7:00 AM | **"Fred" comes ashore in western Florida...its tropical moisture field to push northward into the Tennessee Valley/Mid-Atlantic region**

6-Day forecast for the New York City metro region

Today

Mainly cloudy, warm, more humid, chance of showers and thunderstorms, highs in the lower 80's, SE winds at 5-10 mph

Tonight

Mainly cloudy, mild, muggy, chance of showers and thunderstorms, some of the rain can be heavy, lows near 75 degrees

Wednesday

Mainly cloudy, warm, humid, chance of showers and thunderstorms, some of the rain can be heavy, some of the thunderstorms can be strong, lower 80’s for afternoon highs

Wednesday Night

Mainly cloudy with the chance of showers and thunderstorms, some of the rain can be heavy, some of the thunderstorms can be strong, mild, muggy, lower 70's for late night lows

Thursday

Mainly cloudy, warm, still the chance of showers and thunderstorms, some of the rain can be heavy, some of the thunderstorms can be strong, lower 80’s

Friday

Partly sunny, warm, chance of showers and thunderstorms, near 85 degrees

Saturday

Partly sunny, warm, chance of showers and thunderstorms, mid 80’s

Sunday

Partly sunny, warm, chance of showers and thunderstorms, mid 80’s

Discussion

Tropical Storm “Fred” came ashore last evening in the western part of Florida and has since weakened into a tropical depression. This system will, however, continue to produce significant rainfall as it pushes northward along the Appalachian Mountains during the next 24-48 hours. The biggest impact in the Mid-Atlantic region will come later tomorrow into later Thursday when significant rain can fall in some spots; especially, on the western side of the metro region. In addition to the threat of some signficant rain, there is the chance that thunderstorms at mid-week reach strong-to-severe levels with isolated tornadoes on the table in the Mid-Atlantic region. By later Thursday, the remnants of "Fred" will have passed by to the north, but the weather will remain somewhat unsettled going into the weekend. Elsewhere in the Atlantic Basin, Tropical Storm "Grace" is likely headed west towards the Yucatan Peninsula region of Mexico and Tropical Storm "Henri" will meander over the Atlantic Ocean in coming days not too far from the island of Bermuda.

Meteorologist Paul Dorian
Peraton
peratonweather.com