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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: NYC

7:00 AM | Nice weather right into the weekend

Paul Dorian

6-Day NYC Forecast

Today

Sunny, comfortable, highs in the mid 80’s

Tonight

Mostly clear, pleasant, lows near the 65 degree mark

Thursday

Mainly sunny, nice, mid 80’s

Thursday Night

Mainly clear, still quite pleasant, mid 60’s

Friday

Mainly sunny, comfortable, low-to-mid 80’s

Saturday

Mainly sunny, nice, low-to-mid 80’s

Sunday

Partly sunny, warm, chance for showers and thunderstorms late in the day or at night, low-to-mid 80’s

Monday

Partly sunny, warm, chance for showers and thunderstorms, low-to-mid 80’s

Discussion

A cool front slid through the region last night and its passage ushered in much more comfortable air mass that will stick around right into the weekend. High pressure centered over the Northern Plains this morning will control the weather in the Northeast US right into the weekend. The next chance for showers and thunderstorms is likely to hold off until late in the weekend with the approach of another cool frontal system.

7:00 AM | A much more comfortable second half of the week

Paul Dorian

6-Day NYC Forecast

Today

Partly sunny, still pretty hot, humid, chance for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm, highs near 90 degrees

Tonight

Chance for an early evening shower or thunderstorm then becoming partly cloudy and turning much more comfortable late, lows by morning in the upper 60’s

Wednesday

Mainly sunny, comfortable, mid 80’s

Wednesday Night

Mainly clear, cool, mid 60’s

Thursday

Mainly sunny, pleasant, low-to-mid 80’s

Friday

Mainly sunny, nice, low-to-mid 80’s

Saturday

Mainly sunny, still pretty comfortable, low-to-mid 80’s

Sunday

Partly sunny, warm, chance for showers and thunderstorms at night, low-to-mid 80’s

Discussion

A cool front will slide through the region this evening and this will pave the way for a much more comfortable second half of the week. Temperatures today will approach the 90 degree mark and there can be a couple of afternoon and early evening showers and perhaps even a thunderstorm, but then it’ll become more comfortable in the overnight hours as a new air mass moves into the region. The rest of the week looks quite pleasant with plenty of sunshine each day and comfortable temperatures and humidity levels.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/CSSbPdFEmF8

7:00 AM | Hot today and Tuesday with a shower/storm threat

Paul Dorian

6-Day NYC Forecast

Today

Partly sunny, hot, humid, chance for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm, highs in the low 90's

Tonight

Chance for an evening shower or thunderstorm; otherwise, partly cloudy skies, mild, muggy, lows in the low-to-mid 70’s

Tuesday

Partly sunny, still pretty hot, humid, chance for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm, near 90 degrees

Tuesday Night

Chance for an evening shower or thunderstorm then becoming partly cloudy, turning cooler late with lows in the upper 60's by morning

Wednesday

Mainly sunny, comfortable, mid 80’s

Thursday

Mainly sunny, pleasant, low-to-mid 80’s

Friday

Mainly sunny, nice, low 80’s

Saturday

Mainly sunny, pleasant, low 80’s

Discussion

Hot air torched the I-95 corridor on Sunday and it’ll stay quite hot around here today and tomorrow with the chance for a shower or thunderstorm each afternoon and evening. A cool front pushes through by later tomorrow night and this will pave the way for a much more comfortable second half of the week.

7:00 AM | Another nice day to close out the work week...turns hot by Sunday afternoon...storms threaten on Saturday and Monday and some can be strong

Paul Dorian

6-Day NYC Forecast

Today

Mainly sunny, still quite comfortable, highs not far from 80 degrees

Tonight

Becoming mostly cloudy, mild, showers possible late, maybe even a thunderstorm, lows in the upper 60’s

Saturday

More clouds than sun, warm, more humid, showers and thunderstorms likely, some of the storms can be on the strong side, mid-to-upper 80’s

Saturday Night

Mostly cloudy, mild, muggy, chance for lingering evening showers and thunderstorms, low-to-mid 70's

Sunday

Hot and mainly sunny skies, humid, slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, low 90's

Monday

More clouds than sun, hot, humid, showers and thunderstorms likely, some of the storms can be on the strong side, near 90 degrees

Tuesday

Mainly sunny, quite warm, upper 80’s

Wednesday

Mainly sunny, quite warm, mid-to-upper 80’s

Discussion

After a nice day to end the work week, the comfortable weather will vanish quickly this weekend and temperatures on Sunday afternoon should reach the middle 90's. A warm frontal system will bring back the threat for showers and thunderstorms to our area later tonight and then again on Saturday - some of these storms can be on the strong side. By Sunday afternoon, following the passage of the warm front, hot air will come pouring into the I-95 corridor and temperatures will soar well into the 90's. The hot weather will continue into Monday, but a strong cool front will approach from the northwest giving us the shot at more showers and thunderstorms and some of those storms can be on the strong side. More comfortable air returns by the middle of next week following the passage of the cool frontal system.

