High pressure ridging off the east coast will continue to promote a moist southeasterly flow of air into the region for much of the week. The best chance for thunderstorm activity later today will likely be at inland locations; however, that chance will increase near the coastline over the next few afternoons.
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The axis of the low-level high pressure ridge will stay north of the area during the first part of the new week and this will open the door to persistent southeasterly flow of air. This type of pattern favors diurnal convection activity to propagate to inland areas during the afternoon hours, but they cannot be ruled out near the coastline of eastern Florida.
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The axis of the low-level high pressure ridge will stay north of the area during the first part of the new week and this will open the door to persistent southeasterly flow of air. This type of pattern favors diurnal convection activity to propagate to inland areas more so than along the coastline of east-central Florida.
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The work week should end on a rain-free note as some drier air pushes into the region and this should inhibit the formation of showers or thunderstorms in coastal regions of central Florida. The low-level flow will become more southerly on Saturday bringing back some moisture to the region and the threat for showers and storms will increase some for both weekend days.
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The Atlantic ridge has resumed control of our weather and will continue to pump in copious amounts of moisture to the region. High temperatures over the next few days will come close to the 90 degree mark and there are likely to be scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms- any one of which can produce heavy rainfall in a short period of time.
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The Atlantic ridge will resume control of our weather pattern over the next few days following the departure of the tropical depression. A southerly flow of air will pump in very moist low-level air and this will keep the daily threat of showers and thunderstorms.
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The moisture left behind by the remains of Tropical Storm Emily can fuel more showers and thunderstorms today across east-central Florida and the threat for showers and thunderstorms will continue around here on a daily basis for the remainder of the week – even after the departure of the tropical depression. Any shower or storm that forms today and each day through the week can produce a lot of rainfall in a short period of time.
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Tropical Storm Emily has formed just off the Tamp coastline and it will spread heavy rainfall into east-central Florida as it slowly treks to the east and right towards the local area. Latest observations include max sustained winds at 45 mph and eastward movement at about 8 mph. It should start to speed up a bit in the overnight hours and on Tuesday and turn more to the northeast as it becomes influenced by an upper-level trough along the Mid-Atlantic coastline. The threat for showers and storms will continue through the rest of the week -even after the departure on Tuesday of TS Emily - and several inches of rainfall can accumulate around here by week's end.
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A sharp trough of low pressure will form over the east coast by the weekend and it’ll drive a frontal system way down into the Southeast US. As a result, southwest flow will form over the region pushing temperatures into the lower 90’s for highs over the next couple of days. By later in the weekend, the threat for showers and thunderstorms will climb across central Florida as this upper trough slides southward towards the local area. This increased threat for rain here will continue into the early part of next week.
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The western Atlantic high pressure ridge will continue to influence our weather today and will keep us quite warm and humid. Low pressure troughing in the upper atmosphere will drop southward by the weekend and this will increase our chances for showers and thunderstorms. Any storm that forms in this air mass later this week and this weekend can produce heavy downpours and contain frequent lightning strikes.
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