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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: NYC

7:00 AM | *Late day/early evening threat for strong thunderstorms and heavy rainfall*

Paul Dorian

6-Day NYC Forecast

Today

Mostly cloudy, warm and humid, a few showers this morning and then a fresh round of showers and thunderstorms at the end of the day, some of the rain can be heavy and some of the storms can be on the strong side with gusty winds, highs in the low 80's

Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms this evening, some of the rainfall can be heavy at times and some of the storms can be on the strong side; otherwise, mainly cloudy skies, mild, muggy, lows not far from 70 degrees

Friday

Becoming mainly sunny, warm, mid-to-upper 80’s

Friday Night

Partly cloudy skies, mild, upper 60’s

Saturday

Mainly sunny, warm, mid-to-upper 80’s

Sunday

Mainly sunny, warm, mid-to-upper 80’s

Monday

Mostly cloudy, warm, chance of showers and thunderstorms, mid 80’s

Tuesday

Partly sunny, warm, chance of showers and thunderstorms, mid 80’s

Discussion

A cool front moved into the I-95 corridor on Wednesday with some shower and thunderstorm activity, and we’re not in the clear yet as a disturbance will ride along the frontal boundary zone today generating more showers and thunderstorms. The atmosphere continues to be full of tropical moisture and lifting action by this approaching disturbance will likely “squeeze” out some heavy rainfall later today and early tonight throughout the region. The most likely timetable in the I-95 corridor for these likely heavy showers and strong thunderstorms is 5-10pm. Once this system pushes through late tonight, quieter weather will return to the I-95 corridor for Friday, Saturday and most of Sunday with rain-free conditions.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/m-XQdT5DQe4

7:00 AM | Back-to-back days with showers and thunderstorms and some of the rain can be heavy at times

Paul Dorian

6-Day NYC Forecast

Today

Mostly cloudy, warm and humid, occasional showers likely and possible afternoon thunderstorms, some of the rainfall can be heavy at times, highs in the mid-to-upper 80’s

Tonight

Evening showers likely along with possible thunderstorms, some of the rainfall can be heavy at times; otherwise, mainly cloudy skies, mild, muggy, lows not far from 70 degrees

Thursday

Mostly cloudy, not as warm, still humid, showers and thunderstorms likely, some of the rainfall can be heavy at times, near 80 degrees

Thursday Night

Mostly cloudy skies with the chance for additional showers and thunderstorms, some of the rainfall can be heavy at times, mild, muggy, upper 60’s

Friday

Becoming partly sunny, warm, mid-to-upper 80’s

Saturday

Mostly sunny, warm, mid-to-upper 80’s

Sunday

Mainly sunny, warm, mid-to-upper 80’s

Monday

Partly sunny, warm, chance of showers and thunderstorms, mid-to-upper 80’s

Discussion

Today will be another unsettled day in the Mid-Atlantic as yet another cool front approaches the region. It’ll stay quite warm ahead of the front and there will be occasional showers and possible afternoon thunderstorms. Some of the rainfall can be heavy at times this afternoon and early evening with flash flooding a possibility in areas. Low pressure will ride along the tail end of the slow-moving frontal system on Thursday and this action should cause additional showers and thunderstorms in the region and some of this rainfall can be heavy at times as well.

7:00 AM | Cannot rule out a few showers today or a thunderstorm...threat for some heavy rainfall later tomorrow as cool front approaches

Paul Dorian

6-Day NYC Forecast

Today

A mix of clouds and sun, quite warm and humid, chance for showers and thunderstorms, while much of the time will be rain-free, any rain that falls can be briefly heavy, highs in the mid-to-upper 80’s

Tonight

Slight chance for evening showers and thunderstorms; otherwise, mainly cloudy, mild, muggy, patchy fog possible late, lows in the low-to-mid 70’s

Wednesday

Partly sunny, quite warm and humid, showers and thunderstorms likely, some of the rainfall can be heavy at times, upper 80’s

Wednesday Night

Mostly cloudy skies with the chance for evening showers and thunderstorms, mild, muggy, near 70 degrees

Thursday

Mostly cloudy, not as warm, chance for more showers and thunderstorms, some of the rain can be heavy, near 80 degrees

Friday

Partly sunny, warm, mid 80’s

Saturday

Partly sunny, warm, mid 80’s

Sunday

Partly sunny, warm, slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, mid 80’s

Discussion

The atmosphere is ripe with tropical moisture and there certainly can be some more heavy rainfall in the I-95 corridor during the next few days. It’ll turn quite warm today with high temperatures well up in the 80's and humidity levels will remain at uncomfortable levels. As a result, a shower or thunderstorm can break out at just about any time today and although much of the time will be rain-free, any rain that falls can come down hard for a brief time. A cool front will approach the I-95 corridor later tomorrow and this will likely result in another fresh round of showers and thunderstorms and some of the rainfall can be heavy at times.

