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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | **Blocking pattern in the upper atmosphere brings us lots of rain this week with the heaviest rainfall centered on Wednesday/Wednesday night**

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Mostly sunny early, clouds late, cool, highs in the mid 60’s

Tonight

Becoming mostly cloudy, chilly, showers possible towards morning, lows in the mid 40’s

Tuesday

Cloudy, breezy, chilly, periods or rain or drizzle, low-to-mid 50’s

Tuesday Night

Cloudy, breezy, chilly, periods or rain or drizzle, low-to-mid 40’s

Wednesday

Cloudy, breezy, chilly, periods of rain, heavy at times, maybe a thunderstorm or two, low-to-mid 50’s

Thursday

Mainly cloudy, milder, showers still likely, maybe a thunderstorm or two, low 70's

Friday

Partly sunny, mild, mid-to-upper 60’s

Saturday

Mostly cloudy, mild, maybe a shower or two, mid 60’s

Discussion

An “omega-shaped” upper level blocking pattern is unfolding early this week and the result will be an extended period of rainy weather in the Mid-Atlantic region and also in much of the eastern half of the nation. The rainy weather pattern will begin towards morning around here and continue right into Thursday with the heaviest rainfall likely centered on Wednesday and Wednesday night. After a decent start to the week temperature-wise, it'll become much colder-than-normal on Tuesday with highs in the 50's at a time when the normal high is around 65 degrees (at Central Park). While the rain can come down hard at times on Tuesday, it appears that Wednesday and Wednesday night could feature flooding downpours and the chance for strong thunderstorms. By the time Thursday morning rolls around, many areas in the Mid-Atlantic region may very well have received more than 3 inches of rain. As far as the Mets and Yankees are concerned, the games on Tuesday and Wednesday are in serious jeopardy with the Yankees in town and the Mets scheduled to play in Philadelphia.

Elsewhere, the deadliest outbreak of tornadoes this year occurred yesterday with more than thirty reported across Oklahoma and Arkansas. There will likely be another tornado outbreak later today - perhaps another twenty or so - likely centered just to the east of those areas hardest hit on Sunday in places like the Tennessee Valley. The good news is that the severe weather threat will diminish significantly after today and another quiet period should return to that part of the country.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/si900iVUFwM