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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: Other

7:00 AM | Upper level high pressure continues to dominate the weather picture; very warm conditions to continue in the southern Rockies for the next few days

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Mostly sunny, very warm, highs in the low 90’s

Tonight

Partly cloudy, mild, lows by morning in the low-to-mid 60’s

Friday

Mostly sunny, very warm, low-to-mid 90’s

Friday Night

Partly cloudy, mild, mid 60’s

Saturday

Mostly sunny, very warm, low 90’s

Sunday

Partly sunny, very warm, slight chance for showers and thunderstorms, near 90

Monday

Mostly sunny, very warm, slight chance for showers and thunderstorms, near 90

Tuesday

Mostly sunny, very warm, slight chance for showers and thunderstorms, upper 80’s

Discussion

A strong and widespread upper level high pressure system remains centered over the mid-section of the country and it will keep the southern Rockies very warm over the next several days with only a slight chance for isolated showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures should climb or slightly surpass the 90 degree mark in the Denver metro region right into the weekend which is above normal for this time of year (normal high in Denver is now 85 degrees).

7:00 AM | Nice day today with plenty of sunshine and pleasant conditions

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Mostly sunny, warm, highs in the mid 70’s along coastal locations

Tonight

Partly cloudy, mild, lows by morning in the mid 60’s

Thursday

Partly sunny, warm, mid 70’s

Thursday Night

Partly cloudy, mild, mid 60’s

Friday

Mostly sunny, warm, mid-to-upper 70’s

Saturday

Mostly sunny, warm, mid 70’s

Sunday

Mostly sunny, mild, mid 70's

Monday

Mainly sunny, mild, mid 70's

Discussion

Today looks to be quite nice with plenty of sunshine around the region and rather pleasant temperatures. The next few days look to be slightly above normal for this time of year along coastal locations with high temperatures generally rising to the middle 70's.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/Wt_meEjg8sM

7:00 AM | 90 degrees likely through the week as upper level high pressure dominates

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Mostly sunny, very warm, highs in the low 90’s

Tonight

Partly cloudy, mild, lows by morning in the low-to-mid 60’s

Thursday

Mostly sunny, very warm, low 90’s

Thursday Night

Partly cloudy, mild, low-to-mid 60’s

Friday

Mostly sunny, very warm, low 90’s

Saturday

Mostly sunny, very warm, near 90

Sunday

Mostly sunny, very warm, slight chance for showers and thunderstorms, near 90

Monday

Mostly sunny, very warm, slight chance for showers and thunderstorms, upper 80’s

Discussion

A strong and widespread upper level high pressure system will be centered over the mid-section of the country right through the week and it will keep the southern Rockies very warm with only isolated showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures should climb or slightly surpass the 90 degree mark in the Denver metro region through the week with no sign of a possible cool down until possibly early next week when an upper level trough reaches the Pacific Northwest.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/Wt_meEjg8sM

3:00 PM | The Carrington Event of 1859 - a solar superstorm

Paul Dorian

Discussion

It was this time of year 154 years ago when the solar superstorm, now known as the Carrington Event, took place during solar cycle 10. The event has been named for the British astronomer, Richard Carrington, as he observed from his own private observatory the largest solar flare during this event which caused a major coronal mass ejection (CME) to travel directly toward Earth. The 33-year-old astronomer - widely acknowledged at the time to be England’s best - also recorded in detailed fashion the appearance of the sunspot regions that he saw at the time.

From August 28, 1859 to September 2, 1859 numerous sunspots and solar flares were observed on the sun and auroras were being observed in different parts of the world. Just before noon on September 1st, Richard Carrington was using his telescope to project an 11-inch wide image of the sun on a screen and he carefully drew the sunspots that he saw. Suddenly, two brilliant beads of blinding white light appeared over the sunspots and he realized that he was witnessing something unprecedented. He left for about one minute to find another witness and found upon their return that much had already subsided.

Just before dawn the next day, skies all over Earth erupted in red, green and purple auroras - even in tropical locations like Cuba, the Bahamas and Hawaii. The massive solar flare caused a major CME that reached the Earth some 17.6 hours later. Normally such a journey takes 3 or 4 days, but an earlier CME actually cleared the way of the ambient solar plasma for the second blast to move so quickly. The auroras were so bright over the Rocky Mountains that their glow awoke gold miners who began preparing breakfast because they thought it was morning. People in the northeastern US could read a newspaper by the aurora’s light. Telegraph systems all over Europe and North America went haywire and, in some cases, telegraph operators were literally shocked as sparks were flying and telegraph paper was often set on fire. Some systems continued to work despite being disconnected from their power supplies as aurora-induced electric currents still allowed messages to be transmitted.

