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7:00 AM | ***Front-end accumulating snow/ice possible on Sunday night from significant winter storm***

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Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | ***Front-end accumulating snow/ice possible on Sunday night from significant winter storm***

Paul Dorian

6-Day forecast for the New York City metro region

Today

Mainly sunny, becoming windy, colder, highs in the lower 40’s; N winds increasing to 10-20 mph; gusts to 30 mph

Tonight

Mainly clear, bitter cold, still windy, lows between 10 and 15 degrees

Saturday

Partly sunny, windy, very cold, lower 20’s for afternoon highs

Saturday Night             

Mainly clear, bitter cold, near 10 degrees for late night lows           

Sunday

Sun followed by increasing clouds, cold, chance of snow by the end of the day, lower 30’s; chance of snow, ice and/or rain at night

Monday

Mainly cloudy, cold, chance of a mixture of snow, ice and rain in the morning which can change to all snow before ending, partly sunny in the afternoon, near 40 degrees

Tuesday

Mainly sunny, windy, cold, low-to-mid 30’s

Wednesday

Partly sunny, cold, mid-to-upper 30’s

Discussion              

A cold air mass will push into the region later today and tonight riding in on increasing northerly winds and all backed by strong Arctic high pressure building into the southeastern part of Canada.  It remains very cold on Saturday and Saturday night and then attention will turn to our south for the second half of the weekend.  Low pressure will develop by early Sunday morning in the southeastern states and this system will then make a move to the northeast and it’ll encounter an Arctic air mass that will be quite reluctant to give up its ground.  As a result, a significant snow and ice event is likely to take place across interior sections of Georgia and the Carolinas on Sunday morning and mid-day.  After that, moisture from this storm will push into the Mid-Atlantic region and with the cold, dense air in place, a period of snow and sleet is likely on the front-end in the NYC metro region. Early accumulation estimates are on the order of a couple of inches - perhaps 1-3 inch range - with the higher amounts to the northwest of NYC. Coastal flooding is possible with high tides Sunday night/early Monday and damaging wind gusts are possible along coastal sections of NJ.

Meteorologist Paul Dorian
Arcfield Weather