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Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

7:00 AM | *Heavy rain threat tonight and tomorrow as cold front pushes through the region...tropical threat at end of week and/or this weekend*

Paul Dorian

6-Day NYC Forecast

Today

Mostly cloudy, still rather warm and muggy, showers likely later this afternoon, possibly a thunderstorm, highs near 80 degrees

Tonight

Mostly cloudy, muggy, mild, occasional showers and possibly a thunderstorm, some of the rain can be heavy, lows in the upper 60’s

Wednesday

Periods of rain, maybe a thunderstorm or two, some of the rain can be heavy, cooler, near 70 degrees

Wednesday Night

Mostly cloudy, cool, showers likely, breezy, mid 50’s

Thursday

Mostly cloudy, breezy, cool, showers possible, near 60 degrees

Friday

Mostly cloudy, breezy, cool, rain possible and it could be significant, low 60’s

Saturday

Mostly cloudy, breezy, cool, rain possible and it could be significant, low-to-mid 60’s

Sunday

Mostly cloudy, breezy, cool, rain possible and it could be significant, low-to-mid 60’s

Discussion

The overall weather pattern in recent days has generally been without significant rainfall, but heavy rain is a possibility on a couple of occasions during the next several days. A strong cold front will push some rain into the area later today, tonight and on Wednesday and some of that rain can be heavy at times. A few thunderstorms can also mix into the picture over the next 24 hours or so as the cold front slowly pushes through the region.

This frontal system will then stall out near the coastline and its boundary zone will act as a conduit for moisture to ride along later in the week and plenty of moisture will be available. In fact, a tropical depression near the Bahamas yesterday strengthened overnight into Tropical Storm Joaquin and there is a reasonable forecast scenario that brings this system back towards the Mid-Atlantic coastline at the end of the week and/or during the upcoming weekend. This type of track would certainly raise the prospects for more heavy rain and potential strong winds in at least coastal sections of the Mid-Atlantic. Stay tuned.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/xNXM4nZHbZA