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7:00 AM | ****Intense ocean storm to bring accumulating snow and powerful winds to the Northeast US and eastern Mid-Atlantic****

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Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | ****Intense ocean storm to bring accumulating snow and powerful winds to the Northeast US and eastern Mid-Atlantic****

Paul Dorian

6-Day forecast for the New York City metro region

Today

Mainly cloudy, cold, occasional snow is likely by later in the day and small accumulations are possible, highs near 35 degrees; Calm conditions in the morning, N-NW winds around 5 mph this afternoon

Tonight

Mainly cloudy, cold, periods of snow, becoming windy, lows in the lower 20’s

Saturday

Mainly cloudy, very windy, cold, periods of snow, low-to-mid 20’s for highs

Saturday Night             

Evening snow possible then clearing skies, bitter cold, very windy, lower teens for late night lows with brutal wind chills       

Sunday

Mainly sunny, cold, upper 20’s

Monday

Mainly sunny, cold, mid 30’s

Tuesday

Mainly sunny, a bit milder, near 40 degrees

Wednesday

Mainly cloudy, mild, chance of showers, upper 40’s

Discussion              

An ocean storm will intensify rapidly over the next 36 hours or so and it will have a big impact on the Northeast US and also on much of the eastern Mid-Atlantic region. Some snow can break out here today associated with a frontal system, but the steadier, heavier snow associated with the developing storm should fall from early tonight into mid-day Saturday. The winds will increase in intensity as well during this event as a very strong pressure gradient will form between the strengthening low pressure and strong high pressure over southeastern Canada.  A very cold (and dry) air mass will be in place during much of the storm resulting in a drier, fluffier type of snow and temperatures tomorrow night can plunge to the upper single digits in some spots.  In fact, this cold air mass will dive all the way down into southern Florida this weekend on the heels of the storm. The estimate for snow accumulations across our region is 8-16 inches with the lesser amounts in that range to the north and west. A couple of notes, there is likely to be a sharp snow accumulation gradient with this storm and a small shift in the currently projected storm track and/or the timing of the intensification can make a big difference in these snowfall estimates in a given spot…so stay tuned.

Meteorologist Paul Dorian
Arcfield Weather