7:00 AM | A very nice break in the action

Paul Dorian

6-Day NYC Forecast

Today

Sunny, comfortable, highs near 80 degrees

Tonight

Mostly clear skies, comfortable, lows in the lower 60’s

Friday

Mainly sunny, still nice, low 80’s

Friday Night

Becoming mostly cloudy, maybe a shower or two late, mid-to-upper 60’s

Saturday

Partly sunny, quite warm, more humid, chance of showers and thunderstorms, mid-to-upper 80’s

Sunday

Partly sunny, hot, humid, chance of showers and thunderstorms, near 90 degrees

Monday

More clouds than sun, hot, humid, showers and thunderstorms likely late in the day or at night, near 90 degrees

Tuesday

Partly sunny, very warm, upper 80’s

Discussion

A nice break in the action today and Friday in the Mid-Atlantic region as high pressure takes control with comfortable conditions for this time of year. Temperatures will be slightly cooler-than-normal for the next two days and humidity levels will be at unusually low levels for mid-July. Another frontal system will enter the picture this weekend and the result will be an increasing chance for showers and thunderstorms, but much of the time will be rain-free. In addition, temperatures should climb this weekend with 90+ degrees possible for highs on Sunday after a very warm day on Saturday. By Monday, another strong frontal system is likely to generate widespread showers and thunderstorms late in the day or at night and some of that rainfall can be on the heavy side.

7:00 AM | Threat continues today for more heavy rainfall and strong thunderstorms

Paul Dorian

6-Day NYC Forecast

Today

Mainly cloudy, not as warm, humid, showers and thunderstorms likely, some of the rain can be heavy at times, highs in the low 80’s

Tonight

Mostly cloudy skies during the evening hours with lingering showers and thunderstorms likely and some of the rain can be heavy, becoming partly cloudy late and more comfortable late, lows by morning in the low-to-mid 60’s

Thursday

Mainly sunny, pleasant, near 80 degrees

Thursday Night

Mostly clear skies, comfortable, low 60’s

Friday

Mainly sunny, nice, low 80’s

Saturday

Mainly sunny, quite warm, humid, chance of showers and thunderstorms at night, mid 80’s

Sunday

Partly sunny, quite warm, humid, chance of showers and thunderstorms, upper 80’s

Monday

Partly sunny, very warm, humid, chance of showers and thunderstorms, near 90 degrees

Discussion

A stalled out frontal system along the east coast will act as a pipeline for low pressure to ride along later today and this will enhance our chances for afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms and some of the rain can be heavy at times. Once this low pressure system grudgingly pulls away from the area, high pressure will build into the region and the result will be a couple of rather nice, comfortable days for this time of year. The weather will become more unsettled again over the weekend as another frontal system pushes towards the Mid-Atlantic.

7:00 AM | Threat for more heavy rainfall and thunderstorms both today and Wednesday

Paul Dorian

6-Day NYC Forecast

Today

Mainly cloudy, warm, humid, scattered showers and afternoon thunderstorms possible, some of the rain can be heavy at times, highs close to 80 degrees

Tonight

Mostly cloudy skies, mild, muggy, chance for additional showers and thunderstorms, some of the rain can be heavy at times, lows not far from 70 degrees

Wednesday

Mainly cloudy, warm, humid, showers likely and afternoon thunderstorms still possible, some of the rain can be heavy at times, highs in the low-to-mid 80’s

Wednesday Night

Mostly cloudy skies early with lingering showers and thunderstorms possible then becoming partly cloudy late, mild, lows toward morning in the mid 60's

Thursday

Mainly sunny, comfortable, near 80 degrees

Friday

Mainly sunny, still pleasant, low 80’s

Saturday

Mainly sunny, warm, humid, chance of showers and thunderstorms at night, mid 80’s

