7:00 AM | *An unsettled start to the holiday weekend..."Elsa" has reached hurricane status*

6-Day forecast for the New York City metro region

Today

Mainly cloudy, not as warm as recent days, humid, chance of additional showers and thunderstorms, highs in the upper 70’s; W winds at 5-10 mph

Tonight

Mainly cloudy in the evening with a lingering chance of showers and thunderstorms, turning cooler late, lows in the lower 60’s

Saturday

Mainly cloudy and quite cool for early July, chance of showers and thunderstorms, low-to-mid 70’s for afternoon highs

Saturday Night

Mainly cloudy, cool, chance of showers and thunderstorms, near 60 degrees for late night lows

Sunday

Partly sunny, still on the cool side of normal, cannot rule out a couple of residual showers or a thunderstorm, upper 70’s

Monday

Plenty of sunshine, warmer, middle 80’s

Tuesday

Mainly sunny, even warmer, low-to-mid 90’s

Wednesday

Mainly sunny, very warm, chance of showers and thunderstorms, lower 90’s

Discussion

A cold frontal system has stalled out near the east coast and this will keep it unsettled in the Mid-Atlantic region through tonight with additional showers possible and perhaps a thunderstorm or two. An upper-level low will move directly overhead by tomorrow and this will continue to result in unsettled conditions with threat of showers as we begin the holiday weekend. A shower or thunderstorm cannot be ruled for Sunday, July 4th, but the weather should improve some by then and then the off-day on Monday, July 5th, is likely to feature the most sunshine of the 3-day weekend and also the warmest conditions with highs well up in the 80’s. Elsewhere, “Elsa” has reached hurricane status this morning and threatens Hispaniola (especially on the Haiti side), Jamaica and Cuba later this weekend and then the SE US/Gulf of Mexico early next week…stay tuned.

Meteorologist Paul Dorian
Peraton
peratonweather.com