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Blog

Weather forecasting and analysis, space and historic events, climate information

Filtering by Category: NYC

7:00 AM | Couple of nice days then another round of showers and possible thunderstorms this weekend

Paul Dorian

Crisp air in the Mid-Atlantic region this morning and it is being anchored by high pressure to our northwest which will move overhead by later tomorrow.  Another strong cold front will approach the region this weekend and bring along the threat for another round of showers and possible strong thunderstorms.  It'll turn warmer this weekend as well, but somewhat cooler air then returns by early next week following passage of the next cold frontal system.

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7:00 AM | Couple of nice days on the way...another round of showers this weekend and possible thunderstorms

Paul Dorian

Crisp air in the Mid-Atlantic region this morning and it is being anchored by high pressure to our northwest which will move overhead by later tomorrow.  Another strong cold front will approach the region this weekend and bring along the threat for another round of showers and possible strong thunderstorms.  It'll turn warmer this weekend as well, but somewhat cooler air then returns by early next week following passage of the next cold frontal system. 

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7:00 AM | *Atmosphere becomes quite unstable today and the result will be showers and thunderstorms with possible damaging wind gusts and small hail*

Paul Dorian

A cold front passed through the region late yesterday and today will turn out noticeably cooler along with a stiff breeze.  The atmosphere will become very unstable today given the combination of unusually cold air aloft, the strength of the June sun which will attempt to warm up lower levels of the atmosphere, and an upper-level disturbance.  As a result, instability showers are likely between the mid-morning and mid-afternoon hours and there can even be a thunderstorm or two with possible small hail and damaging wind gusts.  The next couple of days look pretty decent, but a little bit on the cool side of normal for this time of year.

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6:00 AM | Cold frontal passage later today should spark a few showers and thunderstorms...cooler for the mid-week

Paul Dorian

The next cold front will arrive in the Mid-Atlantic region later today and it could spark a few afternoon showers and thunderstorms.  By tomorrow, noticeably cooler air will return as high pressure builds in from the Upper Midwest.  Given the warm sun this time of year (i.e., warm low-levels) and the cold air expected in the upper atmosphere on Wednesday, there can be enough instability to generate a few showers and perhaps even a thunderstorm.  High pressure will continue to control the weather around here on Thursday and then a warm front will approach by week’s end. 

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6:00 AM | Much improvement as we begin the new work week...turns cooler by mid-week

Paul Dorian

The new work week will start off with noticeable improvement following the occasionally wet and unstable weather this weekend.  A cool front will pass through the region later tomorrow and temperatures will then drop to below-normal levels for the mid-week time period as high pressure builds into the Mid-Atlantic region from the Northern Plains.  A warm front will approach at the end of the week and bring an increasing threat of showers.

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12:50 PM | **Severe weather threat in the Mid-Atlantic late Sunday…tropical storm threat continues for Florida**

Paul Dorian

It looks like it’ll be quite an active period in the Mid-Atlantic region as we close out the weekend with the threat for heavy rainfall and severe weather including possible supercell thunderstorm development and tornado activity. At nearly the same time, Florida is likely going to have to brace for a potential tropical storm which could generate flooding rainfall in that part of the country by early next week.  While Florida is quite a distance away from the Mid-Atlantic region, there may actually be an important connection between the potential tropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico and the severe weather threat around here.  

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7:00 AM | *More rainfall on Sunday some of which can be heavy at times and there can be a strong-to-severe thunderstorm*

Paul Dorian

Scattered showers around here today and there can be a thunderstorm or two later in the day.  All of this activity today is associated with a frontal system working its way through the region and there can be brief downpours with any thunderstorm that does form.  The weekend will feature slight improvement for Saturday with warm conditions and the chance for some sunshine, but a showers or thunderstorm cannot be ruled out and then it’ll go back downhill for Sunday.  Copious amounts of moisture are headed our way for Sunday and we’ll experience occasional rain as we close out the weekend - maybe even a strong-to-severe thunderstorm - and some of the rain is likely to be on the heavy side.  The weather should clear here early next week, but we’ll turn noticeably cooler by mid-week.  Elsewhere, a tropical storm may form in the Gulf of Mexico by late this weekend or early next week and it could cut a path right across Florida potentially bringing with it some flooding rainfall.

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7:00 AM | Back-and-forth pattern...showers/storms late tonight/tomorrow and Sunday...pretty decent today and Saturday

Paul Dorian

High pressure to our north will continue to control the weather today, but a cold frontal system will cross the region on Friday and bring with it scattered showers and thunderstorms later tonight and tomorrow with brief downpours possible.  After a decent beginning to the weekend, moisture will head north along the coast on Sunday and also to the east from the Midwest resulting in a "squeeze play" around here with occasional rain, maybe a strong thunderstorm or two, and some of the rain be heavy at times as we close out the weekend.  

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7:00 AM | Nice for the mid-week...next front arrives on Friday

Paul Dorian

High pressure to our north will edge into the area today and continue to control the weather on Thursday.  A cold frontal system will cross the region on Friday with possible showers and thunderstorms.  After a pretty decent beginning to the weekend, moisture will head north along the coast on Sunday bringing with it the threat for more showers and possible thunderstorms as we close out the weekend and begin the new work week. 

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7:00 AM | Summer-like weather pattern continues well into the weekend

Paul Dorian

The summer-like weather pattern will continue into the Memorial Day holiday weekend as high pressure dominates in this part of the country.  There can be scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon as we close out the work week along with high temperatures well up in the 80’s all along the I-95 corridor.  The weekend will feature partly-to-mostly sunny, skies, high temperatures in the 80’s, and primarily rain-free conditions.  A back door cold front will make an attempt to approach the area from the north late in the weekend and it should turn somewhat cooler on Monday with the chance for showers and thunderstorms on the holiday. 

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