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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: Other

12:55 PM | "Sharknado" and some interesting related weather information

Paul Dorian

Discussion

We are now into “shark week” on the Discovery Channel and it wasn’t too long ago that the disaster film “Sharknado” aired on the Syfy channel. “Sharknado” is a disaster film about a freak hurricane that hits Los Angeles and causes sharks to be scooped up by waterspouts and deposits them in the city. It first aired on July 11th and quickly became a social media phenomenon. The film obviously doesn’t hold water in many weather-related areas, but there is some interesting, and perhaps somewhat surprising, information on the general subject matter.

To begin with, the premise of the movie is that a huge and powerful hurricane hits Los Angeles (Category 3 storm named David in the movie). While this has never happened in recorded history in the city of Los Angeles, it is not true to say that southern California has never been hit by a hurricane. In fact, way back in October of 1858, a Category 1 hurricane brought 80 mph winds to San Diego. [For a detailed paper on this storm go to this NOAA web site: http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Landsea/chenowethlandsea.pdf]. In more recent times, a 1939 tropical storm brought 52 mph winds to the coast south of Los Angeles, and caused $2 million in property damage--mostly to shipping, shore structures, power and communication lines, and crops. Forty-five lives were lost at sea during the storm. Hurricane Linda of 1997, which occurred during a strong El Niño event that significantly warmed the ocean waters along the Mexican Pacific coast, was forecast by the National Hurricane Center for a couple of advisories to make landfall near San Diego as a minimal hurricane or strong tropical storm. Category 5 Linda was the strongest hurricane ever observed in the Eastern Pacific Ocean, but weakened over cold water and turned out to sea without affecting Southern California. A Category 3 or stronger storm affecting Southern California, as depicted in "Sharknado", is pretty much impossible in the current climate, though. The California Current that flows southwards along the coast of California and Baja Mexico features waters temperatures that are too cold to support a major hurricane.

A second theme of the movie is that waterspouts swept up sharks and then deposited them in the city of Los Angeles. In fact, there have been numerous reports of waterspouts or tornadoes picking up fish out of the sea or out of lakes and creating a "rain of fish." For example, hundreds of perch bombarded residents of the small Australian outback town of Lajamanu in 2010. In the U.S., thousands of small fish, frogs and crayfish fell from the sky during a rainstorm at Magnolia Terminal near Thomasville, Alabama, on the morning of June 28, 1957. Many of the fish were alive and were placed in ponds and swimming pools. An EF2 tornado fifteen miles to the south spawned by the outer bands of Hurricane Audrey was likely responsible for getting the creatures airborne. William Corliss' intriguing book, "Handbook of Unusual Natural Phenomena", has an entire chapter devoted to unusual creatures and objects that have fallen from the sky. He relates that in 1946, a scientist at the American Museum of Natural History named E. W. Gudger documented 78 reliable reports of fish falls from all over the world. The largest fish was a large-mouthed bass 9 1/4 inches long, and the heaviest was a six pound fish that fell in India. There were no reports, however, of large, 2000-pound great white sharks, as depicted by "Sharknado".

By the way, Syfy was so pleased with the reaction to its original TV movie and how Twitter users devoured it, the network confirmed recently that there will be a "Sharknado 2." This time the fictional flying sharks will be attacking the Big Apple in a film set to premiere in 2014.

7:00 AM | Onshore flow continues for a few more days

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Patchy fog early then becoming mostly sunny, breezy, seasonably cool, highs in the low 70’s along coastal locations

Tonight

Mostly cloudy, breezy, mild, some fog and drizzle possible late, lows in the low 60’s

Wednesday

Patchy fog and drizzle early then becoming mostly sunny, seasonably cool, low 70’s

Wednesday Night

Mostly cloudy, mild, some fog and drizzle late, low-to-mid 60’s

Thursday

Patchy fog and drizzle early then becoming mostly sunny, cool, upper 60’s

Friday

Patchy fog early then becoming mostly sunny, cool, near 70

Saturday

Patchy fog early then becoming mostly sunny, cool, near 70

Sunday

Patchy fog early then becoming mostly sunny, seasonably cool, low 70’s

Discussion

A persistent low pressure system to our north will continue to produce onshore flow around here for the next few days. Late night and early morning low clouds, fog and possibly some drizzle will continue as will the seasonal-to-slightly below normal temperatures along coastal locations.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/TfbFbKg8bDg

7:00 AM | Monsoonal moisture and a weak frontal system combine to bring us the threat for some heavy rain tonight and Wednesday

