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Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | ***Heavy rain and severe weather threat from this afternoon through tomorrow night***

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Mostly cloudy, quite warm, humid, showers and thunderstorms likely this afternoon, some of the rain can be heavy at times and some of the storms can be strong-to-severe, highs not far from 90 degrees

Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms likely, some of the rain can be heavy at times and some of the storms can be strong-to-severe, mild, lows in the lower 70’s

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy, warm, humid, showers and thunderstorms likely, some of the rain can be heavy at times and some of the storms can be strong-to-severe, mid-to-upper 80’s

Tuesday Night

Showers and thunderstorms still likely during the evening, some of the rain can be heavy at times and some of the storms can be strong-to-severe, turning cooler late, low-to-mid 60’s

Wednesday

Becoming partly sunny with lowering humidity, low 80’s

Thursday

Mostly sunny, pleasantly cool, near 80

Friday

Partly sunny, still very comfortable, low 80’s

Saturday

Partly sunny, more humid, but still cooler-than-normal, chance for showers and thunderstorms, low 80’s

Discussion

Several ingredients are setting up for a heavy rainfall threat that begins here this afternoon and continues through tomorrow night. Surface low pressure will begin to develop across the Great Lakes region later today as a deep upper level low swings slowly southeastward out of the Upper Mississippi Valley. A pre-frontal trough of low pressure will form near the east coast ahead of this unusually strong upper level low and this will be the focus for shower and thunderstorm development around here right through tomorrow night and some of the rainfall will be heavy at times. In addition to the heavy rain threat, another concern will be for severe weather. The atmosphere is quite unstable and any thunderstorm that forms later today and again later tomorrow can produce damaging wind gusts and hail - in addition to the heavy rainfall. A strong cold front will then push through the region by early Wednesday and usher in a refreshingly cool air mass into the Mid-Atlantic region for this time of year.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/ZeRXsHwOcWU