The weather remains unsettled for the next couple of days with a continuing shower threat, but it also becomes increasingly milder. A colder pattern then begins later this week following the passage of a cold frontal system on Thursday. By the weekend, high pressure will usher in progressively colder air and there are signs for a coastal storm by the end of the weekend. Depending on the track of this potential coastal storm, snow could actually fall in portions of the interior Northeast US by late Sunday or early Monday. Stay tuned.
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An area of moisture from the south-central US has pushed into the Mid-Atlantic region and it’ll stay damp and unsettled into tomorrow. High pressure is going to build into the region for the mid-week time period with Wednesday probably turning out to be the mildest day of the week and then a cold front approaches on Thursday. This front will usher in a colder period of weather for about a week to ten days in the Mid-Atlantic region and snow could actually make a return to portions of the interior Northeast US during this colder stretch. In fact, there are signs for a significant coastal storm around next Sunday which could generate snow in the interior Northeast US (i.e., areas to the NW of I-95; odds favor rain in the big cities) and that may not be the last chance for snow in this part of the country.
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A weak cool front passed through the region in the overnight hours and we’ll be some 15 degrees cooler today as a result; however, it’ll still be well above normal for this time of year. High pressure from the Upper Midwest will build into the region today and remain in control of our weather on Saturday, but then moisture from the south-central US will make a push towards the Mid-Atlantic region during the second half of the weekend. Consequently, clouds will increase on Sunday and showers are quite likely around here by Sunday night or Monday. Looking ahead, the overall relatively mild weather pattern looks like it will continue for another week or so, but more cold air outbreaks are likely to return to the region later in the month.
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High pressure remains anchored off the east coast this morning and southwesterly winds on its backside will bring more record warmth to the Mid-Atlantic region. A weak cool front, however, will push in overnight from our northwest and high temperatures will drop some 15 degrees on Friday behind the front compared to today's potential record warmth. High pressure will remain in control on Saturday, but clouds will increase on Sunday and showers are likely by Sunday night and Monday. Looking ahead, the overall weather pattern stays relatively mild for another week to ten days, but there are signs for multiple cold air outbreaks later this month so enjoy the warmth while we have it.
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Spring has sprung and the current warm spell will peak today and tomorrow with temperatures soaring well up into the 70’s throughout the NYC metro region. In fact, many spots in the local region could reach the 75 degree mark on either day. A weak cool frontal passage will bring temperatures down slightly on Friday, and then clouds and scattered showers will keep it a bit cooler this weekend, but still above-normal for this time of year.
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It is off to the races this afternoon for temperatures as a major warm up gets underway across the eastern US. Temperatures this afternoon should approach the 60 degree mark in the NYC metro region and then 70 degrees will be within reach on Tuesday and perhaps a record-breaker on Wednesday in the lower 70’s. A cool front will bring us back down somewhat for Thursday and Friday, but it’ll stay above normal for this time of year.
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One snow event is over for the DC, Philly metro regions and it winding down in New York City, but there is the possibility for another nuisance snowfall in the I-95 corridor from tomorrow night into early Sunday. The weekend system should be one of winter’s last gasp as an atmospheric blow torch will send temperatures soaring all across the eastern half of the nation next week.
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The theme of this 6-day forecast period is "from snow to May" as there will be a major warm up next week following today's snow and perhaps more nuisance snow from Saturday night into early Sunday. Snow will wind down by late morning or mid-day across the NYC metro region as low pressure pulls away from the Mid-Atlantic coastline while intensifying rapidly. Snow should last into mid-day at the central and northern NJ coastline where some places could end up with 3 or 4 inches by ending time. By tomorrow night, more nuisance snow is possible as a “clipper” low pressure system drops southeastward from the Northern Plains to the Ohio Valley and then into the Mid-Atlantic. This system could generate an additional coating of snow to parts of the area before it pushes out of here early Sunday morning.
Beyond the weekend, it is off to the races for temperatures across the eastern half of the nation as explosive warming will take place. Temperatures should approach 60 degrees around here by Tuesday afternoon and then 70 degrees is possible by mid-week. The dramatic warm up won’t come without its problems, however, for many parts of the nation. The south-central US will likely experience tremendous amounts of rainfall next week - perhaps reaching a foot or more - and there is likely going to be a severe weather outbreak in the Deep South. Furthermore, the state of California will get absolutely pounded next week and beyond for awhile which could result in a foot of rain in much of the northern half of the state and several feet of snow in the Sierra Mountains.
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In one of winter's last gasps in the Mid-Atlantic region, there will be not one, but two (relatively minor) snow events that impact the area over the next few days before an explosive warm up next week sends temperatures soaring all across the eastern half of the nation. Each one of these upcoming snow events can produce “nuisance” accumulations in the immediate I-95 corridor generally ranging from a "coating to 2 or 3 inches".
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Strong NW winds flooded the Mid-Atlantic region yesterday with a much colder air mass compared to recent days and this will set the stage for an accumulating snow event from later this evening into Friday. Clouds will increase later today as moisture begins streaming eastward from the Ohio Valley with low pressure dropping into the region from the Northern Plains. Snow should break late this evening in the NYC metro region and continue into Friday morning with accumulations likely for the Friday morning commute.
By tomorrow morning, the initial Ohio Valley low pressure system will transfer its energy to a secondary low pressure system along the Mid-Atlantic coastline and this storm is expected to intensify rapidly as it pulls northeastward. As far as snowfall estimates are concerned, a coating to 3 inches of snow can fall in the NYC metro region, but a slight shift to the northwest in the current expected storm track could increase accumulations significantly along the I-95 corridor - so stay tuned. A fast-moving "clipper" type of low pressure system will bring the chance for more snow to the Mid-Atlantic region on Saturday night and early Sunday with additional accumulations possible. After that, it is off to the races next week as far as temperatures are concerned as there will be a major warm up.
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