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Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:00 AM | *****All-out blizzard for metro region from later today through Tuesday...heavy snow on the order of 20-30 inches, "thunder snow", strong winds up to 55 mph, blowing and drifting*****

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Periods of snow, quite breezy, cold, highs in the mid-to-upper 20’s

Tonight

Snow, heavy at times, windy, very cold, possible "thunder snow", blowing and drifting, lows near 20 degrees by morning

Tuesday

Snow, heavy at times, windy, possible "thunder snow", serious blowing and drifting, quite cold, mid 20’s

Tuesday Night

Snow ending early, windy, brutal cold, total snow accumulations of 20-30 inches, upper teens

Wednesday

Partly sunny, very cold, mid 20’s

Thursday

Becoming cloudy, cold, snow at night, mid 30’s

Friday

Mostly cloudy, cold, snow possible, mid 30’s

Saturday

Partly sunny, cold, upper 20’s

Discussion

The potential exists for one of the all-time great nor'easters tonight and Tuesday in the region from New York City/New Jersey-to-Boston. This will be a two-part event with the first part into this afternoon associated with a “clipper” type of system. Then energy from this system will feed into a coastal low which will develop explosively later today and tonight as it heads to the northeast from the Carolina coastline. An Arctic front slid through the region yesterday setting the stage for the development of a major coastal storm during the next 24 hours. Snow from the “clipper” will be rather light and sporadic around here today, but the main action begins early tonight.

Once this system reaches the western Atlantic Ocean, the combination of the relatively warm ocean water, a powerful upper-level jet streak and an influx of brutally cold Arctic air from the northwest will cause it to explode off of the Northeast US coastline from today Monday into Tuesday. As a result, snow will intensify tonight and this likely will turn into an all-out blizzard from New Jersey and New York City northeastward to Maine with heavy snow, strong winds, bitter cold and serious blowing and drifting. “Thunder snow” is possible tonight and tomorrow as the storm intensifies rapidly. The snow will be of the dry, fluffy variety.

By the time tomorrow evening rolls around, there can be 20-30 inches of snow in the corridor from NYC-to-Boston where it looks likely that this storm will be talked about for a long, long time. One last point, the overall weather pattern looks absolutely frigid for the foreseeable future – perhaps right through February - and there will be multiple snow threats with the next one arriving late Thursday into Friday. The cold shot that arrives in about a week could bring record-breaking cold to the Northeast US as we begin the month of February.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/8gdXdUWptjI