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Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | **Heavy rain threat late this week as front combines with tropical moisture; disturbance off of Florida could become the 1st hurricane of the season**

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Partly sunny, hot, humid, slight chance for late day showers and thunderstorms, highs not far from 90 degrees

Tonight

Mostly cloudy, mild, muggy, slight chance for showers and thunderstorms, lows in the low-to-mid 70’s

Wednesday

Partly sunny, hot, humid, showers and thunderstorms likely late, some of the rain can be heavy, near 90

Wednesday Night

Mostly cloudy, mild, muggy, showers and thunderstorms likely, some of the rain can be heavy, near 75

Thursday

Mostly cloudy, quite warm, humid, showers and thunderstorms likely, some of the rain can be heavy, upper 80’s

Friday

Mostly cloudy, cooler, showers still likely, maybe a thunderstorm, upper 70’s

Saturday

Mostly sunny, pleasant, near 80

Sunday

Mostly sunny, nice, low 80’s

Discussion

The combination of a tropical system along the east coast and a slow-moving strong cold frontal system approaching us from the west will likely lead to heavy downpours in the I-95 corridor from late Wednesday into Friday. While there can be a few showers and thunderstorms late today in the Mid-Atlantic region, a greater chance will occur late Wednesday and then again on Thursday as the front gradually closes in on the east coast. In the meantime, a tropical disturbance now off the east coast of Florida is likely to become the first named storm of the Atlantic Basin tropical season (Arthur) as it slowly rides up along the east coast. This tropical system - which could very well ultimately reach hurricane status - will have a big impact on the Outer Banks of North Carolina by the 4th of July. After that, it is likely to turn to the northeast to a position to the east of the Mid-Atlantic coastline by late in the week and then it should clear out of here in time for a very nice Saturday and Sunday.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/Q5HN-RGKuXo