Sunday

Mostly sunny, warm, humid, chance of showers and thunderstorms, mid-to-upper 80’s

Discussion

A slow-moving warm front will advance northward today through the I-95 corridor and low pressure will push along the boundary zone acting to slow it down even further. By later tomorrow, a cold front will sag across the region and it’ll have enough push behind it to clear it out around here on Thursday as high pressure builds into the region. The combination of the two fronts will generate scattered showers and thunderstorms for the Mid-Atlantic region both today and Wednesday some of the rain will be on the heavy side. Nicer weather is in store for the I-95 corridor on Thursday and Friday as building high pressure system takes firm control of the overall weather pattern.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/Hn_S4dbChbY

7:00 AM | Another shot at strong thunderstorms and heavy rainfall Tuesday into Wednesday

Paul Dorian

6-Day NYC Forecast

Today

Mainly sunny, warm, more humid, highs in the mid 80’s

Tonight

Mostly cloudy skies, mild, muggy, chance for showers, lows near 70 degrees

Tuesday

Mainly cloudy, warm, humid, chance for showers and thunderstorms, low 80’s

Tuesday Night

Mostly cloudy skies, mild, muggy, chance for showers and thunderstorms, near 70 degrees

Wednesday

Mainly cloudy, warm, humid, chance for showers and thunderstorms, mid-to-upper 80’s

Thursday

Partly sunny, warm, humid, chance for showers, low 80’s

Friday

Mostly sunny, warm, low-to-mid 80’s

Saturday

Partly sunny, warm, humid, chance of showers and thunderstorms, mid 80’s

Discussion

After a relatively quiet weekend, a more humid and unsettled pattern will begin tonight and continue through mid-week. An area of low pressure will track along a stalled out frontal system in the Mid-Atlantic region over the next couple of days and this will give us the opportunity for more heavy rainfall and strong thunderstorms from Tuesday into Wednesday.

7:00 AM | Quieter weather for the next few days

Paul Dorian

6-Day NYC Forecast

Today

Mainly sunny, warm, less humid, highs in the mid 80’s

Tonight

Mainly clear skies, mild, lows in the upper 60’s

Saturday

Mainly sunny, warm, mid-to-upper 80’s

Saturday Night

Partly cloudy skies, mild, upper 60’s

Sunday

Mainly sunny, warm, upper 80’s

Monday

More clouds than sun, warm, humid, chance for showers and thunderstorms late or at night, mid 80’s

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy, warm, humid, chance of showers and thunderstorms, mid 80’s

Wednesday

Partly sunny, warm, humid, chance of showers and thunderstorms, mid 80’s

Discussion

Much quieter weather is in store for the Mid-Atlantic region over the next few days following our recent active weather pattern. A frontal system is now pushing off the east coast and high pressure will build into the area paving the way for warm, rain-free conditions through Sunday afternoon. The weather will turn unsettled again early next week with the chance for daily showers and thunderstorms.

1:50 PM | **Here we go again...severe thunderstorm threat for early tonight ; especially, near and north of the PA/MD border**

Paul Dorian

low level jet[Forecast map of low-level jet at 8pm this evening; map courtesy AccuWeather, Inc.]

Discussion

The atmosphere is quite juicy this afternoon and numerous thunderstorms are breaking out across western PA, western NY, and West Virginia and some of this activity will spill over into the immediate I-95 corridor region from DC-to-Philly-to-NYC later today and early tonight. As low clouds have eroded somewhat today, the atmosphere has destabilized rapidly and high dew points have contributed to the firing up of very impressive-looking thunderstorms. Some of these storms will likely reach strong-to-severe levels over the next few hours raising the possibility of heavy downpours, damaging wind gusts, hail, and even isolated tornadoes in the I-95 corridor. Of particular concern is the deep wind shear (increasing winds with altitude) in the region near and north of the PA/MD border which tends to promote longer and more intense thunderstorms, damaging wind gusts and even the formation of tornadoes. The wind forecast map for early tonight (above) shows an impressive low-level jet near and to the west of Route I-95 and this will contribute to the instability in the atmosphere.

Closer to the coastline, marine air may reduce the chances for severe weather as it remains a bit cooler compared to inland locations, but heavy rain is still a threat early tonight. The threat for severe weather will diminish late tonight and the next three days should be much quieter with primarily rain-free conditions. The timetable for the potential severe weather in the I-95 corridor has been pushed back a bit into the 5-10pm time period. Stay tuned.