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Partly sunny, very warm, scattered PM showers and thunderstorms, highs near 90 degrees

Tonight

Mostly cloudy, mild, showers and thunderstorms likely and some of the rain can be heavy, lows near 60 degrees

Wednesday

Mostly cloudy, much cooler, showers and thunderstorms likely and some of the rain can be heavy, mid 70's

Wednesday Night

Mostly cloudy, cool, chance for showers and thunderstorms, upper 50’s

Thursday

Partly sunny, cool, chance for showers and thunderstorms, near 80

Friday

Partly sunny, still cool, slight chance for showers and thunderstorms, low 80’s

Saturday

Partly sunny, warm, chance for showers and thunderstorms, low-to-mid 80’s

Sunday

Partly sunny, warm, chance for showers and thunderstorms, low-to-mid 80’s

Discussion

The flow of air in the upper atmosphere will become more west-northwest over the next couple of days and subtropical moisture and a weak frontal system will affect the region. Today's high temperatures will approach the 90 degree mark, but will be noticeably cooler on Wednesday after the passage of a weak frontal system. That front, combined with subtropical moisture, will enhance our chances for showers and thunderstorms tonight and tomorrow and some of the rain can be heavy at times.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/TfbFbKg8bDg

7:00 AM | Onshore flow still rules along coastal sections

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Patchy fog early then becoming mostly sunny, breezy, seasonably cool, highs in the low 70’s along coastal locations

Tonight

Mostly cloudy, breezy, mild, some fog possible late, lows in the mid 60’s

Tuesday

Patchy fog early then becoming mostly sunny, seasonably cool, low 70’s

Tuesday Night

Mostly cloudy, mild, some fog and drizzle late, low-to-mid 60’s

Wednesday

Patchy fog and drizzle early then becoming mostly sunny, cool, near 70

Thursday

Patchy fog early then becoming mostly sunny, cool, near 70

Friday

Patchy fog early then becoming mostly sunny, seasonably cool, low 70’s

Saturday

Patchy fog early then becoming mostly sunny, seasonably cool, low 70’s

Discussion

A persistent low pressure system to our north will continue to produce onshore flow around here for the next several days. Late night and early morning low clouds and fog will continue as will the seasonal-to-slightly below normal temperatures along coastal locations.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/NOUV1OOicBM

7:00 AM | Scattered PM showers and thunderstorms likely for much of the week and some of the rain can be heavy

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Partly sunny, warm, scattered showers and thunderstorms, highs in the mid-to-upper 80's

Tonight

Mostly cloudy, mild, chance for showers and thunderstorms, lows near 60 degrees

Tuesday

Partly sunny, warm, scattered showers and thunderstorms, upper 80’s

Tuesday Night

Mostly cloudy, cool, maybe a shower or thunderstorm, near 60

Wednesday

Mostly cloudy, not as warm, showers and thunderstorms likely, near 80

Thursday

Partly sunny, still cool, slight chance for showers and thunderstorms, low 80’s

Friday

Partly sunny, warm, showers and thunderstorms likely, low 80’s

Saturday

Partly sunny, warm, chance for showers and thunderstorms, low 80’s

Discussion

The threat for showers and thunderstorms will continue through much of the week as enough subtropical moisture will reach the southern Rockies to keep unsettled weather conditions. Some of the storms that form can produce heavy rainfall and gusty winds to 40 mph or so with the highest likelihood for those strong storms to occur coming later today, Wednesday and again late in the week.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/NOUV1OOicBM

7:00 AM | Onshore flow keeps us cool for days to come

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Patchy fog early then becoming mostly sunny, breezy, cool, highs near 70 degrees along coastal locations

Tonight

Mostly cloudy, breezy, mild, some fog possible late, lows in the low 60’s

Saturday

Patchy fog early then becoming mostly sunny, cool, near 70

Saturday Night

Mostly cloudy, mild, some fog late, low 60’s

Sunday

Patchy fog early then becoming mostly sunny, cool, near 70

Monday

Patchy fog early then becoming mostly sunny, cool, near 70

Tuesday

Patchy fog early then becoming mostly sunny, seasonably cool, low 70’s

Wednesday

Patchy fog early then becoming mostly sunny, seasonably cool, low 70’s

Discussion

A persistent low pressure system to our north will produce onshore flow around here for the next several days. Late night and early morning low clouds and fog will continue as will the below normal temperatures along coastal locations.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/whQWk_l0Du0

7:00 AM | Unsettled weather this weekend and early next week

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Mostly sunny, hot, highs in the low 90’s

