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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: Other

1:30 PM | Update on the Colorado wildfire situation

Paul Dorian

Discussion

There is a slight improvement today across Colorado in the overall weather situation with slightly calmer winds and lower temperatures compared to recent days. Multiple wildfires, however, continue to rage and probably will not get fully contained for many weeks to come. One such blaze, called the “Waldo Canyon Fire”, continues to capture attention as it is close to such landmarks as Pikes Peak and the Air Force Academy, and to the city of Colorado Springs which is the state’s second largest. Flames came very close to the Air Force Academy’s main campus and some of the residents had to be evacuated. The Flying W Ranch, a popular tourist attraction in Colorado Springs, burned to the ground earlier this week. The “High Park Fire” began weeks ago just to the west of Fort Collins is now getting somewhat under control (~65%) thanks in part to some spotty rain that fell in the area on Wednesday. However, that particular fire has already become the most destructive in state history with more than 87,000 acres burned in recent weeks. Meanwhile, a third fire called “Flagstaff Fire” broke out near Boulder in the past few days, but some localized rainfall helped to at least temporarily slow down its possible expansion. The Boulder fire happens to be very close to one of the largest complexes in the country to house meteorologists, the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR).

How hot has it been? Denver tied its all-time high temperature record a few days ago at 105 degrees in the midst of a record-tying 5 consecutive days of triple digit heat. Colorado Springs also set an all-time record high of 101 degrees in the midst of 5 straight days with record-tying or record-breaking heat. Finally, in addition to the current combination of heat and humidity, one of the most important reasons that we are experiencing a very active wildfire season in Colorado is the fact that there was the lack of any deep snowpack during last winter.

7:00 AM | Hot weather pattern continues as does the widespread fire danger

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Mostly sunny, hot, chance for a shower or a thunderstorm, mid-to-upper 90’s

Tonight

Chance for an evening shower or thunderstorm; otherwise, partly cloudy skies, mild, mid 60’s

Friday

Mostly sunny, hot, chance for a thunderstorm, mid 90’s

Friday Night

Chance for an evening thunderstorm; otherwise, partly cloudy, mild, mid 60’s

Saturday

Mostly sunny, hot, chance for a thunderstorm, low-to-mid 90’s

Sunday

Mostly sunny, hot, mid 90’s

Monday

Mostly sunny, hot, low-to-mid 90’s

Tuesday

Mostly sunny, not as hot, upper 80’s

Discussion

A continuation of the hot weather pattern will cause more high temperature readings in the 90’s over the next few days. For the 1st time in awhile, there is some possible relief in sight to this excessive heat as a cold front may push through the region early next week reducing our high temperatures to the upper 80’s by Tuesday or so.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/uaV3yjepi8A

7:00 AM | Mainly sunny afternoons with highs in the low 70's

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Becoming mostly sunny, breezy, highs in the low 70’s

Tonight

Becoming partly cloudy, breezy, lows near 60

Friday

Becoming mainly sunny, light breeze, low 70’s

Friday Night

Partly cloudy, cool, near 60

Saturday

Becoming mostly sunny, pleasant, near 70

Sunday

Fog possible early then mostly sunny skies, near 70

Monday

Fog possible early then mostly sunny skies, upper 60’s

Tuesday

Fog possible early then mostly sunny skies, upper 60’s

Discussion

An upper level trough will approach the coast late in the weekend and this could begin a slight cooling trend for the region early next week. The 6-10 day outlook continues to stick with a slightly cooler-than-normal temperature pattern along the west coast while much of the rest of the country remains above normal. Highs may be confined once again to the upper 60’s late in the weekend and early next week after reaching 70 degrees to close out the work week.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/uaV3yjepi8A

7:00 AM | Still hot today even though we may not reach 100 degrees; shower and thunderstorm threat increases today

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Partly sunny, hot, breezy, chance for a few showers and thunderstorms, mid 90’s

Tonight

Chance for an evening shower or thunderstorm; otherwise, partly cloudy skies, mild, mid 60’s

