6:15 AM | **Still unsettled today in the Mid-Atlantic region with the continuing chance of showers and thunderstorms as stubborn upper-level low inches along...more rain chances later in the week**
Paul Dorian
6-Day forecast for the New York City metro region
Today
Mainly cloudy with some patchy fog around, becoming a bit warmer, occasional showers and perhaps an afternoon thunderstorm, some of the PM storms can be strong, highs near 70 degrees; S-SE winds around 5-15 mph
Tonight
Mainly cloudy, mild, chance of showers and thunderstorms, patchy fog possible, lows near 55 degrees
Wednesday
Becoming partly sunny warm, cannot rule out a couple of showers and maybe a thunderstorm, low-to-mid 70’s for afternoon highs
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, mild, middle 50’s for late night lows
Thursday
Partly sunny, warm, chance of PM showers and thunderstorms, lower 70’s
Friday
Mainly cloudy, cooler, occasional rain is likely, upper 50’s
Saturday
Becoming partly sunny, comfortable, near 70 degrees
Sunday
Mainly sunny, nice, middle 70’s
Discussion
A “closed-off” upper-level low pressure system will continue to produce bands of showers today in the Mid-Atlantic region and there can be some strong thunderstorm activity as well during the afternoon and evening hours. The stubborn “closed” upper low will edge to the northeast on Wednesday as it “opens up” enough to get captured by the polar jet and our weather should improve at mid-week though a shower or two cannot be ruled out.
A cold front will then drop southeastward on Thursday crossing the Great Lakes and reaching the Mid-Atlantic region by late in the day. At the same time, another upper-level low will develop over the Mid-Atlantic region and surface low pressure is likely to form along the cold frontal boundary zone. The end result could be more showers and thunderstorms around here from later Thursday into Friday and perhaps even a period of steadier rain. The weekend could turn out to be pretty decent with increasing amounts of sunshine on Saturday and mostly sunny skies on Sunday. However, upper-level lows are notorious for throwing some curve balls to the weather forecaster so not quite ready yet to give the “all-clear” signal about the weekend.
Meteorologist Paul Dorian
Arcfield Weather