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6:15 AM | ***From drought to potential flooding...a prolonged and significant rain event for the Mid-Atlantic region...strong-to-severe thunderstorms in the mix***

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Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

6:15 AM | ***From drought to potential flooding...a prolonged and significant rain event for the Mid-Atlantic region...strong-to-severe thunderstorms in the mix***

Paul Dorian

6-Day forecast for the Washington, D.C. metro region

Today

Partly sunny, breezy, very warm and noticeably more humid, chance of PM showers and thunderstorms, much of the day will be rain-free, highs in the mid-to-upper 80’s; SW winds increasing to 10-20 mph

Tonight

Mainly cloudy, mild, muggy, chance of showers and thunderstorms, lows near 65 degrees

Saturday

Partly sunny, breezy, still very warm and humid, chance of PM showers and thunderstorms, some of the PM storms can be strong-to-severe and some of the rain can be heavy at times, middle 80’s for afternoon highs

Saturday Night             

Mainly cloudy, mild, showers and thunderstorms likely, some of the nighttime storms can be strong-to-severe and some of the rain can be heavy at times, near 65 degrees for late night lows

Sunday

Mainly cloudy, not quite as warm, good chance of rain, maybe a thunderstorm, middle 70’s

Monday

Mainly cloudy, mild, good chance of rain, maybe a thunderstorm, low-to-mid 70’s

Tuesday

Mainly cloudy, mild, good chance of rain, maybe a thunderstorm, middle 70’s

Wednesday

Partly sunny, mild, chance of showers, mid-to-upper 70’s

Discussion

A prolonged and significant rain event is coming to the Mid-Atlantic region that can actually take us from drought conditions to flooding problems. Several inches of rain will be possible in some spots by the time we get to the middle of next week and strong-to-severe thunderstorms will be included in the mix as well.

Today will turn out to be very warm and humid than yesterday following the passage of a warm front. Temperatures this afternoon should reach well up into the 80’s and there are likely to be scattered showers and thunderstorms going into the evening hours. On Saturday, a cold front will head towards the east coast and showers and thunderstorms will become increasingly likely as we go through the afternoon hours and then they’ll continue during the evening. Some of the storms that form later tomorrow and tomorrow night and be strong-to-severe and some of the rain will be heavy at times. Looking ahead, the upper part of the atmosphere will evolve into a classic “omega-block” pattern and one that can produce occasional rain in the Mid-Atlantic region from Sunday into the middle of next week. Some of this rainfall is likely to be heavy at times with additional strong-to-severe thunderstorms on the table during the first half of next week.

Meteorologist Paul Dorian
Arcfield Weather