7:00 AM | An unsettled first half of the week which can include some heavy rainfall

Paul Dorian

6-Day NYC Forecast

Today

More clouds than sun, warm and humid, a shower or thunderstorm possible this afternoon, mid 80’s

Tonight

Chance for showers and a thunderstorm, mild, muggy, lows not far from 70 degrees

Tuesday

Partly sunny, quite warm and humid, chance for showers and thunderstorms, highs in the mid-to-upper 80’s

Tuesday Night

Mostly cloudy skies with the chance for showers and thunderstorms, mild, muggy, low 70’s

Wednesday

Partly sunny, quite warm and humid, showers and thunderstorms likely and some of the rainfall can be heavy, upper 80’s

Thursday

Partly sunny, not quite as warm, slight chance for showers and thunderstorms, low-to-mid 80’s

Friday

Partly sunny, warm, low-to-mid 80’s

Saturday

Partly sunny, warm, mid 80’s

Discussion

Quite an unsettled first half of the week is in store for the Mid-Atlantic region and the overall short-term weather pattern can produce some heavy rainfall. Low pressure this morning over North Carolina will move northward towards the Delmarva Peninsula and the result will be the threat for a shower or thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. A cold frontal system approaches at mid-week and a wave of low pressure riding along the boundary zone will keep it unsettled around here with the threat for some heavy rainfall.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/9cZEvUSSc9M

7:00 AM | A bit cooler-than-normal for the next couple of days

Paul Dorian

6-Day NYC Forecast

Today

Mainly sunny, a bit on the cool side, highs in the upper 70’s

Tonight

Slight chance for showers; otherwise, mostly cloudy skies, mild, lows in the mid 60’s

Saturday

Mainly cloudy, still on the cool side, showers likely at times, maybe a thunderstorm, mid 70’s

Saturday Night

Slight chance for showers early; otherwise, mostly cloudy skies, mild, low-to-mid 60’s

Sunday

Mainly sunny, comfortable, low-to-mid 80’s

Monday

Mostly sunny, warm, mid 80’s

Tuesday

Mainly sunny, warm, mid 80’s

Wednesday

Partly sunny, warm, chance for showers and thunderstorms, low-to-mid 80’s

Discussion

A stalled out frontal system will keep it unsettled around here as we head into the weekend with showers likely on the 4th of July (Saturday) perhaps even a thunderstorm. Temperatures will remain on the cool side for this time of year with no 90 degree highs expected right through the weekend and highs confined to the 70's on the holiday.

7:00 AM | Temperatures remain moderate next several days

Paul Dorian

6-Day NYC Forecast

Today

Mostly sunny, warm, highs in the low 80’s

Tonight

Slight chance for showers and thunderstorms this evening; otherwise, mostly cloudy, mild, lows in the mid 60’s

Friday

Partly sunny, a bit cooler, upper 70's

Friday Night

Slight chance for showers and thunderstorms early; otherwise, mostly cloudy skies, mild, mid 60’s

Saturday

Mainly cloudy, still on the cool side of normal with the chance of showers, upper 70's

Sunday

Mostly sunny, warm, mid 80’s

Monday

Mainly sunny, warm, low-to-mid 80’s

Tuesday

Mainly sunny, warm, low-to-mid 80’s

Discussion

A cool frontal system has stalled out in the southern Mid-Atlantic region and this close proximity will keep it somewhat unsettled around here as we head into the weekend. While most of the time will be rain-free over the next couple of days, a shower or thunderstorm cannot be ruled out at times. Temperatures will remain moderate for this time of year right through the weekend with no 90 degree highs expected.

