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Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | **Flooding rainfall between late tonight and late tomorrow night; potential exists for a few strong thunderstorms as well during this heavy rain event**

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Cloudy, breezy and very cool for this time of year, occasional rain or drizzle, mainly after noon, highs only reaching the low 50’s (normal high is now 68 degrees)

Tonight

Cloudy, breezy, chilly, occasional or drizzle becoming steadier and heavier towards morning, lows in the low-to-mid 40’s

Wednesday

Cloudy, breezy, chilly, rain, heavy at times, maybe a strong thunderstorm or two, upper 50’s

Wednesday Night

Cloudy, breezy, chilly, rain, heavy at times, maybe a strong thunderstorm or two, low-to-mid 50’s

Thursday

Mostly cloudy, noticeably milder, still the chance for showers, maybe a thunderstorm, low 70’s

Friday

Partly sunny, mild, mid 60’s

Saturday

Mostly cloudy, mild, PM showers likely, mid 60’s

Sunday

Partly sunny, breezy, a bit cooler, low 60’s

Discussion

Large low pressure in the middle of the country will slowly inch its way to the region bringing with it periods of rain into Thursday with the heaviest rainfall destined to fall from late tonight through tomorrow night. In fact, the heavy rainfall on Wednesday and Wednesday night can generate localized flooding problems with more than three inches possible by the time the low pressure pushes into Canada later Thursday. There can be a few strong thunderstorms mixed into the picture as well during the heavy rain event on Wednesday and any of these storms can be associated with torrential downpours and gusty winds. While the steadiest rain moves away from the region on Thursday, there can still be a few more showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm or two. Mainly dry weather on Friday will be followed by somewhat unstable weather on Saturday in the Mid-Atlantic region with PM showers possible as a strong upper low moves nearby.

Elsewhere, another serious outbreak of tornadoes on Monday brought the two-day total number of reports to at least one hundred which doubled the still below-normal yearly amounts reported by NOAA in the entire preceding part of 2014. Yesterday's tornadoes focused on the Lower Mississippi Valley region which was slightly to the east of the area that was hit hard on Sunday. Today's tornado threat - slightly diminished compared to the past couple of days - will again take place across Mississippi, but will also include areas to the east such as Alabama and Georgia. Strong thunderstorms will be possible in the Mid-Atlantic region on Wednesday and quieter weather will return to the Deep South later this week.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/YwhV2LzB1YU