6:15 AM | ***From drought to potential flooding...a prolonged and significant rain event for the Mid-Atlantic region...strong-to-severe thunderstorms in the mix***
Paul Dorian
6-Day forecast for the New York City metro region
Today
Partly sunny, breezy, quite warm and noticeably more humid, chance of PM showers and thunderstorms, much of the day will be rain-free, highs in the middle 80’s; SW winds increasing to 10-20 mph
Tonight
Mainly cloudy, mild, muggy, chance of showers and thunderstorms, lows in the lower 60’s
Saturday
Partly sunny, breezy, still quite warm and humid, chance of PM showers and thunderstorms, some of the late day storms can be strong and some of the rain can be heavy, low-to-mid 80’s for afternoon highs
Saturday Night
Mainly cloudy, mild, showers and thunderstorms likely, some of the nighttime storms can be strong-to-severe and some of the rain can be heavy, lower 60’s for late night lows
Sunday
Mainly cloudy, not as warm, good chance of rain, maybe a thunderstorm, middle 70’s
Monday
Mainly cloudy, cooler, good chance of rain, maybe a thunderstorm, middle 60’s
Tuesday
Mainly cloudy, cool, good chance of rain, maybe a thunderstorm, mid-to-upper 60’s
Wednesday
Considerable clouds, mild, chance of showers, lower 80’s
Discussion
A prolonged and significant rain event is coming to the Mid-Atlantic region that can actually take us from drought conditions to flooding problems. Several inches of rain will be possible in some spots by the time we get to the middle of next week and strong-to-severe thunderstorms will be included in the mix as well.
Today will turn out to be very warm and noticeably more humid than yesterday following the passage of a warm front. Temperatures this afternoon should reach well up into the 80’s and there are likely to be scattered showers and thunderstorms going into the evening hours. On Saturday, a cold front will head towards the east coast and showers and thunderstorms will become increasingly likely as we go through the afternoon hours and then they’ll continue during the evening. Some of the storms that form later tomorrow and tomorrow night and be strong-to-severe and some of the rain will be heavy at times. Looking ahead, the upper part of the atmosphere will evolve into a classic “omega-block” pattern and one that can produce occasional rain in the Mid-Atlantic region from Sunday into the middle of next week. Some of this rainfall is likely to be heavy at times with additional strong-to-severe thunderstorms on the table during the first half of next week.
Meteorologist Paul Dorian
Arcfield Weather