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Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | Severe weather threat in the Mid-Atlantic region on Thursday with the next significant rain event as strong low pressure system heads east

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Mainly sunny, warm, cannot rule out a brief afternoon shower, highs in the low 80’s

Tonight

Mostly cloudy, mild, chance for showers late, lows in the lower 60’s

Thursday

Mostly cloudy, humid, occasional rain and possible strong-to-severe thunderstorms, some of the rain will be heavy, any storm can contain damaging winds, hail and even an isolated tornado, low-to-mid 70’s

Thursday Night

Mostly cloudy, breezy, evening showers and thunderstorms, some of the rain will be heavy, turning cooler late, upper 50’s

Friday

Mostly cloudy, windy, cooler, lingering showers possible, low 70’s

Saturday

Mostly sunny, pleasant, mid-to-upper 70’s

Sunday

Mostly sunny, pleasantly warm, showers possible at night, near 80

Monday

Mostly cloudy, warm, chance for showers and thunderstorms, near 80

Discussion

A wild weather day is in store for the Mid-Atlantic region on Thursday with heavy downpours likely and also the threat for strong-to-severe thunderstorms. Any storm that does form on Thursday can contain damaging wind gusts, hail, torrential rainfall, and even an isolated tornado is possible as multiple atmospheric ingredients will come together to create an active weather situation.

To begin with, an unusually strong and intensifying low pressure system will reach Pennsylvania tomorrow after heading eastward today across the Midwest and Ohio Valley. This storm will reach the Mid-Atlantic coast late tomorrow night and turn into a nor'easter type of storm for places like Long Island and New England generating heavy rainfall and strong winds with potential power outages up there. In addition to the strong and intensifying system at the surface on Thursday, the upper atmosphere will add fuel to the fire as there will be strong winds at multiple levels contributing to the unstable environment. Showers may actually begin late tonight in the wee hours of the morning, but the main action will likely occur later tomorrow into early tomorrow night. This still-developing system is likely to cause some severe weather activity today across the Midwest and Ohio Valley as it begins its trek to the east. The strong nor'easter will head northeast on Friday along the New England coastline and we'll experience some clearing here in the Mid-Atlantic region, but residual showers cannot be ruled out. Saturday promises to be a nice day as high pressure builds into the region, but clouds will increase on Sunday as another system heads our way in this on-going active weather pattern.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/XWAWOnnrRAU