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Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:00 AM | **Winter storm arrives overnight...another storm generates accumulating snow here late Sunday night into Monday**

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Mostly sunny, cold, highs in the upper 30’s

Tonight

Becoming cloudy, cold, snow develops after midnight, lows in the upper 20’s

Saturday

Snow changes to freezing rain and sleet and eventually to plain rain in the immediate metro region, freezing precipitation could hold on in the northern and western suburbs, cold, upper 30’s

Saturday Night

Snow possible early or a mixture of precipitation, total snow and ice accumulations in the 3-6 inch range are likely in the NYC metro region and points north and west, cold, upper 20’s

Sunday

Partly sunny, cold, mid-to-upper 30’s; snow possible late at night

Monday

Mostly cloudy, snow likely, cold, low 30’s

Tuesday

Mostly sunny, very cold, mid 20’s

Wednesday

Partly sunny, very cold, mid-to-upper 20’s

Discussion

A significant coastal storm will move from the Virginia coastline early tomorrow to just east of the Massachusetts coastline by Saturday night and the result will be some accumulating snow and ice in the I-95 corridor. This storm will undergo rapid intensification between tonight and tomorrow night as it treks northeastward just off the east coast. One important limiting factor for significant snow from this storm in the Mid-Atlantic region is the fact that there will be no Arctic air mass in place ahead of the system and no strong high pressure system will be located to the north during the event acting as an all-important cold air source. Nonetheless, despite a likely mixture of precipitation during this event, snow accumulations in the 3-6 inch range are likely in the NYC metro region given the expected storm track and rapid intensification which can "generate" its own cold air. The main thumping of snow from this storm will come on its front end later tonight into early Saturday.

Another system will drop southeastward across the Great Lakes region late Sunday in much the same manner as some of the recent “clippers”. This system, however, has more potential that those recent ones as it will intensify in the Mid-Atlantic region on Monday, tap into some Atlantic Ocean moisture, and will have a cold air mass in place as it arrives. As a result, snow is likely to be the dominate precipitation type with this system on Sunday night and Monday and several inches of snow accumulation is possible from DC-to-Philly-to-NYC. There is the strong likelihood that the Monday morning commute will be significantly disrupted by this early week snow event. Brutal cold air follows this second system and lows by Wednesday morning will likely reach the single digits.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/clS8roYhJ8k