7:00 AM | ***Wintry mix possible on Thursday morning before a changeover to plain rain...heavy rain, strong easterly winds later Thursday/Thursday night***
Paul Dorian
6-Day forecast for the New York City metro region
Today
Mainly sunny, cold, highs not far from 40 degrees; N-NW around 5 mph
Tonight
Mainly clear, quite cold, lows in the mid 20’s
Wednesday
Mainly sunny with late day high clouds, cold, near 40 degrees for afternoon highs
Wednesday Night
Becoming mainly cloudy, cold, mid-to-upper 20’s for late night lows
Thursday
Mainly cloudy, cold, wintry mix possible in the morning changes over to plain rain in the afternoon, increasingly windy, near 40 degrees
Friday
Mainly cloudy with the chance of AM rain, chilly, breezy, near 45 degrees late in the day
Saturday
Mainly sunny, cold, lower 40’s
Sunday
Mainly sunny, cold, upper 30’s
Discussion
Low pressure has pushed into the central states and will generate blizzard conditions in the Northern Plains with heavy snow and powerful winds. This storm will push to the northeast tonight and the blizzard conditions will extend from the Dakotas and Minnesota into the northern half of Wisconsin. Meanwhile, on the storm’s warm side, severe weather is breaking out already today across Texas and Oklahoma and the threat will shift eastward into the Lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys from later today into Wednesday.
The initial primary surface low pressure system will grind to a halt and weaken as it reaches the Great Lakes due to a strong blocking pattern in the atmosphere over Canada. This will lead to the development of a secondary storm system near the east coast on Thursday resulting in widespread precipitation on Thursday in the Mid-Atlantic region. The precipitation will likely break out in the NYC metro region during the late morning-to-midday hours on Thursday and a mix of snow and ice is possible with small accumulations on the table. Precipitation will then change to plain rain later Thursday as easterly winds bring in some low-level milder air and the winds will kick up as well. In fact, heavy rain and strong easterly winds are possible on Thursday night as the storm intensifies along the coast.
Meteorologist Paul Dorian
Arcfield Weather