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6:15 AM | ***Good chance of showers and thunderstorms later today and tonight...some of the storms can be strong-to-severe...an unsettled weekend as well***

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Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:15 AM | ***Good chance of showers and thunderstorms later today and tonight...some of the storms can be strong-to-severe...an unsettled weekend as well***

Paul Dorian

6-Day forecast for the New York City metro region

Today

Partly sunny, hot, humid, good chance of late day showers and thunderstorms, some of the storms can be strong-to-severe, highs in the low-to-mid 90’s; Clam conditions this morning; S winds around 5-10 mph in the afternoon

Tonight

Mainly cloudy, mild, good chance of showers and thunderstorms, some of the storms can be strong-to-severe, lows in the middle 70’s

Saturday

Partly sunny, very warm, humid, good chance of showers and thunderstorms, some of the rain can be heavy, near 90 degrees for afternoon highs

Saturday Night             

Mainly cloudy, mild, good chance of showers and thunderstorms, some of the rain can be heavy, low-to-mid 70’s for late night lows

Sunday

Partly sunny, warm, humid, still the chance of showers and thunderstorms, mid-to-upper 80’s

Monday

Mainly sunny, quite warm, near 90 degrees

Tuesday

Mainly sunny, warm, maybe a shower or thunderstorm, mid-to-upper 80’s

Wednesday

Mainly sunny, warm, chance of showers and thunderstorms, lower 80’s

Discussion

An intensifying upper-level trough of low pressure will slide towards the Mid-Atlantic region from later today into tonight and it’ll actually play a role in the weather around here right through the upcoming weekend. Specifically, this system will enhance upward motion in the area raising the chance of showers and thunderstorms - possibly strong-to-severe - and that threat of rain will continue on each weekend day. In addition, a southwesterly flow of air out ahead of this incoming trough will push very moist air into the area suggesting any shower or thunderstorm that does form during the next few days can produce some very heavy rainfall amounts in an impacted location.

Meteorologist Paul Dorian
Arcfield Weather