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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: HSV

6:30 AM | *Lower 90's to start the week with an isolated PM shower or thunderstorm*

Paul Dorian

The weather to start the week will be very warm, humid and there can be isolated afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Tropical Storm Debby will pass by to our east over the next few days and we’ll be under control of high pressure centered to our northeast. this area will be dominated by high pressure ridging centered to our north. Temperatures can peak later today in the lower 90’s and then similar high temperatures are likely into Thursday, but it should get a tad cooler by week’s end.

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8:00 AM (Friday) | ***Tropical threat for the eastern Gulf of Mexico by later this weekend...system may slow down...La Nina revisited...a recent sharp drop in temperatures across central Pacific***

Paul Dorian

The Atlantic Basin tropical scene has been largely quiet during the past few weeks after the dissipation of Hurricane Beryl which reached category 5 status over the Caribbean Sea and then ultimately made landfall in Texas as a category 1 storm. There is now a strong tropical wave that is nearing Cuba and it may spill out over the eastern Gulf of Mexico by later this weekend as an intensifying storm. There are signs that at some point early next week the northward progression of this system may be stymied, and a stalling or even a “looping” storm track is on the table. This possibility could lead to some very heavy rainfall amounts in certain locations…a prospect to monitor closely next few days. In fact, we may be dealing with this tropical storm system as late as at the end of next week or weekend somewhere up along the eastern seaboard.

One of the contributing factors to what should be an active next couple of months in the tropical Atlantic Ocean is the strengthening of La Nina across the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Sea surface temperatures in that part of the world’s largest ocean have dropped quite sharply during the past week or so suggesting La Nina may indeed be an important (and favorable) factor for development and intensification of tropical storm systems in the Atlantic Basin during the second half of the tropical season.

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7:00 AM | *Hot, humid and somewhat unsettled across the Tennessee Valley next several days*

Paul Dorian

The weather for the remainder of the week and upcoming weekend look rather typical for this time of year with hot and humid conditions and occasional rounds of showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures can peak later today in the middle 90’s and then repeat this performance from tomorrow through the upcoming weekend to go along with that threat of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

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