6:15 AM | *Improvement today...another round of rain from later tomorrow into Friday...weekend/early next week shaping up nicely*

6-Day forecast for the New York City metro region

Today

Clouds to give way to mainly sunny skies, warm, cannot rule out an early day shower, highs in the low-to-mid 70’s; W winds around 5-10 mph

Tonight

Partly cloudy, mild, lows in the mid-to-upper 50’s

Thursday

Partly sunny, warm, chance of PM showers and thunderstorms, middle 70’s for afternoon highs

Thursday Night             

Mainly cloudy, mild, chance of showers and thunderstorms, low-to-mid 50’s for late night lows

Friday

Mainly cloudy, cooler, occasional rain, maybe a thunderstorm, lower 60’s

Saturday

Becoming mainly sunny, comfortable, near 70 degrees

Sunday

Mainly sunny, nice, middle 70’s

Monday

Mainly sunny, warm, mid-to-upper 70’s

Discussion

The stubborn “closed” upper low that has been impacting our weather since the weekend will finally slide to the northeast today as it “opens up” enough aloft to get captured by the polar jet. As a result, our weather will improve today featuring plenty of sunshine with comfortably warm conditions. A cold front will then drop slowly southeastward on Thursday crossing the Great Lakes and reaching the Mid-Atlantic region by late in the day. At the same time, a new upper-level low will develop over the Mid-Atlantic region and surface low pressure is likely to form along the cold frontal boundary zone. The end result should be more showers and thunderstorms around here from later tomorrow into Friday and perhaps even a period of steadier rain. The weekend and early part of next week are shaping up quite nicely with increasing amounts of sunshine expected on Saturday and mostly sunny skies on Sunday and Monday. Beyond that, another unsettled period develops in the Mid-Atlantic region by the middle of next week with a Gulf system likely to ride up along the Atlantic seaboard.

Meteorologist Paul Dorian
Arcfield Weather