Tonight

Mostly cloudy, mild, chance for showers and thunderstorms, lows near 60 degrees

Saturday

Partly sunny, cooler, scattered showers and thunderstorms, low 80’s

Saturday Night

Mostly cloudy, cool, maybe a shower or thunderstorm, upper 50’s

Sunday

Partly sunny, warmer, chance for showers and thunderstorms, mid-to-upper 80’s

Monday

Partly sunny, warm, slight chance for showers and thunderstorms, upper 80’s

Tuesday

Partly sunny, warm, chance for showers and thunderstorms, mid-to-upper 80’s

Wednesday

Mostly sunny, cooler, chance for showers and thunderstorms, near 80

Discussion

The threat for showers and thunderstorms will resume this weekend and continue right through the early part of next week as a combination of frontal systems and monsoonal moisture air keeps us unsettled across the region. High temperatures today will climb to just above 90 degrees, but it should be noticeably cooler tomorrow following a weak frontal system that passes through the region in the overnight hours.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/whQWk_l0Du0

12:20 PM | The month of July was cooler-than-normal on a nationwide basis; August also looks cool for most

Paul Dorian

Discussion

The month of July ended on a cool note throughout a good part of the country with 1456 cold temperature records set nationwide in the past week compared to only 130 warm temperature records. In fact, in dramatic contrast with last summer, the nation as a whole ended up cooler-than-normal for July by 0.47 degrees Celsius (source NCEP CFSv2) despite the excessive heat in the Northeast US during an 8-day stretch from the 14th to the 21st. The two main areas across the country that ended July with warmer-than-normal temperatures included the Northeast and the western US. In the Mid-Atlantic region, warmer-than-normal temperatures for July increased as one headed up I-95 with DC at +1.4 degrees, Philly +2.5 degrees, and New York City +3.3 degrees.

As far as August is concerned, it appears that the recent pattern of cooler-than-normal weather across the Central Plains, Midwest, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast will continue. The latest NCEP CFSv2 forecast map of temperature anomalies for August has the vast majority of the nation cooler-than-normal with the only exceptions being parts of the Pacific Northwest and the Gulf coastal region in the south-central part of the country.

7:00 AM | Stays cool along coastal regions for the next several days

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Patchy fog early then becoming mostly sunny, breezy, cool, highs near 70 degrees along coastal locations

Tonight

Mostly cloudy, breezy, mild, some fog possible late, lows in the low 60’s

Friday

Patchy fog early then becoming mostly sunny, cool, near 70

Friday Night

Mostly cloudy, mild, some fog late, low 60’s

Saturday

Patchy fog early then becoming mostly sunny, cool, near 70

Sunday

Patchy fog early then becoming mostly sunny, cool, near 70

Monday

Patchy fog early then becoming mostly sunny, seasonably cool, low 70’s

Tuesday

Patchy fog early then becoming mostly sunny, seasonably cool, low 70’s

Discussion

An upper level low to our northwest will combine with an upper level high centered over the Four Corners region to produce persistent on shore flow around here through the weekend. This pattern will keep coastal regions on the cool side of normal for this time of year into early next week. Late night and early morning low clouds and fog will persist in this pattern for the foreseeable future.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/iV5xAZSn55I

7:00 AM | Threat for showers and thunderstorms for the next several days in the southern Rockies as subtropical moisture returns to the region

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Mostly sunny, hot, chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms, highs near 90 degrees

Tonight

Mostly cloudy, mild, chance for showers and thunderstorms, lows in the lower 60’s

Friday

Partly sunny, hot, chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms, low 90’s

Friday Night

Partly cloudy, mild, maybe a shower or thunderstorm, low 60’s

Saturday

Partly sunny, very warm, chance for showers and thunderstorms, mid-to-upper 80’s

Sunday

Mostly sunny, very warm, slight chance for showers and thunderstorms, upper 80’s

Monday

Partly sunny, warm, slight chance for showers and thunderstorms, mid-to-upper 80’s

Tuesday

Mostly sunny, warm, slight chance for showers and thunderstorms, mid-to-upper 80’s

Discussion

The center of a high pressure ridge will shift to the east today and this may allow more subtropical moisture to move into the region from our southwest. As a result, the threat for showers and thunderstorms will resume and should continue right through the early part of next week. The best chance for showers and thunderstorms will be during the afternoon and evening hours and the most likely location will be in the mountains. High temperatures for the next several days will be within a few degrees of 90 which is normal for this time of year in Denver.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/iV5xAZSn55I