Thursday

Mostly sunny, hot, chance for a thunderstorm, mid 90’s

Thursday Night

Chance for an evening thunderstorm; otherwise, partly cloudy, mild, mid 60’s

Friday

Mostly sunny, hot, chance for a thunderstorm, low-to-mid 90’s

Saturday

Partly sunny, hot, low-to-mid 90’s

Sunday

Mostly sunny, hot, low-to-mid 90’s

Monday

Mostly sunny, hot, low-to-mid 90’s

Discussion

Triple-digit temperatures gripped the region again on Tuesday and, while we may not hit 100 degrees today, the hot weather pattern will continue. In fact, Tuesday was the 5th day in a row that Denver officially reached 100 degrees which ties the consecutive streak record set in 2005. A frontal boundary will move through the Denver region on Wednesday and enough moisture will advect into the region from our southwest to give us an enhanced chance at some shower and thunderstorm activity compared to recent days. The threat for a thunderstorm will continue on Thursday and Friday as well, but fire danger will persist due to overall very dry conditions.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/u4I-BXjB9zA

7:00 AM | Persistent longer-term pattern continues along west coast with normal to slightly below normal temperatures

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Mostly sunny, breezy, highs in the low 70’s

Tonight

Becoming partly cloudy, breezy, lows near 60

Thursday

Becoming mainly sunny, light breeze, low 70's

Thursday Night

Partly cloudy early, mostly cloudy late with some patchy fog, near 60

Friday

Becoming mostly sunny, pleasant, low 70's

Saturday

Fog possible early then mostly sunny skies, near 70

Sunday

Fog possible early then mostly sunny skies, upper 60’s

Monday

Fog possible early then mostly sunny skies, upper 60’s

Discussion

An upper level trough will approach the coast late in the weekend and this could begin a slight cooling trend for the region early next week. The 6-10 day outlook continues to stick with a slightly cooler-than-normal temperature pattern along the west coast while much of the rest of the country remains above normal. Highs may be confined once again to the mid-to-upper 60’s late in the weekend and early next week after the low 70's are experienced during the next few days.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/u4I-BXjB9zA

7:00 AM | Afternoon sunshine and highs near 70 degrees - can't complain!

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Becoming mostly sunny, breezy, highs near 70 degrees

Tonight

Becoming mostly cloudy with possible fog late, lows near 60

Wednesday

Fog possible early then becoming mainly sunny, low 70's

Wednesday Night

Partly cloudy early, mostly cloudy late with some patchy fog, near 60

Thursday

Fog possible early then mostly sunny skies, near 70

Friday

Fog possible early then mostly sunny skies, near 70

Saturday

Fog possible early then mostly sunny skies, near 70

Sunday

Fog possible early then mostly sunny skies, near 70

Discussion

High pressure that has been covering the middle part of the country in recent days will expand to the west over the next few days. This will tend to prevent marine layer clouds from hanging around past the early morning hours and will help to boost afternoon temperatures to around 70 degrees in the LA metro region. An upper level trough could approach the west coast later this weekend and, as a result, we could cool off slightly early next week. Elsewhere, Tropical Storm Debby will meander around the northeastern Gulf of Mexico for the next couple of days continuing to dump heavy rainfall on the Gulf coastal region of Florida where some 20 inches has already been measured in spots. Debby will head northeastward later this week crossing Florida and moving to a position just off of the Southeast US coast. The other big weather story nationwide has been the extreme heat across the Rockies and Central Plains. Yesterday, for example, Denver, Colorado tied its all-time high temperature record of 105 degrees which had been matched only twice in its history (2005, 1878) since record-keeping began there in 1872. This extreme heat will expand to the South and Mid-Atlantic by late this week and weekend.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/hr7lH51Pzp0

7:00 AM | All-time record high was matched yesterday in Denver and triple-digit heat continues today; dangerous fire conditions persist

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Mostly sunny, hot, breezy, chance for an afternoon thunderstorm, highs between 100 and 105

Tonight

Chance for an evening thunderstorm; otherwise, partly cloudy skies, mild, upper 60’s

Wednesday

Partly sunny, hot, but not quite as extreme, chance for a thunderstorm, low-to-mid 90’s

Wednesday Night

Chance for an evening thunderstorm; otherwise, partly cloudy, mild, mid 60’s

Thursday

Mostly sunny, hot, chance for a thunderstorm at night, mid 90’s

Friday

Partly sunny, hot, slight chance for a shower or a thunderstorm, mid 90’s

Saturday

Mostly sunny, hot, low-to-mid 90’s

Sunday

Mostly sunny, hot, low-to-mid 90’s

Discussion

The extreme heat remains on for today from the Rockies to the Plains with cities like Denver, Dallas and Oklahoma City likely reaching triple digits once again. Denver matched its all-time high temperature record yesterday at 105 degrees which had been set twice before in 2005 and 1878. The record for consecutive days of 100-degree temperatures in Denver is five set in 1985 and again in 2005. In the Denver metro region, and in much of Colorado, the fire danger will continue with the combination of excessive heat, low humidity and breezy conditions with little to no rainfall. A new area of concern has developed in terms of wildfire just to the west of Colorado Springs to go along with the continuing wildfire problem just to the west of Fort Collins. The entire town of Manitou Springs was evacuated on Sunday and the Garden of the Gods park has been closed. High pressure at all levels of the atmosphere is causing this heat wave in the center part of the nation and the pattern may change slightly at the end of the week to perhaps reduce the extreme conditions.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/hr7lH51Pzp0