Now we know that solar flares happen frequently, especially during solar sunspot maximums, but in those days there were no X-ray satellites or radio telescopes and no one knew flares existed until that September morning. “It is rare that one can actually see the brightening of the solar surface which takes a lot of energy to heat up the surface of the sun” says a modern day NASA astronomer. “In the 160-year record of geomagnetic storms, the Carrington event is the biggest.” In fact, going back farther in time by examining Arctic ice (energetic particles leave nitrates in ice cores), it is estimated that this event may have been the biggest in 500 years and nearly twice as big as the runner-up.

In today’s world, electronic technologies have become embedded into everyday life and are, of course, quite vulnerable to solar activity. Power lines, long-distance telephone cables, radar, cell phones, GPS, satellites – all could be significantly affected by an event like this one. The good news is that observations of the sun are a constant in today’s world with a fleet of spacecraft in position to monitor the sun and gather data on solar flares. The bad news is that the Carrington Event occurred during a weak solar cycle (10) which actually resembles rather closely our current solar cycle (24) so we always have to stay on guard for a potential powerful solar storm - even during times of weak solar cycles.

solar_flare

Above: A modern solar flare recorded Dec. 5, 2006, by the X-ray Imager onboard NOAA's GOES-13 satellite. This flare was so intense it actually damaged the instrument that took the picture. Researchers believe Carrington's flare was much more energetic than this one.

7:00 AM | Tropical moisture departs and the big weather story going forward will be the above normal temperature pattern

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Lots of clouds this morning then becoming mostly sunny, warm, highs near 80 degrees along coastal locations and even higher inland

Tonight

Partly cloudy, mild, lows by morning in the mid-to-upper 60’s

Wednesday

Becoming mainly sunny, mild, mid 70’s

Wednesday Night

Partly cloudy, mild, mid 60’s

Thursday

Mostly sunny, warm, mid-to-upper 70’s

Friday

Mostly sunny, warm, upper 70’s

Saturday

Mostly sunny, warm, mid-to-upper 70’s

Sunday

Mainly sunny, warm, mid-to-upper 70’s

Discussion

Moisture from the remains of Tropical Storm Ivo will depart today and skies should become mostly sunny this afternoon. Temperatures will climb to near 80 degrees along coastal locations this afternoon with the increasing amounts of sunshine. In fact, temperatures will likely hold at above level readings for the remainder of the week as the persistent onshore flow that we’ve experienced in recent days has been temporarily cutoff in the region.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/OI27nl-J1KU

7:00 AM | The last week of August to stay well above normal across the southern Rockies

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Mostly sunny, very warm, chance for isolated showers and thunderstorms, highs in the low 90’s

Tonight

Partly cloudy, mild, slight chance for showers and thunderstorms, lows by morning in the low-to-mid 60’s

Wednesday

Mostly sunny, very warm, low 90’s

Wednesday Night

Partly cloudy, mild, low-to-mid 60’s

Thursday

Mostly sunny, very warm, low 90’s

Friday

Mostly sunny, very warm, near 90

Saturday

Mostly sunny, very warm, slight chance for showers and thunderstorms, near 90

Sunday

Mostly sunny, very warm, slight chance for showers and thunderstorms, upper 80’s

Discussion

A strong and widespread upper level high pressure system will be centered over the mid-section of the country right through the week and it will keep the southern Rockies very warm with only isolated showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures should climb or slightly surpass the 90 degree mark in the Denver metro region right through the week with just a chance for a slight cool down early next week as an upper level trough reaches the Pacific Northwest.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/OI27nl-J1KU

2:55 PM | An update on the Yosemite National Park wildfire

Paul Dorian

Yosemite

Discussion

While the number of wildfires on a nationwide basis has been way down this year near a record low, the one raging right now threatening Yosemite National Park in California is quite intense and still growing. This northern California wildfire called “The Rim Fire” has now devoured more than 149,000 acres which is about the size of the city of Chicago and, as of this morning, it is only about 15% contained. It has been growing eastward in recent hours and is close to a key part of the San Francisco water supply: the Hetch Hetchy Reservoir, which lies within Yosemite National Park. Ash from the fire has been falling on the reservoir, but so far hasn’t sunk far enough into the lake to reach the intake pumps. If ash eventually causes turbidity, the city of San Francisco will begin filtering supplies. San Francisco gets 85% of its water from Hetch Hetchy as well as power for many municipal buildings and the international airport. In addition to the water supply, the fire also threatens the area’s hydroelectric generators which provide much of San Francisco’s electricity. Because of the approaching flames officials have shut down the generators, and the city – more than 120 miles to the west – is temporarily getting power from elsewhere.

