7:00 AM | ****Showers and possible severe storms later today into later tonight...holiday weekend starts off unsettled, but ends well though it'll become quite warm****
Paul Dorian
6-Day forecast for the New York City metro region
Today
Mainly cloudy, warmer, more humid, breezy, occasional showers and possible thunderstorms, any storm later today can be strong-to-severe with downpours, highs not far from 80 degrees; S winds increasing to 10-15 mph; gusts to 25 mph
Tonight
Mainly cloudy, mild, breezy, showers and thunderstorms during the evening hours, some of the storms can be strong-to-severe with downpours, lows in the mid 60’s
Saturday
Lots of clouds and only limited sun, warm, still the chance of showers, maybe eve a strong thunderstorm, the best chance of rain will be during the mid-day and afternoon hours, but much of the time will be rain-free, upper 70’s for afternoon highs
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy with an early thunderstorm possible, mild early and turning cooler late, near 60 degrees for late night lows
Sunday
Mainly sunny, warm, near 80 degrees
Monday
Mainly sunny, very warm, upper 80’s
Tuesday
Mainly sunny, very warm, lower 90’s
Wednesday
Mainly sunny, still very warm, near 90 degrees
Discussion
The combination of an increasingly humid air mass, strong surface frontal system and a vigorous mid-level low will help to generate numerous showers in the Mid-Atlantic region from today into tonight and possible severe thunderstorms. In fact, there may be two bands of thunderstorms to closely monitor during this event- one during the mid-day/early afternoon hours and a second during the late evening. The main severe weather parameter threats will be damaging wind gusts and “flash-flooding” downpours., and isolated tornadoes are also on the table. The upper-level low will be rather slow-moving in an easterly direction and this will result in an unsettled weather day on Saturday with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. The upper-level will then exit off the coast by Sunday resulting in improvement to end the weekend and the weather on Monday, Memorial Day, should feature plenty of sunshine, very warm conditions, and highs well up in the 80’s.
Meteorologist Paul Dorian
Arcfield Weather