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7:00 AM | **More rain today, tonight and Thursday and some of it heavy...a thunderstorm or two possible along the way...hail (ice pellets) or graupel (snow pellets) can be mixed in at times**

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7:00 AM | **More rain today, tonight and Thursday and some of it heavy...a thunderstorm or two possible along the way...hail (ice pellets) or graupel (snow pellets) can be mixed in at times**

Paul Dorian

6-Day forecast for the New York City metro region

Today

Mainly cloudy, becoming quite windy, chilly, periods of rain, heavy at times, maybe a late day thunderstorm, watch for localized flooding, highs in the mid-to-upper 40’s; E winds increasing to 10-20 mph; gusts possible to 40 mph

Tonight

Mainly cloudy, quite breezy, chilly, periods of rain, heavy at times, maybe an evening thunderstorm, hail (ice pellets) or graupel (snow pellets) can mix in at times during heavier showers or any thunderstorm, watch for localized flooding, lows in the upper 30’s

Thursday

Mainly cloudy, breezy, chilly, occasional rain showers, maybe a thunderstorm, hail (ice pellets) or graupel (snow pellets) can mix in at times during heavier showers or any thunderstorm, upper 40’s for afternoon highs

Thursday Night             

Mainly cloudy, cold, chance of showers, graupel (snow pellets) can mix in at times during heavier showers, mid-to-upper 30’s for late night lows

Friday

Mainly cloudy, breezy, chilly, maybe a rain or snow shower, upper 40’s

Saturday

Mainly cloudy, still breezy and cool, lower 50’s

Sunday

Mainly sunny, milder, mid-to-upper 50’s

Monday

Mainly sunny, mild, mid 60’s

Discussion

There has been rain, heavy at times, during the past couple of days and there will be rain, heavy at times, during the next couple of days…watch out for localized flooding. There are a couple of differences, however, in overall atmospheric conditions that will have an impact today, tonight and tomorrow. First, the overall atmosphere becomes some what more unstable later today leading to an increasing wind compared to earlier in the week and an also an increased chance for a strong thunderstorm. In addition, the overall atmosphere will become colder later today and tonight and this will allow for an increased chance of hail (ice pellets) or graupel (snow pellets) during any heavier shower or thunderstorm right through tomorrow. The weather remains somewhat unsettled on Friday and it takes until later in the weekend to finally settle down to quieter and milder conditions.

Meteorologist Paul Dorian
Arcfield Weather