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Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | **First significant snow of the season on Wednesday**

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Partly sunny, cooler than yesterday, highs in the mid 50’s

Tonight

Mostly cloudy, turning colder late, lows in the upper 30’s by morning

Wednesday

Rain developing in the morning, changing to snow from northwest-to-southeast during the afternoon hours, breezy, noticeably colder, highs near 40 degrees

Wednesday Night

Snow likely before midnight, breezy, cold, total accumulations by morning of 3-6 inches in and around the NYC metro region, 6-10 inches in the northern and western suburbs, 2-4 inches across western and central Long Island, lows near 30 degrees

Thursday

Mostly cloudy, a bit of a breeze, cold, maybe a snow shower or two, near 40 degrees

Friday

Mostly sunny, cold, mid-to-upper 30’s

Saturday

Partly sunny, still cold, near 40 degrees

Sunday

Partly sunny, milder, upper 40's

Discussion

The first significant snowfall of the season is on the way for the NYC metro area and much of the Mid-Atlantic region. Low pressure will develop over the eastern Gulf of Mexico later today and intensify as it tracks northeastward along the east coast on Wednesday. The low is expected to pass just east of New Jersey on Wednesday evening before reaching the New England coastal waters late Wednesday night. This coastal storm will have a big impact on the interior Mid-Atlantic region on Wednesday and Wednesday night resulting in rather typical fashion in this region of generating more snow to the north and west and less snow to the south and east.

Precipitation should overspread the region from the southwest around dawn. Precipitation should start off as rain or a mixture of rain and snow before changing to all snow from northwest-to-southeast during the afternoon hours. Snow is likely for most, or all, of the storm in places well to the northwest of here such as in the Hudson Valley region. The last area to change over to snow will be over Long Island and they can expect less snowfall (2-4 inches in western and central sections). Northerly winds are forecast to increase to 10 to 20 mph on Wednesday with gusts to 25 or 30 mph possible. The snow will be of the heavy, wet variety.

As far as road conditions are concerned, initially the snow will have trouble sticking thanks to the recent round of warm weather. The worst driving conditions are likely to occur during the late afternoon and especially tomorrow evening when the effectiveness of the sun diminishes and temperatures drop to near freezing. One other note, looking ahead, signs point to a break in the weather pattern as we begin December with above-normal temperatures quite likely for awhile.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/jOKOccwZYy8