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6:15 AM | ***Severe thunderstorms a threat later today/early tonight...high heat and humidity on the way from later this weekend into at least the middle of next week***

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Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:15 AM | ***Severe thunderstorms a threat later today/early tonight...high heat and humidity on the way from later this weekend into at least the middle of next week***

Paul Dorian

6-Day forecast for the New York City metro region

Today

Mostly sunny skies in the morning, variable clouds in the afternoon, hot, humid, becoming breezy, good chance of PM showers and thunderstorms, some of the thunderstorms can be severe, highs in the lower 90’s; SW winds increasing to 10-20 mph

Tonight

Mainly cloudy, mild, good chance of evening showers and thunderstorms, some of the thunderstorms can be severe, lows in the mid-to-upper 60’s

Friday

Mainly sunny, warm, less humid, middle 80’s for afternoon highs

Friday Night             

Partly cloudy, mild, mid-to-upper 60’s for late night lows

Saturday

Mainly sunny, quite warm, upper 80’s

Sunday

Mainly sunny, hot, lower 90’s

Monday

Mainly sunny, quite hot, mid-to-upper 90’s

Tuesday

Mainly sunny, quite hot, upper 90’s

Discussion

The atmosphere will become quite unstable later today with the approach of a surface cold frontal system combined with a disturbance in the upper part of the atmosphere. As a result, the chance for afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms will be high and any thunderstorm that forms can be severe with heavy rain and damaging wind gusts. There is also that chance in this expected thunderstorm activity for large hail and isolated tornadoes cannot be ruled out. Temperatures today will climb to uncomfortably warm levels near 90 degrees and the humidity will be a very noticeable factor as well.

After a sunny and warm day to end the work week, very strong high pressure ridging in the upper part of the atmosphere will push eastward this weekend. This system will end up directly overhead in the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast US by the early part of next week and likely stay put until at least the middle of next week. As a result, high heat and humidity is on the way for an extended period of time from later this weekend into at least the middle of next week.

Meteorologist Paul Dorian
Arcfield Weather