7:00 AM | Stays unsettled as approaching cool front brings threat for showers and storms

Paul Dorian

6-Day NYC Forecast

Today

Mostly cloudy, warm, humid, chance for showers and thunderstorms, highs in the mid 80’s

Tonight

Slight chance for showers and thunderstorms this evening; otherwise, becoming partly cloudy, mild, lows in the upper 60’s

Thursday

Mostly sunny, warm, rather humid, low 80’s

Thursday Night

Slight chance for showers and thunderstorms; otherwise, mostly cloudy skies, mild, mid 60’s

Friday

Partly sunny, a bit cooler, rather humid, chance for showers and thunderstorms, near 80 degrees

Saturday

Mainly sunny, warm, low 80’s

Sunday

Mainly sunny, warm, low-to-mid 80’s

Monday

Mainly sunny, warm, low-to-mid 80’s

Discussion

Low pressure over the Great Lakes region will push a cool front our way later today and it is likely to spark a few scattered showers and thunderstorms in the Mid-Atlantic region. The cool front will then stall out to the south and east of the I-95 corridor and this close proximity will keep the weather somewhat unsettled later in the week, but the weekend is looking pretty nice.

1:30 PM | **Here we go again...the threat for severe thunderstorms and flash flooding**

Paul Dorian

ne3comp[NEXRAD radar image; courtesy University of Wisconsin]

Discussion

The atmosphere is quite juicy this afternoon and numerous thunderstorms are breaking out just to the west of Route I-95 and some of this activity will spill over into the immediate I-95 corridor region from DC-to-Philly-to-NYC later this afternoon. As low clouds have eroded today, the atmosphere has destabilized rapidly and high dew points have contributed to the firing up of very impressive-looking thunderstorms. Some of these storms will likely reach strong-to-severe levels over the next couple of hours raising the possibility of heavy downpours, damaging wind gusts over 60 mph, hail, frequent lightning and even isolated tornadoes.

One concern this afternoon is the possibility of “training” in parts of the I-95 corridor which occurs when thunderstorms "roll over" the same area in a given short time period. This action could lead to flash flooding as heavy rainfall piles up in a given location from multiple thunderstorm cells. In the I-95 corridor, eastern Pennsylvania is probably the region where “training” is most likely to occur later today. Also, the greatest threat for severe weather will likely occur in much of this same region (i.e., eastern PA) - generally in areas to the north and east of the DC metro region and to the south and west of New York City. The threat for severe weather and flash flooding will continue into the overnight hours and we may have new problems to deal with on Wednesday afternoon.

7:00 AM | Approaching warm front renews the chances for showers and thunderstorms

Paul Dorian

6-Day NYC Forecast

Today

Partly sunny, warm, chance for PM showers and thunderstorms, highs in the lower 80’s

Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms likely this evening; otherwise, mostly cloudy skies, mild, lows in the upper 60’s

Wednesday

Mostly cloudy, warm, humid, chance for showers and thunderstorms, mid-to-upper 80’s

Wednesday Night

Chance for showers and thunderstorms early; otherwise, partly cloudy skies, mild, upper 60’s

Thursday

Partly sunny, warm, slight chance for showers and thunderstorms, low 80’s

Friday

Partly sunny, warm, near 80 degrees

Saturday

Partly sunny, warm, chance for showers and thunderstorms, low 80’s

Sunday

Mainly sunny, warm, low-to-mid 80’s

Discussion

Low pressure will move eastward across the Great Lakes over the next day or so and this system will first push a warm front across the area later today and then sweep a cool front through late tomorrow. As a result, the threat for showers and thunderstorms will increase later today/early tonight and weather conditions will stay somewhat unsettled on Wednesday. In fact, it should stay somewhat unsettled through the remainder of the week and into the weekend as the cool front stalls out nearby.

Video

httpv://youtu.be/PY90M8OXvHE

7:00 AM | Pretty nice start to the week...front renews the threat for showers and storms later tomorrow

Paul Dorian

6-Day NYC Forecast

Today

Mainly sunny, warm, highs near 80 degrees

Tonight

Partly cloudy, mild, maybe a shower or thunderstorm, lows in the upper 60’s

Tuesday

Partly sunny, warm, chance for PM showers and thunderstorms, low 80’s

Tuesday Night

Chance for evening showers and thunderstorms, mild, near 70 degrees

Wednesday

Mainly cloudy, warm, humid, chance for showers and thunderstorms, upper 80’s

Thursday

Mainly sunny, warm, chance for showers and thunderstorms at night, low 80's

Friday

Partly sunny, warm, chance for showers and thunderstorms, near 80 degrees

Saturday

Partly sunny, warm, chance for showers, low 80’s

Discussion

High pressure builds into the Mid-Atlantic region today and temperatures will respond nicely by jumping to near 80 degrees for highs. A frontal system will approach the area later tomorrow and it should spark a few showers and thunderstorms later in the day or early tomorrow night. This front will stall nearby at mid-week and then lift northward late in the week keeping the weather somewhat unsettled into the weekend.