first 5 days of 2013 may be the coldest start to a new year in places like the Midwestern US since the historically cold winter of 1976-1977.
The first storm will be weaker than the second, but certainly not inconsequential, and its timing is just perfect for producing a white Christmas for those in the Mid-Atlantic region from near the PA/MD border region northeast to the NYC metro region, and perhaps as far south as northern Virginia and northern Maryland. This storm will spread light precipitation into the Mid-Atlantic from late Monday into very early Tuesday (Christmas Day) as it moves eastward from the Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic coast. This looks like the type of system that could produce a coating to a couple of inches of snow in the Philly and NYC metro regions, and perhaps even as far south as the northern and western suburbs of the District. This first storm pulls out quickly by Tuesday morning and attention will then shift to the Deep South for a potential big one.
The second storm will be considerably stronger and more moisture-laden than the first and could end up being a major snowstorm for much of the interior Northeast US. This storm will likely head from the Deep South on late Tuesday to the Tennessee Valley by early Wednesday. From this location, energy will start transferring to the Mid-Atlantic coast and precipitation will likely spread into the Mid-Atlantic region during early Wednesday. Heavy snow is likely from this storm in inland locations with rain likely near the coast. The big cities along the I-95 corridor will likely be in a precipitation battle zone area during the storm between ice, snow and rain although snow accumulations are certainly possible in the northern and western suburbs. Stay tuned.