7:00 AM | Not a bad way to start the new week

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Becoming mostly sunny, breezy, highs near 70 degrees

Tonight

Becoming mostly cloudy with possible fog late, lows near 60

Tuesday

Fog possible early then becoming mostly sunny, breezy, near 70

Tuesday Night

Partly cloudy early, mostly cloudy late with some patchy fog, near 60

Wednesday

Fog possible early then mostly sunny skies, near 70

Thursday

Fog possible early then mostly sunny skies, upper 60’s

Friday

Fog possible early then mostly sunny skies, upper 60’s

Saturday

Fog possible early then mostly sunny skies, upper 60’s

Discussion

The overall weather pattern continues with normal-to-below normal temperatures along the west coast of the US with all of the excessive heat well to the east of the area. That pattern will likely continue for the next several days with a persistent onshore flow along the west coast and daily high temperatures generally confined to the mid-to-upper 60’s in the Los Angeles metro region. Late nights will find low temperatures close to the 60 degree mark during this time period along with low clouds, and possible fog; especially, near coastal regions. Some warming is possible during the latter part of next week. Elsewhere, the tropical system that we have been monitoring for the last several days over the Gulf of Mexico, could strengthen into a hurricane (named Debby) shortly and it will continue to pound the central and eastern Gulf with heavy rain over the next couple of days.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/OJ6e6KGa3IQ

7:00 AM | Very hot weather pattern continues through the week; critical fire danger continues

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Mostly sunny, very hot, breezy, near 100 degrees for highs

Tonight

Partly cloudy, mild, breezy, mid 60’s

Tuesday

Mostly sunny, hot, upper 90’s

Tuesday Night

Partly cloudy, mild, low-to-mid 60’s

Wednesday

Mostly sunny, hot, chance for a thunderstorm at night, mid-to-upper 90’s

Thursday

Partly sunny, hot, slight chance for a shower or a thunderstorm, mid 90’s

Friday

Mostly sunny, hot, chance for a thunderstorm, low-to-mid 90’s

Saturday

Mostly sunny, hot, low 90's

Discussion

Normal high temperatures are right around 85 degrees for this late June date here in the Denver metro region and we’ll stay way above that for the foreseeable future. An upper level ridge will stay in control of the weather pattern through the week in the Colorado Rockies region and the critical fire danger that we have endured recently will continue. This pattern will help to generate temperatures in the high 90’s later today along with mostly sunny and windy conditions and the hot weather will last right into the upcoming weekend. There is a chance for a shower or thunderstorm as we approach the mid-week time period, but much of the time will be rain-free. Elsewhere, the tropical system (Debby) that we have been monitoring for the last several days over the Gulf of Mexico will continue to pound the Florida Gulf coastal region with tremendous heavy rainfall over the next couple of days.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/OJ6e6KGa3IQ

7:00 AM | Back to the 90's with no break in sight

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Mostly sunny, becoming hot, breezy, mid 90’s

Tonight

Partly cloudy, mild, low 60’s

Saturday

Mostly sunny, hot, mid-to-upper 90’s

Saturday Night

Mostly clear, mild, low-to-mid 60’s

Sunday

Mostly sunny, hot, mid-to-upper 90’s

Monday

Partly sunny, hot, slight chance for a shower or a thunderstorm, mid 90’s

Tuesday

Partly sunny, hot, slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm, low-to-mid 90’s

Wednesday

Partly sunny, very warm, chance for a shower or thunderstorm, low 90’s

Discussion

Temperatures returned to the 80’s yesterday following a nice one-day break, but today they will head back to the 90’s and that trend will continue right into early next week. In fact, the longer-range outlook of 6-10 days keeps the hot weather in the middle part of the country from the Rockies to the central Plains while both coasts enjoy cooler-than-normal temperatures. Opportunities for precipitation will continue to be limited over the next several days as this region continues to be cut off from any significant moisture source.