6:00 AM | ***All eyes on Hurricane Isaias...the first of the Atlantic Basin tropical season...impacts all the way to the Mid-Atlantic region by later this weekend***
Paul Dorian
6-Day forecast for the New York City metro region
Today
Mainly sunny, breezy, a bit warmer, highs in the middle 70’s; W-SW winds around 5-15 mph
Tonight
Mostly clear, cool, lows in the lower 50’s
Friday
Mainly sunny, comfortable, lower 70’s for afternoon highs
Friday Night
Mainly clear, cool, lower 50’s for late night lows
Saturday
Sun followed by clouds, comfortable, lower 70’s
Sunday
Mainly cloudy, breezy, a bit cooler, periods of rain and some of the rain can be heavy at times, upper 60’s
Columbus Day
Mainly cloudy, cool, chance of showers, near 70 degrees
Tuesday
Partly sunny, cool, maybe a shower, near 70 degrees
Discussion
All eyes are now on Hurricane Isaias – the first hurricane this season in the Atlantic Basin and the latest first hurricane in more than one hundred years. With favorable environmental conditions headed by very warm sea surface temperatures of around 30 degrees Celsius, Isaias is likely to climb to a strong category 2 status in the near term, and a “major” category 3 classification cannot be completely ruled out. Landfall is likely to occur late Friday somewhere in the region of Mobile Bay and there can be some weakening just before landfall.
Heavy rain, damaging wind gusts and high storm surge will take place along the central Gulf coast and severe weather will become a risk on Friday night and Saturday in the Deep South: especially, to the right of the northward-moving storm track. After landfall, the impact from Isaias is likely to continue well to the north of the northern Gulf with its rain shield likely moving as far north as the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast US with some heavy rain on the table around here by later in the weekend.
Meteorologist Paul Dorian
Arcfield
arcfieldweather.com