7:00 AM | **It stays quite brisk and cold today, but a dramatic one-day warm up comes on Thursday**
Paul Dorian
6-Day forecast for the New York City metro region
Today
Mainly sunny, still brisk and quite cold, highs in the lower 40’s; NW winds at 10-20 mph; gusts to 30 mph
Tonight
Mainly clear, cold, lows near 25 degrees
Wednesday
Mainly cloudy, cold, chance for a bit of rain, sleet and/or snow in the morning and mid-day, the chance of rain showers in the afternoon, mid 40’s for late day highs
Wednesday Night
Mainly cloudy, chilly, maybe a couple of rain showers, near 40 degrees for late night lows
Thursday
Mainly cloudy, windy and becoming dramatically warmer, good chance of PM showers and a possible late day strong thunderstorm, near 70 degrees; showers and possible thunderstorms at night
Friday
Partly sunny, breezy, cooler, chance of showers, mid-to-upper 50’s
Saturday
Partly sunny, cool, mid 50’s
Sunday
Partly sunny, cool, chance of rain showers, mid-to-upper 50’s
Discussion
The unusual chill will stick around into tomorrow and then much warmer air to our south and west will make an advance in this direction. Initially, the warmer air will be forced to ride up and over the entrenched cold air mass early tomorrow and this “overrunning” process can result in a bit of rain, sleet and/or snow. It should turn milder tomorrow afternoon with a plain rain shower possible along with some partial sunshine. By Thursday, the warmer air will win out in its entirety and temperatures are likely to surge to 70 degrees following the rather limited highs on Wednesday in the 40’s. This dramatic warm up on Thursday will come at a cost, however, as showers are likely and a strong-to-severe thunderstorm can form along and just ahead of incoming strong cold front. That same front may cause another outbreak of severe weather later tomorrow into Wednesday night across much of the same area that was hit last week (Deep South, Tennessee Valley). The passage of this next cold front will result in a much cooler air mass around here for Friday and it remains on the cool side this weekend.
Meteorologist Paul Dorian
Arcfield Weather