6:00 AM | ***All eyes on potential coastal storm for Friday...heavy rain, gusty winds on the table at week's end with strong rip currents in the ocean***
Paul Dorian
6-Day forecast for the New York City metro region
Today
Early morning patchy fog then becoming partly sunny, quite warm, humid, only a slight chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, highs in the lower 90’s
Tonight
Mainly cloudy, mild, muggy, slight chance of showers late, lows near 75 degrees
Friday
Mostly cloudy, warm, tropical-like humidity, increasingly windy, good chance of showers and thunderstorms, some of the rainfall can be heavy at times and there is the potential for flash flooding, lower 80’s for afternoon highs
Friday Night
Chance of showers and thunderstorms, some of the rainfall can be heavy at times and there is the potential for flash flooding, mild, muggy, gusty winds, lower 70’s for late night lows
Saturday
Partly sunny, warm, muggy, still the chance of showers and thunderstorms, upper 80’s
Sunday
Partly sunny, very warm, humid, slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, near 90 degrees
Monday
Partly sunny, very warm, humid, chance of showers and thunderstorms, upper 80’s
Tuesday
Partly sunny, warm, humid, chance of showers and thunderstorms, upper 80’s
Discussion
Scattered showers and thunderstorms continued to plague the Mid-Atlantic region on Wednesday, but today will present only a slight chance of rainfall as we have a brief break in the action. Attention now turns to the Outer Banks of North Carolina as low pressure over that region is likely to push to the northeast later today and then move in a more northerly direction reaching the southern part of the Delmarva Peninsula by early tomorrow. With this expected move out over the warm waters of the western Atlantic, there is a chance for intensification and a possible "naming" of the storm by NOAA's National Hurricane Center as it potentially reaches tropical storm status (it would be "Fay"). Whether or not "naming" of the storm takes place, heavy rainfall is on the table for Friday across the Delmarva Peninsula, eastern PA, New Jersey and the New York City metro region and there can be gusty winds as well; especially, along coastal locations. This storm is also likely to generate strong rip currents in the ocean on Friday which could stick around into the weekend. The departure of this coastal storm on Saturday will not be the end of the wet weather pattern in the eastern US. An impressive upper-level trough should form by later in the weekend likely leading to more rainfall around here during the first half of next week.
Meteorologist Paul Dorian
Perspecta, Inc.
perspectaweather.com