7:00 AM | ****Intense early weekend ocean storm to have a bigger impact to our north and east, but snow accumulations likely here as well****

6-Day forecast for the Washington, D.C. metro region

Today

Mainly sunny, cold, highs near 35 degrees; S-SE winds at 5-10 mph

Tonight

Increasing clouds, cold, lows in the mid-to-upper 20’s

Friday

Mainly cloudy, cold, chance of some snow in the afternoon, mid-to-upper 30’s for afternoon highs

Friday Night             

Mainly cloudy, cold, snow likely, lower 20’s for late night lows           

Saturday

Mainly cloudy, quite cold, windy, snow likely in the morning, mid 20’s; bitter cold at night

Sunday

Mainly sunny, quite cold, upper 20’s

Monday

Mainly sunny, cold, mid-to-upper 30’s

Tuesday

Mainly sunny, not quite as cold, low-to-mid 40’s

Discussion              

Many ingredients are going to come together that will allow for explosive intensification of a storm system over the western Atlantic Ocean between mid-day tomorrow and mid-day Saturday. In fact, it appears that this low pressure system may rather easily surpass the requirement of a central pressure drop of at least 24 millibars in a 24-hour period to be classified as a “bomb cyclone”. The ultimate track of the storm is still somewhat unclear at this time, but snow accumulations are likely in the Mid-Atlantic region from later tomorrow into Saturday. The preliminary estimate for snow accumulations across our region is 1-5 inches with the higher amounts in that range to the south and east and the lesser amounts to the north and west. A couple of notes, there is likely to be a sharp snow accumulation gradient with this storm and a small shift in the currently projected storm track can make a big difference in these preliminary snowfall estimates…i.e., still a fluid situation so stay tuned.

Meteorologist Paul Dorian
Arcfield Weather