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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: Space Weather

3:30 PM | *First solar images from GOES-16 (formerly GOES-R) and they show a coronal hole*

Paul Dorian

GOES-16, the first of NOAA’s next generation of geostationary weather satellites, the GOES-R series, successfully launched on November 19, 2016 and will provide continuous imagery and atmospheric measurements of Earth’s Western Hemisphere, total lightning data, and space weather monitoring. GOES-16 has now successfully delivered its first images of the sun. The images were captured by the Solar Ultraviolet Imager (SUVI) instrument aboard the weather satellite on January 29, 2017 and they show a large coronal hole. The sun’s 11-year activity cycle is currently approaching the next solar minimum phase, and during this time, powerful solar flares become less frequent and coronal holes become the primary space weather phenomena. Solar cycles have been in a general weakening trend since solar cycle 21 peaked around 1980.

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2:25 PM | *NASA discovers first known system of seven Earth-size planets around a single star*

Paul Dorian

NASA’s Spitzer Space Telescope has revealed the first known system of seven Earth-size planets around a single star and three of these are believed to be in the habitable zone – the area around the parent star where a rocky planet is most likely to have liquid water. The discovery sets a record for the greatest number of habitable-zone planets found around a single star outside of our solar system. All of these seven planets could have liquid water, the chances are highest with the three in the habitable zone.

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11:00 AM | *This type of solar event hasn’t happened since 1979, but it's coming in just 6 months*

Paul Dorian

The year was 1979. The Pittsburgh Pirates were on their way to winning the “we are family” baseball championship. The Philadelphia Phillies were only a year away from their first ever World Series championship. And this was the last time that there was a total solar eclipse visible from the contiguous US. In just six months - on Monday, August 21, 2017 - not only will there be a total solar eclipse on US soil for the first time since 1979, but totality will extend from coast-to-coast across a good chunk of the country and it will be the first total eclipse visible only in the US since the country was founded in 1776. The next total solar eclipse on US soil will take place in April 2024.

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6:00 PM | Solar cycle 24 continues historically weak pace and cosmic rays are on the rise

Paul Dorian

Historically weak solar cycle 24 continues to transition away from its solar maximum phase and towards the next solar minimum. There have already been 11 spotless days during 2017 and this follows 32 spotless days that occurred during the latter part of 2016. The blank look to the sun will increase in frequency over the next couple of years leading up to the next solar minimum - probably to be reached in late 2019 or 2020. By one measure, the current solar cycle is the third weakest since record keeping began in 1755 and it continues a weakening trend since solar cycle 21 peaked in 1980. One of the impacts of low solar activity is the increase of cosmic rays that can penetrate into the Earth’s upper atmosphere and this has some important consequences.

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12:35 PM | Initial images from GOES-16 are quite impressive

Paul Dorian

GOES-16 (formerly known as GOES-R) was launched on November 19th, 2016 from Cape Canaveral, Florida and it has sent its first high-resolution images - and the first impression is quite spectacular.  The images from GOES-16’s new Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) instrument shows the complete full disk of the Western Hemisphere including the continental US in all 16 channels (above).  GOES-16 is the first spacecraft in the GOES-R series of four new NOAA geostationary satellites, capturing higher resolution images of weather patterns and atmospheric phenomena than any of NOAA’s GOES satellites to-date. The higher resolution will allow weather forecasters to pinpoint the location of severe weather with greater accuracy, ultimately saving lives.  

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9:35 AM | *Cosmic rays intensify as solar activity reaches lowest level since 2011*

Paul Dorian

Sunspot counts have just reached their lowest level since 2011. The sun has been completely spotless on 23 days in 2016 and the blank look is increasing in frequency as it heads towards the next solar minimum.  The next solar minimum is expected to be deep and extended - probably reached around 2019 or 2020. The current solar cycle is the 24th since 1755 when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began and it is the weakest in more than a century with the fewest sunspots since cycle 14 peaked in February 1906.  Low solar activity is known to have consequences on Earth’s weather and climate and it also is well correlated with an increase in cosmic rays that reach the upper part of the atmosphere.

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8:55 AM | Next generation GOES-R weather satellite nearing its long anticipated launch

Paul Dorian

Weather forecasters have been waiting for this for a long, long time.  The Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite-R (GOES-R) Series is the nation’s next generation of geostationary weather satellites.  There are four satellites in the series (GOES-R, GOES-S, GOES-T and GOES-U) with six primary instruments on each that will help to improve weather forecasting around the world by providing advanced imaging with faster coverage and increased spatial resolution, real-time mapping of lightning activity, and improved monitoring of solar activity.  NASA is aiming to launch the $1.2 billion GOES-R satellite from Cape Canaveral, Florida on Saturday, November 19th at 5:42PM EST via an Atlas V rocket.  The original launch date was set for November 4th, but delays occurred due to the threat in Florida by Hurricane Matthew.

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9:00 AM | Check out the super supermoon on Sunday night

Paul Dorian

The weather looks like it will cooperate and if you step outside on Sunday night, you may notice the moon is looking bigger and brighter than usual.  In fact, it may very well look bigger than at any time in the last 68 years as the moon will be the closest it has been to Earth since January 1948.  This month’s supermoon will be the biggest of the year and the biggest of the 21st century so far and it won’t look like this again until November 2034.

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12:20 PM | An extra-special supermoon coming on November 14th

Paul Dorian

If skies are clear and you step outside on Monday, November 14th, you may notice the moon is looking bigger and brighter than usual.  In fact, it may very well look bigger than at any time in the last 68 years as the moon will be the closest it has been to Earth since January 1948.  This month’s supermoon will be the biggest of the year and the biggest of the 21st century so far and it won’t look like this again until November 2034.

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