As far as Yosemite National Park is concerned, while the “Rim Fire” has consumed at least 12,000 acres in the northwest section of the park, it has had little or no direct impact on Yosemite Valley, a popular spot for tourists and home to many of the famous cliffs and waterfalls in the park. The fire does, however, pose a threat to the giant sequoias inside Yosemite National Park. In particular, the safety of two groves, Tuolumne Grove and the Merced Grove, are of particular concern. The massive trees in these areas are some of the largest living things on Earth and are believed to be more than 2,000 years old in some cases. Sequoia trees are naturally fire resistant due to their thick bark - must be in order to survive this long. Crews have used sprinklers and are lighting fires to clear brush as a protective measure, though the fire is still several miles from the massive trees. The vast majority of the national park remains open at this time.

7:00 AM | Very warm weather begins the new week with highs surpassing the 90 degree mark

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Mostly sunny, very warm, cannot rule out a shower or thunderstorm, highs in the low 90's

Tonight

Partly cloudy, mild, slight chance for showers and thunderstorms, lows by morning in the low-to-mid 60’s

Tuesday

Mostly sunny, very warm, slight chance for showers and thunderstorms, near 90

Tuesday Night

Partly cloudy, mild, low-to-mid 60’s

Wednesday

Mostly sunny, very warm, near 90

Thursday

Mostly sunny, very warm, near 90

Friday

Mostly sunny, very warm, near 90

Saturday

Mostly sunny, very warm, slight chance for showers and thunderstorms, near 90

Discussion

A strong and widespread upper level high pressure system will be centered over the southern Rockies and southern Plains for much of the week and this will promote very warm conditions around here with plenty of sunshine each day and highs near or slightly above 90 degrees.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/dzRGTI-e8mc

7:00 AM | Tropical moisture reaches southern California today; warmer conditions for much of the week

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Lots of clouds this morning some afternoon clearing, warm, highs in the upper 70’s along coastal sections

Tonight

Mostly cloudy, mild, chance for showers and thunderstorms, lows by morning in the upper 60’s

Tuesday

Chance for morning showers and thunderstorms then becoming mainly sunny, warm, upper 70’s

Tuesday Night

Partly cloudy, mild, mid 60’s

Wednesday

Mostly sunny, warm, mid-to-upper 70’s

Thursday

Mostly sunny, warm, mid-to-upper 70’s

Friday

Mostly sunny, warm, mid-to-upper 70’s

Saturday

Mainly sunny, warm, upper 70’s

Discussion

Moisture will surge northward through Baja California and into southern California today from the remnants of a tropical system and this will bring the LA metro region the chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms later tonight and early tomorrow. Warmer conditions are likely around here for much of the week as the persistent onshore flow of air has been interrupted by this surge of tropical moisture.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/dzRGTI-e8mc

7:00 AM | Tropical moisture could surge into the region later in the weekend and early next week; at the same time, offshore flow will form and promote a warmup

Paul Dorian

6-Day Forecast

Today

Patchy fog early then becoming partly sunny, seasonably cool, highs in the low 70’s along coastal sections

Tonight

Mostly cloudy, mild, some fog possible late, lows by morning in the low-to-mid 60’s

Saturday

Patchy fog early then becoming mainly sunny, seasonably cool, low 70’s

Saturday Night

Mostly cloudy, mild, mid 60’s

Sunday

Some patchy fog possible early; otherwise, remaining mostly cloudy, milder, chance for showers and thunderstorms late in the day and at night, mid 70’s

Monday

Considerable clouds, continued threat for showers and thunderstorms, mild, mid 70’s

Tuesday

Becoming partly sunny, warm, upper 70’s

Wednesday

Mainly sunny, warm, upper 70’s

Discussion

Two big weather stories over the next several days across southern California: 1) possible significant effects from a tropical system and 2) a noticeable warm up early next week. To begin, tropical moisture may surge northward late in the weekend and early next week from the remains of a tropical system. As a result, showers and thunderstorms will be possible from later Sunday through Monday in the southern California region. At the same time, onshore will diminish later this weekend and this will promote warmer conditions for the early and middle parts of next week with high temperatures climbing to above normal levels; especially, in interior locations of the region.